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Trade Effects of Currency Unions : Do Economic Dissimilarities Matter?
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ISBN: 1451915608 1462305334 1451871074 1282842005 9786612842009 1452747059 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/249 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides a general equilibrium analysis of the trade effects of the formation of a currency union, and of its subsequent enlargement to include an economically dissimilar country. Furthermore, it investigates how economic dissimilarities among countries affect the magnitude of the trade effects fostered by a common currency. We show that sharing a common currency enhances the volume of bilateral trade among countries. However, the more economically dissimilar is an accession country, compared to the original members of a currency union, the smaller are the gains in trade that would follow the enlargement of a currency union.

Hyperinflation, currency board, and bust : the case of Argentina
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ISBN: 363155608X 0820487082 3631754477 9783631754474 Year: 2018 Publisher: Bern Peter Lang International Academic Publishing Group

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This book focuses on «Convertibilidad», the latest Argentine experience of exchange rate based stabilisation, and aims at isolating the main causes for its tragic collapse in 2001-2002. The characteristics of Argentina’s high and hyperinflation during the 1980s are analysed, and the theory of currency boards is expounded. The stabilisation tool, an institutionally highly credible currency board arrangement (CBA), though highly effective, could not be an optimal long-term solution, given the country’s structural and trade characteristics. The analysis of the causes of the CBA’s collapse yields a complex picture of interacting factors, among them invaliding ones that had created multiple vulnerabilities over years, and triggering ones that unfolded their worst potential in meeting such vulnerable conditions.

Don't Fix, Don't Float
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1280030976 9786610030972 9264195521 9264195335 Year: 2001 Publisher: Paris : OECD Publishing,

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Don´t Fix, Don´t Float is a book about credibility, or lack thereof. It deals with questions pertaining to international financial architecture from the perspective of developing countries, emerging markets and transition economies. Should the monetary authority fix the exchange rate of the national currency? Should it instead let the currency float in foreign exchange markets? What about bands, baskets and crawls between the fix and the float corners? Answering these questions is of significance to the national economy involved and, with regard to global finance, often beyond. In the same way that there may never be a pure float, even among key currencies, an instant fix does not provide a fast lane to credibility. Credibility is earned abroad as the development process reinforces institution building in monetary, financial and budgetary matters. Indeed, rules for budgetary adjustment (such as the zero deficit in Argentina or the EU Stability and Growth Pact) are necessary for any exchange-rate regime to deliver economic growth and development. In Don´t Fix, Don´t Float, the case for intermediate regimes is made for five country groups in Africa, Asia and Latin America. Developing countries, emerging markets and transition economies, together with the OECD area, are facing the consequences of a worsening global economic outlook. In this environment, the development perspective underlying Don’t Fix, Don’t Float is clearly essential.


Book
Foreign Exchange Market Volatility in Eu Accession Countries in the Run-Up to Euro Adoption : Weathering Uncharted Waters
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462304680 1452706913 1281090271 1451891369 9786613775634 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper analyzes foreign exchange market volatility in four Central European EU accession countries in 2001-2003. By using a Markov regime-switching model, it identifies two regimes representing high- and low-volatility periods. The estimation results show not only that volatilities are different between the two regimes but also that some of the cross-correlations differ. Notably, cross-correlations increase substantially for two pairs of currencies (the Hungarian forint-Polish zloty and the Czech koruna-Slovak koruna) in the high-volatility period. The paper concludes by discussing the policy implications of these findings.


Book
Do Currency Fundamentals Matter for Currency Speculators?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462319424 1452758123 1283563150 9786613875600 1451918844 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The answer seems affirmative. We compare currency carry trades with an investment strategy based on currency fundamentals: taking a long (short) position in undervalued (overvalued) currencies. Carry trades have high risk-adjusted returns, but are subject to "crash risk." In contrast, the fundamental strategy has lower risk-adjusted returns, but is less prone to crash risk, because the realization of crash risk coincides with corrections towards fundamentals. In particular, the fundamental strategy outperformed carry trades during the recent global financial crisis. Building on these results, we present early warning indicators for potential turbulence in the currency market.


Book
Dedollarization
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462315372 1455284866 1282846604 9786612846601 1455202223 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides a summary of the key policies that encourage dedollarization. It focuses on cases in which the authorities’ intention is to gain greater control of monetary policy and draws on the experiences of countries that have successfully dedollarized. Unlike previous work on the subject, this paper examines both macroeconomic stabilization policies and microeconomic measures, such as prudential regulation of the financial system. This study is also the first attempt to make extensive use of the foreign exchange regulation data reported in the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific microeconomic measures.


Book
Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
Authors: --- --- --- ---
ISBN: 1455247847 1451983492 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg.


Book
Convergentieverslag : verslag krachtens artikel 109 J van het Verdrag tot oprichting van de Europese Gemeenschap
Author:
ISBN: 9291660612 Year: 1998 Publisher: Francfort-sur-le-Main Institut monétaire européen


Periodical
IMF staff papers
Author:
ISSN: 10207635 15645150 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Keywords

International finance --- International Monetary Fund --- Foreign exchange --- Commerce --- Currency question --- Economic history --- Change --- Question monétaire --- Histoire économique --- Periodicals --- Periodicals. --- Périodiques --- MONETARY ANALYSIS. --- FOREIGN EXCHANGE. --- FINANCE. --- E-journals --- Business, Economy and Management --- Economics --- Finance --- General and Others --- Insurance and Investment --- -Foreign exchange --- -Commerce --- -Currency question --- -332.05 --- Fiat money --- Free coinage --- Monetary question --- Scrip --- Currency crises --- Finance, Public --- Legal tender --- Money --- Trade --- Business --- Transportation --- Cambistry --- Currency exchange --- Exchange, Foreign --- Foreign currency --- Foreign exchange problem --- Foreign money --- Forex --- FX (Finance) --- International exchange --- Electronic information resources --- Question monétaire --- Histoire économique --- Périodiques --- EBSCOASP-E EJECONO EPUB-ALPHA-I EPUB-PER-FT FONMONINT-E JSTOR-E PROQUEST-E --- Commerce. --- Currency question. --- Foreign exchange. --- Volkswirtschaftslehre --- Zeitschrift --- Wirtschaftswissenschaften --- Ökonomie --- Wirtschaftswissenschaft --- Periodikum --- Zeitschriften --- Presse --- Fortlaufendes Sammelwerk --- Nationalökonomie --- Sozialökonomie --- Sozialökonomik --- Sozioökonomie --- Wirtschaftstheorie --- Industries --- Wymienialność waluty --- Wymienialność waluty. --- Banking --- Ökonomie --- Nationalökonomie --- Sozialökonomie --- Sozialökonomik --- Sozioökonomie --- Traffic (Commerce) --- Merchants --- Commerce - Periodicals. --- Currency question - Periodicals. --- Foreign exchange - Periodicals. --- Monnaie --- Commerce international


Book
Financial Dollarization in Latin America
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451862679 1462313493 1451908032 9786613822635 1452760241 1282590456 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper tests several explanations for financial dollarization (FD), with an emphasis on Latin America. The results provide evidence that FD is a rational response to inflation uncertainty. The paper builds on previous research by finding that an exchange rate policy biased towards currency depreciation and currency mismatches tends to contribute to high FD and that FD is highly persistent. These results suggest that countries with significant FD should encourage the use of domestic currency by maintaining macroeconomic stability; allowing more exchange rate flexibility and less bias towards currency depreciation; and adapting prudential regulations to ensure that costs associated with FD are fully internalized in financial contracts. At the same time, restoring confidence in the domestic currency may take many years of sound policies.

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