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The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.
Uncertainty (Information theory) --- Incertitude (Théorie de l'information) --- Uncertainty --- Risk --- Policy sciences --- Mathematical models. --- Mathematical models --- Uncertainty - Mathematical models. --- Risk - Mathematical models. --- Policy sciences - Mathematical models. --- Policy analysis --- Risk assessment. --- Uncertainty. --- Reasoning --- Analysis, Risk --- Assessment, Risk --- Risk analysis --- Risk evaluation --- Evaluation --- Monograph --- Health Sciences --- Psychiatry & Psychology --- Policy-making --- Policymaking --- Public policy management --- Uncertainty - Mathematical models --- Risk - Mathematical models --- Policy sciences - Mathematical models --- Quantitative methods (economics)
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