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This unique volume addresses the potential implications of global warming for fisheries and the societies that depend on them. Using a "forecasting by analogy" approach, which draws on experiences from the recent past in coping with regional fluctuations in the abundance or availability of living marine resources, it shows how we might be able to assess our ability to respond to the consequences of future environmental changes induced by a potential global warming. The book takes the form of a series of integrated case studies from around the globe, which are presented by an interdisciplinary group of leading researchers.

Changement climatique --- Changement des climats --- Changements climatiques --- Changes [Climatic ] --- Climat [Changement du ] --- Climat--Changements --- Climate change --- Climate changes --- Climatic change --- Climatic changes --- Climatic fluctuations --- Climats [Modification des ] --- Cycles climatiques --- Fluctuations climatiques --- Global climate changes --- Global climatic changes --- Klimaatveranderingen --- Modification des climats --- Modifications climatiques --- Oscillations climatiques --- Variations climatiques --- Veranderingen [Klimaat ] --- Climatic changes. --- Fisheries --- Climatic factors. --- Climatic factors --- Fisheries - Climatic factors.

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This paper examines the comovement of prices with the cyclical component of output. It argues that determining the cyclical behavior of prices by applying the same stationarity-inducing transformation to the levels of both output and prices, and examining the correlations of the resulting series, can be misleading. A more appropriate procedure is to examine the correlations between the rate of inflation and the level of the cyclical component of output. In post-war U.S. data the correlations between similarly transformed price and output data are consistently and often strongly negative, as reported recently by a number of authors as evidence of countercyclical price behavior. The rate of inflation, however, is consistently and usually strongly positively correlated with various measures of the cyclical component of output.

Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Economic Theory --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic theory & philosophy --- Economic growth --- Supply shocks --- Business cycles --- Sticky prices --- Economic theory --- Supply and demand --- United States

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Business cycles. --- 305.2 --- 331.00 --- 331.030 --- AA / International- internationaal --- EEU / Central & Eastern Europe --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Statistieken van de conjunctuur --- Economische bewegingen: algemeenheden. --- Conjunctuurschommelingen: algemeenheden --- Business cycles --- Economische bewegingen: algemeenheden

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336.76 --- Geldmarkt. Kapitaalmarkt --- Business cycles --- Futures --- Futures market --- Prices --- Commercial products --- Commodity prices --- Justum pretium --- Price theory --- Consumption (Economics) --- Cost --- Costs, Industrial --- Money --- Cost and standard of living --- Supply and demand --- Value --- Wages --- Willingness to pay --- Futures exchanges --- Market, Futures --- Markets --- Futures contracts --- Futures trading --- Trading, Futures --- Derivative securities --- Investments --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Forecasting

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A three-good, stochastic intertemporal equilibrium model of a small open economy is used to examine the link between terms of trade and business cycles. Equilibrium co-movements of model economies representing industrial and developing countries are computed and compared with the stylized facts of 30 countries. The results show that terms-of-trade shocks account for half of observed output variability and that the model mimics the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect and produces large deviations from purchasing power parity. The elasticity of substitution between tradable and nontradable goods and the persistence of the shocks play a key role in producing these results.

Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- International economics --- Economic growth --- Terms of trade --- Consumption --- Trade balance --- Business cycles --- Import prices --- International trade --- National accounts --- Prices --- Economic policy --- nternational cooperation --- Economics --- Balance of trade --- Imports --- United States