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New perspectives on the late Victorian economy: essays in quantitative economic history 1860-1914
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ISBN: 0521391075 0521890853 0511660235 0511877544 9780521391078 9780511660238 9780521890854 Year: 1991 Publisher: Cambridge: Cambridge university press,

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Abstract

Through channels both open and concealed, the Victorian economy continues to influence us powerfully. Much economic thinking today gains support from perceptions of how the nineteenth-century British economy worked and how well it satisfied wants. Contemporary oligopolistic industrial structure is contrasted with Victorian self-regulating competition; the gross inequalities of Victorian laissez-faire are compared with support for the needy provided by the modern welfare state; and some regard Victorian values as vital principles of social organisation which should be regained. By examining the behaviour of the British economy between 1865 and 1914, the present work casts light upon some of these views. It does so in a variety of ways. New methods or evidence are deployed to establish accepted conclusions more firmly; unwarrantedly neglected aspects of the economy are analysed with present day concerns in mind; and traditional conclusions are reassessed. The book focuses upon three central themes: industrial organisation and technology, wages and living standards, and the monetary system. These are at the heart of discussions of productivity growth, the standard of living, well-being and poverty; the criteria by which the Victorian economic system should ultimately be judged.


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Financial Sector Reforms and Monetary Policy.
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ISBN: 1462320643 145524953X 1282010980 9786613795854 1455234281 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In recent years a number of countries have undertaken far-reaching reforms of their financial sectors. Generally speaking, financial sector reforms aim at achieving greater flexibility of interest rates, an enhanced role for market forces in credit allocation, increased independence for the central bank, and a deepening of money and securities markets. Such reforms, and the developments that follow, have important implications for the design and conduct of monetary policy. This paper provides an overview of the linkages between financial sector reforms and the monetary policy framework, focusing in particular on the objectives, instruments, and operating procedures of monetary policy.


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Cross-Border Deposits and Monetary Aggregates in the Transition to EMU
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462326714 1455259616 1282109642 9786613802538 1455207039 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the effect of cross-border deposits (CBDs) for the stability of the relation between monetary aggregates and nominal GDP in the five largest EC countries. The analysis is developed in terms of “information content” of alternative money definitions (including or excluding selected subsets of CBDs), derived from a multicountry simultaneous system of money demand equations. We show that in the most recent period traditional money aggregates have lost information value and that they are dominated by alternative money definitions that include CBDs, such as those based on the residency of the holder or on the currency of denomination.


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Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets
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ISBN: 1462311725 1451991525 1281988693 1451993005 9786613794222 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines whether the six largest and most active emerging stock markets are informationally efficient with respect to changes in the money supply. To investigate if stock prices fully reflect the information contained in money supply changes, two different econometric techniques are employed. First, direct Granger-causality tests are used, which locus on the short-run relationship between stock prices and money. Second, the long-run behavior of the two variables is studied by means of co-integration tests. The results suggest that at least for two markets profitable trading rules can be developed to earn consistently higher-than-normal rates of return.


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Output Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks : Evidence From Colombia
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ISBN: 1462364187 145524239X Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using annual data for Colombia over the last thirty years and a new battery of econometric techniques, we test opposing theories that explain macroeconomic fluctuations: The neoclassical synthesis, which posits that, in the presence of temporary price rigidity, an unanticipated monetary expansion produces output gains that erode over time with increases in the price level; and an alternative explanation, which focuses on “real” technological or preference shocks as the sources of output changes. The coefficients from these systems are used to examine two basic propositions: the long-run neutrality of nominal quantities with respect to permanent movements in the money stock; and the short-run sensitivity of output to inflation.


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Models of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation
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ISBN: 1462321690 1455221260 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper focuses on the output costs of disinflation. A model of inflation with both forward and backward elements seems to characterize reality. Such an inflation model is estimated using data for industrial countries, and the output costs of a disinflation path are calculated, first analytically in a simple theoretical model, then by simulation of a global, multi-region empirical model. The credibility of a preannounced path for money consistent with the lowest output loss is considered. An alternative, more credible policy may be to announce an exchange rate peg to a low inflation currency.


Book
On Interpreting the Random Walk Behavior of Nominal and Real Exchange Rates
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ISBN: 1462318827 1455269611 1281089397 9786613774750 1455270512 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The random walk property of exchange rates is frequently regarded as carrying strong implications for the kinds of shocks that have driven exchange rates and the models appropriate for analyzing their behavior. This paper conducts stochastic simulations of Dornbusch’s (1976) sticky-price monetary model, calibrated for representative parameter values for the United States. It shows that the model is capable of generating time series for both real and nominal exchange rates that are statistically indistinguishable from random walks when all shocks are nominal.


Book
Foreign Currency Deposits : Implications for Macroeconomic Policies
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ISBN: 1462344887 1455233382 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the relationship between foreign currency deposits and money, and it shows that the indexation of part of the nominal money supply to the exchange rate, as a result of the presence of foreign currency deposits, will increase the inflationary effects of monetary disequilibria under a floating exchange rate system and will reduce the effect of a devaluation of a usually fixed exchange rate. When a real exchange rate rule is followed, the presence of foreign currency deposits implies that there is less of a tradeoff between the rate of nominal depreciation/inflation and the level of the real exchange rate. The paper shows how certain aspects of financial programming may be affected by the presence of these deposits.


Book
Price Pressure Gaps : An Application of P* Using Korean Data
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ISBN: 1462395473 1455285773 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents estimates of a price-pressure indicator for Korea. It does this by constructing measures of how much M2 velocity and output differ from their long-term values. This, in turn, involves estimating a demand for money function in an error correction framework in which interest rates in the unorganized money market help to account for the effects of ongoing financial liberalization. An equation explaining the Korean inflation rate is identified in which both the monetary variable--the velocity gap--and the real variable--the output gap--play important roles.

Banks and industrial finance in Britain : 1800-1939
Authors: ---
ISBN: 0333491521 Year: 1991 Publisher: London : Macmillan Education,

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