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This volume brings together a range of contributors from Europe and North America. All contributions were especially commissioned with a view to e- cidating a major multidisciplinary topic that is of concern to both academics and practitioners. The focus of the book is on expert judgment and its interaction with decision support systems. In the first part, the nature of expertise is discussed and characteristics of expert judges are described. Issues concemed with the eval- tion of judgment in the psychological laboratory are assessed and contrasted with studies of expert judgment in ecologically valid contexts. In addition, issues concerned with eliciting and validating expert knowledge are discussed. Dem- strations of good judgmental performance are linked to situational factors such as feedback cycles, and measurement of coherence and reliability in expert ju- ment is introduced as a baseline determinant of good judgmental performance. Issues concerned with the representation of elicited expert knowledge in kno- edge-based systems are evaluated and methods are described that have been shown to produce improvements in judgmental performance. Behavioral and mathematical ways of combining judgments from multiple experts are compared and contrasted. Finally, the issues developed in the preceding contributions are focused on current controversies in decision support. Expert judgment is utilized as a major input into decision analysis, forecasting with statistical models, and expert s- tems.
Decision making. --- Decision support systems. --- Expertise. --- Judgment. --- Philosophy (General). --- Business. --- Political science. --- Computer science. --- Psychology, general. --- Business and Management, general. --- Political Science. --- Computer Science, general. --- Psychology. --- Management science.
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Management science --- Computer simulation. --- 519.876 --- -681.3*I63 --- Quantitative business analysis --- Management --- Problem solving --- Operations research --- Statistical decision --- Theory of large systems --- Computer simulation --- Applications (Simulation and modeling) --- 681.3*I63 Applications (Simulation and modeling) --- 519.876 Theory of large systems --- 681.3*I63 --- Management science - Computer simulation.
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Planning (firm) --- Decision making --- Operations research --- Prise de décision --- Recherche opérationnelle --- Mathematical models --- Modèles mathématiques --- Decision Making --- mathematische modellen, toegepast op bedrijfsleven --- operations research --- besluitvorming --- Prise de décision --- Recherche opérationnelle --- Modèles mathématiques --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Décision multicritère --- Multiple criteria decision making --- Mathematical models. --- Operations research. --- Decision Making - Mathematical models
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Operational research. Game theory --- Operations research --- Programming (Mathematics) --- Recherche opérationnelle --- Programmation (Mathématiques) --- 519.8 --- Mathematical programming --- Goal programming --- Algorithms --- Functional equations --- Mathematical optimization --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Operations research. --- Programming (Mathematics). --- 519.8 Operational research --- Recherche opérationnelle --- Programmation (Mathématiques)
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programmeren CNC --- fuzzy logic --- Logique floue --- Fuzzy sets. --- Operations research. --- Fuzzy sets --- Operations research --- 510.2 --- 519.2 --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Sets, Fuzzy --- Fuzzy mathematics --- Set theory --- 510.2 Foundations of mathematics --- Foundations of mathematics --- 519.2 Probability. Mathematical statistics --- Probability. Mathematical statistics --- programmeertalen --- informatica --- Discrete mathematics --- programmeren (informatica) --- Ensembles flous --- Ensembles flous. --- Logique floue.
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Computer architecture. Operating systems --- Operational research. Game theory --- Mathematical optimization --- Operations research --- System Design --- System design --- 681.3*C21 --- Design, System --- Systems design --- Electronic data processing --- System analysis --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Optimization (Mathematics) --- Optimization techniques --- Optimization theory --- Systems optimization --- Mathematical analysis --- Maxima and minima --- Simulation methods --- Network architecture and design: networks (centralized, circuit switching, distributed, packet, store and forward); network communications; netword topology --- 681.3*C21 Network architecture and design: networks (centralized, circuit switching, distributed, packet, store and forward); network communications; netword topology
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