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"Yeats sheds new light on other earthquake hot-spots around the world and the communities at risk, including Caracas, Kabul, Tehran, and Jerusalem. He examines these seismic threats in the context of recent cultural history, including economic development, national politics, and international conflicts, and draws comparisons between the capacity of first-world and developing-world coutnries to prepare for the inevitable"--Dust jacket
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Seismology --- Earthquake prediction --- China. --- China
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This monograph provides an up-to-date overview on methods and techniques in seismology, with a focus on describing and detecting seismic waves in anisotropic media. The author discusses structural, physical and mechanical aspects of the crust by analyzing earthquake data from field studies, rendering the book a practical reference for researchers in seismology and applied geophysics. Contents: Rock Anisotropy, Fracture and Earthquake Assessment Seismic Wave Propagation in Anisotropic Rocks with Applications to Defining Fractures in Earth Crust Reproducing the Realistic Compressive-tensile Strength Ratio of Rocks using Discrete Element Model Rock Fracture under Static and Dynamic Stress Multiple Linear Regression Analyses on the Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement PI Algorithm Applied to the Sichuan-Yunnan Region: A Statistical Physics Method for Intermediate-term Medium-range Earthquake Forecast in Continental China Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Pacific Island Countries
Seismic waves --- Earthquake prediction. --- Seismology. --- Measurement.
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An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can't predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science-and pseudoscience-of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field-describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.
Earthquake prediction. --- Earthquakes --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Forecasting --- Prediction
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"This book explores the famous clash between two high-profile scientists over a consequential question: Is California earthquake country? Set in the first half of the twentieth century, when seismology was still in its infancy, this debate had life-or-death consequences for the millions of people migrating west. After the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, people wanted to know: Is it safe? And how can we best prepare for the next big one? Susan Hough focuses on the renowned geologist Bailey Willis as a crusading protagonist, and Robert T. Hill as the man who played his nemesis. Working in the tradition of Simon Winchester, who uses stories about lost historical figures to explore complex questions of science and society, Hough uses entwined biographies of the two men to offer a lively and accessible account of how step-by-step we learned about earthquakes-and the ways that politics and financial interests hindered that conversation. Embedded in this debate are two epic earthquakes: the 1925 Santa Barbara earthquake and the 1933 Long Beach earthquake. Both were responsible for scores of deaths, an incredible amount of damage, and both were turning points for our scientific knowledge and for mainstreaming the idea of earthquake safety. While offering readers a fascinating overview of earthquake science, The Great Quake Debate sheds light on enduring questions surrounding the environmental hazards on our dynamic planet. What challenges face scientists bearing bad news in the public arena? How do we balance risk and the need to sustain communities and cities? And are we ready for the next big one?"--
Earthquakes --- Earthquake prediction --- Geologists --- Seismology --- History --- Hill, Robert Thomas, --- Willis, Bailey, --- United States. --- Southern California. --- Earthquake prediction. --- Earthquakes. --- Seismology.
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The book covers multi-disciplinary topics in observational, computational and applied geophysics in aspects of solid earth system. The authors provide an up-to-date overview for methods and techniques in seismology, with a focus on fault structure, strong ground motion and earthquake forecast based on full-3D earth structure models. Abundant of case studies make it a practical reference for researchers in seismology and applied geophysics.
Earthquake prediction. --- Seismology. --- Seismic waves --- Waves, Seismic --- Elastic waves --- Seismography --- Geophysics --- Earthquakes --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Measurement. --- Forecasting --- Prediction
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The Politics of Earthquake Prediction is a suspenseful account of what happens when scientists predict an enormous earthquake for a specific day--an earthquake that did not, in this instance, happen, but which, if it had, would have been one of the most destructive of our century. Working in a field where uncertainty abounds, Dr. Brian Brady of the U.S. Bureau of Mines and Dr. William Spence of the U.S. Geological Survey gradually came to the conclusion that a catastrophic quake would occur on June 28, 1981, off the coast of central Peru, near the great population center of Lima-Callao. Their research was based on a theory challenging scientific notions widely accepted in the seismological "establishment." This book is a fast-paced but thorough and sensitive description of how this scientific dispute became a political controversy.The work portrays in detail the struggles of scientists and government officials in both the United States and Peru attempting to "do the right thing" as the target date approached. The authors emphasize the political, economic, and moral dilemmas of earthquake prediction, the impact of the media, and the potentially drastic consequences of ignoring a valid prediction.Originally published in 1989.The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
Earthquake prediction --- POLITICAL SCIENCE / General. --- Earthquakes --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Political aspects. --- Forecasting --- Prediction --- United States --- Peru --- Foreign relations
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Earthquake prediction --- Seismology --- Tremblements de terre --- Sismologie --- Seismology. --- Research --- Prévision --- Recherche --- Research. --- Earthquakes --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Seismography --- Geophysics --- Forecasting --- Prediction
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The theory of plate tectonics transformed earth science. The hypothesis that the earth's outermost layers consist of mostly rigid plates that move over an inner surface helped describe the growth of new seafloor, confirm continental drift, and explain why earthquakes and volcanoes occur in some places and not others. Lynn R. Sykes played a key role in the birth of plate tectonics, conducting revelatory research on earthquakes. In this book, he gives an invaluable insider's perspective on the theory's development and its implications.Sykes combines lucid explanation of how plate tectonics revolutionized geology with unparalleled personal reflections. He entered the field when it was on the cusp of radical discoveries. Studying the distribution and mechanisms of earthquakes, Sykes pioneered the identification of seismic gaps-regions that have not ruptured in great earthquakes for a long time-and methods to estimate the possibility of quake recurrence. He recounts the various phases of his career, including his antinuclear activism, and the stories of colleagues around the world who took part in changing the paradigm. Sykes delves into the controversies over earthquake prediction and their importance, especially in the wake of the giant 2011 Japanese earthquake and the accompanying Fukushima disaster. He highlights geology's lessons for nuclear safety, explaining why historic earthquake patterns are crucial to understanding the risks to power plants. Plate Tectonics and Great Earthquakes is the story of a scientist witnessing a revolution and playing an essential role in making it.
Earthquakes --- Seismic event location. --- Faults (Geology) --- Plate tectonics. --- Nuclear power plants --- Earthquake prediction. --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Tectonics, Plate --- Geodynamics --- Fault lines (Geology) --- Faulting (Geology) --- Geological faults --- Lines, Fault (Geology) --- Geology, Structural --- Earthquake location --- Location of earthquakes --- Location of seismic events --- Seismology --- Quakes (Earthquakes) --- Earth movements --- Natural disasters --- History. --- Earthquake effects. --- Forecasting --- Prediction --- Location techniques --- Sykes, L. R. --- Sykes, Lynn Ray
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Deep earthquakes (earthquakes with origins deeper than 60 km) are of scientific importance and account for approximately one-quarter of all earthquakes. They are occasionally very large and damaging yet provide much of the data that constrain our knowledge of Earth structure and dynamics. This book opens with an explanation of what deep earthquakes are, their significance to science and how they were first discovered. Later chapters provide a description of deep earthquake distribution and clustering in both time and space; a review of observations about source properties; and a discussion of theories for the origin of deep earthquakes. The book concludes with a comprehensive literature review of terrestrial and lunar deep seismicity. Deep Earthquakes presents a comprehensive, topical, historical, and geographical summary of deep earthquakes and related phenomena. It will be of considerable interest to researchers and graduate students in the fields of earthquake seismology and deep Earth structure.
Earthquakes. --- Seismometry. --- Earthquake prediction. --- Seismic event location. --- Moonquakes. --- Moon quakes --- Quakes (Moonquakes) --- Lunar geology --- Extraterrestrial seismology --- Earthquake location --- Earthquakes --- Location of earthquakes --- Location of seismic events --- Seismology --- Prediction, Earthquake --- Geophysical prediction --- Seismography --- Quakes (Earthquakes) --- Earth movements --- Natural disasters --- Location techniques --- Forecasting --- Prediction --- Measurement --- Extraterrestrial seismology. --- Astrogeology --- Moonquakes
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