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1993 (8)

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Book
Type certification basis for conversion from reciprocating engine to turbine engine-powered part 23 airplanes
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Year: 1993 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : U.S. Dept. of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration,

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Book
Estimating requirements for aircraft recoverable spares and depot repair : executive summary
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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Aircraft recoverable spares and depot-level component repair are a major annual expenditure for the Air Force. In the mid-1980s, they absorbed roughly $5 billion annually. In this executive summary, Abell suggests initiatives that will enable the Air Force to reduce its investments in aircraft recoverable spares while maintaining roughly its traditional levels of aircraft availability. These initiatives include fundamental changes in policy as well as improvements in requirements estimation techniques. One policy recommendation is to improve the responsiveness of depot-level component repair. Such improvement includes repairing the components that are the most important to the achievement of aircraft availability goals, minimizing the time parts are in the repair pipeline, and responding quickly to urgent, unanticipated demands. A second policy recommendation is to consolidate the storage and management of war readiness spares.


Book
Modeling and forecasting the demand for aircraft recoverable spare parts
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report explores issues in forecasting and modeling the demand for aircraft recoverable spare parts to improve the Air Force's estimation of spares and repair requirements over quarterly, annual, and longer planning horizons. Specifically, it demonstrates the utility of approaches that account explicitly for nonstationarity and their superiority over current methods used by the Air Force Materiel Command for these purposes. The authors recommend using a weighted regression, a special case of the Kalman filter, for forecasting demand for high-demand items. This approach is a logical extension of Bayesian statistics, which explicitly accounts for nonstationarity in stochastic processes, assigning greater weight to more recent than to less recent demands. Coupled with an improved approach to variance estimation that assigns greater uncertainty to longer planning horizons than to shorter ones, this holds the promise of reducing the cost of spares investments while achieving adequate levels of system performance.


Book
Estimating requirements for aircraft recoverable spares and depot repair : John B. Abell [et al.].
Authors: --- ---
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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The Air Force generally overinvests in aircraft recoverable spare parts. In the mid-to-late 1980s, it spent roughly $5 billion annually on these resources, about $3 billion for spares and about $2 billion for repair. The current spares requirements system does not account for many of the uncertainties implicit in requirements estimation, nor for many of the management adaptations that are routinely practiced. This report concludes that substantial cost reductions could be achieved, while maintaining traditional levels of system performance, through the following: (a) modifications to the spares and repair requirements estimation system, (b) initiatives to enhance the responsiveness of depot-level component repair, (c) a massive, intensive effort to clean up the requirements database and maintain it through a system of audits, (d) consolidation of war readiness spares, and (e) technical improvements to the estimation methodology.


Book
Data and data processing issues in the estimation of requirements for aircraft recoverable spares and depot repair
Authors: --- ---
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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The data system that supports the estimation of requirements for aircraft recoverable spares and depot repair is fraught with errors. The result is that many components are promoted from their correct levels of significance to higher levels, so that the requirements computation overvalues the items. Consequently, the system overinvests in these items, resulting in an ineffective mix of spares. This report discusses the kinds of errors observed in the data and suggests an approach to cleaning up the database, coupled with a system of audits and a training program to keep the database relatively error-free.


Book
Models and algorithms for repair parts investment and management
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report proposes a way to think about the investments and operating decisions service maintenance depots must make, distinguishing between a long-run (investment) problem and a short-run (operating) problem. The basis of the authors' approach to both problems involves defining the value of each part or supply action so the costs of parts or supply actions can be related to their effects, thereby permitting managers to select courses of action that maximize value given the cost of the actions. For the long-term problem, the approach attributes value to the units of authorized stock in terms of the effect they have on the value of the repair pipeline: efficient choices yield a cheap repair pipeline. For the short-run problem, the approach attributes value to supply actions (e.g., speedup of delivery of due-in items) in terms of the effect they have on the availability of aircraft at the end of a specific time horizon. For each problem, the authors provide the relevant definition of value, an algorithm to maximize value for a given cost, and methods for computing value


Periodical

Book
Dyna-METRIC Version 6 : an advanced capability assessment model
Authors: --- --- --- ---
Year: 1993 Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation,

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This report describes Version 6 of the Dyna-METRIC capability assessment model RAND developed to support logistics planning. Using information about the planned usage of aircraft, the characteristics of the aircraft components, and their demand for logistics resources, Dyna-METRIC assesses the effects of wartime dynamics, produces operational performance measures, and identifies potential problems. Version 6 improves upon earlier versions by incorporating a more fully developed representation of the repair process and its constraints. It also considers the effects of additional sources of uncertainty and some strategies that might mitigate that uncertainty. The report provides users with a comprehensive description of the model's motivation, capabilities, methodology, and use. A sample analysis based on 30 avionics components of the F-16C/D aircraft illustrates its use.

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