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Winner of the 2002 DeGroot Prize.Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks that support the modelling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors over a number of years, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms, emphasizing those cases in which exact answers are obtainable. It covers both the updating of probabilistic uncertainty in the light of new evidence, and statistical inference, about unknown probabilities or unknown model structure, in the light of new data. The careful attention to detail will make this work an important reference source for all those involved in the theory and applications of probabilistic expert systems.This book was awarded the first DeGroot Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis for a book making an important, timely, thorough, and notably original contribution to the statistics literature.

519.2 --- Probability. Mathematical statistics --- 519.2 Probability. Mathematical statistics --- Mathematics. --- Artificial intelligence. --- Probabilities. --- Statistics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences. --- Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics). --- Expert systems (Computer science) --- Probabilities --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Knowledge-based systems (Computer science) --- Systems, Expert (Computer science) --- Artificial intelligence --- Computer systems --- Soft computing --- Stochastic processes --- Artificial intelligence. Robotics. Simulation. Graphics --- Expert systems (Computer science). --- Systèmes experts (Informatique) --- Probabilités --- EPUB-LIV-FT SPRINGER-B --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Artificial Intelligence. --- Statistics . --- AI (Artificial intelligence) --- Artificial thinking --- Electronic brains --- Intellectronics --- Intelligence, Artificial --- Intelligent machines --- Machine intelligence --- Thinking, Artificial --- Bionics --- Cognitive science --- Digital computer simulation --- Electronic data processing --- Logic machines --- Machine theory --- Self-organizing systems --- Simulation methods --- Fifth generation computers --- Neural computers --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Expert systems (computer science)

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