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Listing 1 - 10 of 1974 << page
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Book
Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462307663 1451984456 1281601845 1451893647 9786613782533 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

“Program numbers” from a sample of IMF-supported programs are studied as if they were forecasts, through statistical analyses of the relationship between projections and outcomes for growth, inflation, and three balance of payments concepts. Statistical bias is found only for projections of inflation and official reserves. Statistical efficiency can be rejected for all variables except growth, suggesting that some program projections were less accurate than they might have been. Nevertheless, most projections are found to have some predictive value. Since several findings are shown to be sample-dependent, the full-sample results should be interpreted cautiously.


Book
The Size and Sustainability of Nigerian Current Account Deficits
Author:
ISBN: 1462374182 1451986440 1281430064 9786613780348 1451897022 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper uses an intertemporal model of the current account and macroeconomic indicators to examine the size and sustainability of Nigerian current account deficits over the 1960-97 period. The results indicate that the Nigerian economy appeared to satisfy its intertemporal budget constraint during this period. However there were years marked by excessive current account deficits. The results also support the view that current account deficits accompanied by macroeconomic instability and structural weaknesses can degenerate in to an external crisis.


Book
Fiscal Policy Independence in a European Monetary Union.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462349064 1455291838 Year: 1990 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The issue of whether constraints should be placed on fiscal policies when moving to European monetary union is examined in the context of the use of fiscal policy for macroeconomic stabilization purposes. Examples of shocks hitting French and German economies are considered: an appreciation of their joint exchange rate against other currencies, an inflation shock, and an oil price increase. Except in the third case, flexible use of fiscal policies in the two countries is likely to give better outcomes than a system with constraints on their use. For the oil price shock, there seems to be a good case for policy coordination, not for ceilings on fiscal deficits.


Book
Benin : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 145528548X 145274548X 1280888814 9786613730121 1451982887 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the external sustainability and competitiveness of Benin’s economy. Balance of payments flows suggest Benin’s external position is sustainable. Large trade and current account deficits are comfortably financed by inflows through the capital and financial accounts, in particular project grants and loans, private capital, and inflows to commercial banks. It is estimated that Benin could sustain a net foreign liability position in the range of 40–60 percent of GDP, corresponding to current account deficits of 3–5 percent of GDP.


Book
Jordan : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455279323 1451990685 1280894776 9786613736086 1451996241 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The Selected Issues paper on Jordan analyzes the Jordanian dinar, which has historically operated within a fixed exchange rate regime. The deterioration in 2004 and 2005 reflected an exceptionally rapid increase in imports, as the saving-investment balance shifted. Following an improvement in 2006, the current account again deteriorated in 2007 from a negative impact of international food and fuel prices. Import developments have been the single most important determinant of swings in the current account, followed to a lesser extent by the impact of exports and grants.


Book
Capital Inflows and Balance of Payments Pressures : Tailoring Policy Responses in Emerging Market Economies
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1462393594 1455239550 145194599X Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Although capital inflows are generally beneficial to recipient countries, they also pose a challenge for the conduct of economic policy. This paper proposes a conceptual taxonomy to guide the design of policy responses in the face of capital flows. We explore how responses to capital surges should be differentiated based on the source of balance of payments pressures. We also examine whether the policy choices in emerging market countries conform to the taxonomy's predictions and find some correspondence, especially during periods of high global liquidity.


Book
Wirtschafts- und Rechnungsbu¨cher des Mittelalters und der Fru¨hen Neuzeit
Authors: ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Göttingen : Universitätsverlag Göttingen,

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Abstract

Wirtschafts- und Rechnungsbücher bieten mehrdimensionale Zugänge und erfordern multidisziplinäre Annäherungen. Dass sie weit mehr sind als Einnahmen- und Ausgabeverzeichnisse zeigen die hier vorliegenden 17 Beiträge mit Beispielen von Lübeck bis Lyon. Sie vereinen die Ergebnisse eines Workshops, der diese Gattung serieller Quellen von Seiten der Geschichtswissenschaft und der Historischen Sprachforschung, der Editions- und Medienwissenschaft sowie der historischen Wirtschafts- und Betriebswirtschaftswissenschaft in den Blick genommen hat.


Book
Debt Accumulation in the CIS-7 Countries : Bad Luck, Bad Policies, or Bad Advice?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462383254 1452709882 128131384X 1451897537 9786613778642 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Following the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1992, several low-income countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) accumulated substantial external debt in a short time span, about half of which is owed to multilateral financial institutions. Three factors contributed to the current debt burden. First, the initial years of transition brought large systemic economic disruptions, loss of transfers from the center and collapse of trade relations among Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA) countries, and negative terms of trade shocks. Second, fiscal and other reforms, and consequently, growth revival, took longer than expected. Third, overoptimism by multilaterals contributed to the high debt levels. If external financial assistance, which was needed because of high social costs of the transition, had come in the form of grants in the first two or three years of the transition, the debt burden would have been lower and sustainable.


Book
On Cyclicality in the Current and Financial Accounts : Evidence from Nine Industrial Countries
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 146232259X 1451996446 1282003410 9786613795632 1451906110 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper investigates cyclical fluctuations in the current and financial (formerly capital) accounts of the balance of payments and major underlying components for nine industrial countries. The empirical model uses as explanatory variables domestic output growth, price inflation, real exchange rate fluctuations, energy price inflation, global growth, and regional growth. The evidence from the estimation of the model indicates the importance of fluctuations in output growth to the cyclicality of the current and financial account balances. The necessary and sufficient condition to sustain a large current account deficit is high domestic growth, which tends to stimulate financial inflows and provides adequate resources for financing. Other factors appear to be less important to the cyclicality of the current and financial account balances and their negative correlations.


Book
Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals : A Methodological Comparison of BEERs and FEERs
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462342930 1452708894 1283567806 1451895402 9786613880253 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper compares two approaches for examining the extent to which a country’s actual real effective exchange rate is consistent with economic fundamentals: the FEER approach, which involves calculating the real exchange rate that equates the current account at full employment with sustainable net capital flows, and the BEER approach, which uses econometric methods to establish a behavioral link between the real rate and relevant economic variables. An exchange rate model is estimated for the G-3 currencies to provide illustrative comparisons of BEERs and FEERs.

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