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1988 (11)

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Book
Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook, 1988 Edition.
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Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The Direction of Trade Statistics Online service provides data on the value of merchandise exports and imports between each country and all its trading partners. The database includes: total bilateral and multilateral exports and imports aggregated at national or regional group level; data from 1948 at monthly, quarterly, and annual frequencies.


Book
Debt/Equity Swaps.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462365221 1455281735 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper describes the development of debt/equity swaps in the years following the emergence of the international debt crisis. It discusses some of the possible advantages and disadvantages offered by such swaps to three groups of participants--the commercial banks, the investing companies, and the indebted countries. It also provides an analysis of how these swaps are treated in the balance of payments accounts of an indebted country and discusses their possible effects on that country’s money supply, foreign exchange rate and economic growth. The paper concludes that debt/equity swaps can help to make a country’s debt burden more manageable and can contribute to economic growth, but only to a limited extent.


Book
Multilateral Developing-Country Debt Rescheduling Negotiations : A Bargaining-Theoretic.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462306675 1455205060 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper employs a dynamic bargaining-theoretic framework to analyze multilateral sovereign debt rescheduling negotiations. The analysis illustrates how various factors, such as the debtor’s gains from trade and the level of world interest rates, affect the relative bargaining power of various parties to a rescheduling agreement. If creditor–country taxpayers have a vested interest in maintaining normal levels of trade with debtor countries, then they can sometimes be bargained into making sidepayments. The benefits from unanticipated creditor–country sidepayments accrue to both lenders and borrowers. But the benefits from perfectly anticipated sidepayments accrue entirely to borrowers.


Book
Exchange Rate "Fundamentals" versus Speculation : The Case of Lebanon.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462336817 145520210X Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The exchange rate for the Lebanese pound experienced a protracted period of depreciation from end-1982 to November 1987, followed by a marked appreciation over the following six months. This paper investigates the competing hypotheses that the exchange rate over these two periods was driven by a speculative bubble versus “fundamental” economic variables. Reduced-form and time series models for the exchange rate are estimated and tested for nonstationarity. The results of these test suggest that the pound’s volatility in recent years was consistent with an excessive growth in domestic versus foreign currency denominated liquidity rather than speculation.


Book
Voluntary Debt Reduction : Incentives and Welfare.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462325750 1455220248 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

In an economy with a debt overhang, investment depends on expected tax rates. On the other hand, expected tax rates depend on the debt’s face value. Therefore investment depends on the face value of debt. I show that this may lead to a positive or negative association between debt and investment depending on the degree of international capital mobility and attitudes toward risk. There may also exist multiple equilibria; with high and low investment levels. The paper explores the desirability of debt reduction in this environment. First, it characterizes circumstances in which debt reduction is desirable from the collective point of view of the creditors. Second, it formulates the forgiveness decision as a noncooperative game among creditors and explores the scope for debt reduction as an outcome of this game.


Book
Simple Analytics : Debt-Equity Swaps and Debt forgiveness.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462380336 1455278718 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper is concerned with debt-equity swaps in which foreign residents are a party to the exchange (i.e., it does not deal with flight capital), and with debt forgiveness. The seemingly unrelated issues of debt-equity swaps and debt forgiveness are jointly treated in this study, because debt forgiveness is in fact a special case of debt-equity swaps. Namely, it is a swap in which a positive amount of debt is exchanged for zero equity. For this reason these two problems have many common features.


Book
Italian Household Demand : Monetary Assets and Government Debt.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462321739 1455247472 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The composition of Italian household wealth has undergone significant changes in the last decade, partly reflecting the growth of public debt and monetary policies aimed at encouraging its absorption by the household sector. Within a theoretical framework consistent with the “money in the utility function” approach, this paper investigates household preferences for liquidity services provided by short-term financial assets. In the attempt to explain the factors underlying those changes, the empirical analysis provides information on the pattern of substitution for the main components of financial wealth and permits analysis of a variety of government interventions in asset markets.


Book
IMF Staff papers : Volume 35 No. 4.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455236098 1455256269 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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An intertemporal optimizing model of a small open economy is used to analyze how terms of trade changes affect real exchange rates and the trade balance. Temporary current, (expected) future, and permanent changes in the terms of trade are considered. The results suggest that the relationship between the terms of trade and the current account (the so-called Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect) is sensitive to whether the model incorporates nontradable goods. Thus, the real exchange rate may be an important variable through which terms of trade shocks are transmitted to the current account.


Book
Finance & Development, June 1988.
Author:
ISBN: 1463985673 1463985665 1616353732 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents the views of Michel Camdessus, Managing Director of the IMF, on how the IMF can face new challenges. Camdessus believes that the key responsibility for resolving debt difficulties lies with the indebted countries themselves. They need to be more resolute in adopting and implementing sound macroeconomic policies and bold structural reforms. Camdessus states that the IMF has available US$12 billion to support adjustment in the low-income countries through the structural adjustment facility and the enhanced structural adjustment facility.


Book
Statistical Issues of Debt Conversions.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462371256 1455297887 Year: 1988 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines two aspects of debt conversions. First, it examines general aspects of secondary markets of developing countries’ bank debt, and the debt conversions that have taken place in a number of developing countries experiencing debt servicing difficulties. Second, by using common characteristics of debt conversion transactions, the paper analyzes the effects of debt conversions on monetary, balance of payments, and fiscal accounts in the debtor countries. It concludes with discussions on implications of debt conversions for reports of external debt statistics.

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