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Book
International Reserves—Too Much of a Zipf’s Thing
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ISBN: 1462391125 1452758174 1283274043 9786613823434 1451913265 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Concentrated distribution of international reserves is puzzling. I show that the growth rates of international reserves bear only a very weak relationship to their initial stocks (scaled by GDP or in absolute terms), and that, by implication, the cross-sectional distribution of reserves conforms to Zipf's law. The law states that the size of reserves is inversely related to their ranking. Evidence in favor of the law is strong and time robust. I compare the crosssection distribution of international reserves embedded in the WEO projections to that implied by Zipf's law and find that international reserves are much less concentrated in the WEO projections than implied by Zipf's law.


Book
Precautionary Reserves : An Application to Bolivia
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462364837 1452711704 1283560585 1451993080 9786613873033 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Using precautionary savings models we compute levels of optimal reserves for Bolivia. Because of Bolivia's reliance on commodity exports and little integration with capital markets, we focus on current account shocks as the key balance of payments risk. These models generate an optimal level of net foreign assets ranging from 29 to 37 percent of GDP. For comparison purposes, we contrasted these results with standard rule of thumb measures of reserve adequacy, which in the case of Bolivia resulted in substantially lower levels of adequate reserves. These differing results emphasize the need to appropriately account for country-specific risks in order to derive adequate measures of reserve buffers.


Book
Optimal Reserves in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451916590 1462320465 9786612842986 1451872240 1282842986 1452782369 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Recent turbulence in global and Caribbean regional financial markets underscore the importance of reassessing the adequacy of international reserves held by the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). Using the Jeanne (2007) optimization framework, this paper finds that international reserves held by the ECCB are generally adequate for a variety of external current account and capital account shocks. However, the ECCB would be challenged in the event of moderate to severe deposit outflows.


Book
How much should I hold?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475529406 1475505558 1475553676 1475581882 9781475529401 9781475505559 9781475581881 9781475505559 9781475581881 9781475553673 Year: 2012 Volume: WP/12/205 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund

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Abstract

This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. It uses quantile regression techniques to allow the estimated factors driving reserves holdings to vary along the reserves’ holding distribution and tests for equality among the slope coefficients of the various quantile regressions and the overall models. F-tests comparing the inter-quantile differences could not reject the that the models for the different quantiles of SIs reserve distribution were similar but this was rejected for EMs distribution suggesting that models explaining drivers of reserve holdings should take into account the country’s reserve holdings. Empirical analysis suggests that the metric performs better than existing metrics in reducing crisis probabilities in SIs.


Book
International Reserve Adequacy in Central America.
Author:
ISBN: 146235565X 1462318320 1283555751 9786613868206 1455268453 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Countries’ absolute and relative international reserves adequacy has recently attracted considerable attention. The analysis has however concentrated on the largest and most advanced economies. We apply various methodologies for assessing reserve adequacy in Central America, taking into account the region’s high degree of deposit dollarization. We find that reserve cover is low both in an absolute and relative sense, suggesting further reserve accumulation is an important policy option for reducing vulnerabilities.


Book
Central African Economic and Monetary Community : Selected Issues.
Author:
ISBN: 1475535546 Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This Selected Issues paper assesses the appropriate level of international reserves for the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa. The management of the regional central bank’s (BEAC’s) international reserves is governed by monetary cooperation agreements with France. In view of current risks, it is suggested that the BEAC should define its target level of international reserves. The BEAC should have a framework that reflects fairly each member state’s contribution to the pooled reserves. The enforcement of the surrender requirement should be based on a finding of noncompliance even if the target level is achieved. The institutional framework for reserve management should also provide for the achievement of the target level.


Book
Islamic Republic of Mauritania : Selected Issues Paper.
Author:
ISBN: 1498369243 1484336577 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This Selected Issues paper analyzes various aspects of fiscal framework in the Republic of Mauritania. Mauritania needs to avoid pro-cyclical fiscal policies and adopt rules that guide medium-term fiscal sustainability. Fiscal policy has been responsible and focused on fiscal consolidation, but important challenges lie ahead linked to price volatility, exhaustibility of resources, and effective use of resources. Mauritania has important natural resource wealth, and its fiscal policy is shaped by considerations resulting from its reliance on resource revenues. Prospects for price shocks in the short term and significant mining expansion in the long term could pose significant challenges to fiscal policy management. The analysis of fiscal framework options reveals that a fiscal rule which targets a nonresource primary balance for long-term sustainability, designed to allow some frontloading of public spending on productive investment, would be appropriate for Mauritania under the assumption of a finite resource horizon. A fiscal rule targeting a structural resource balance would be appropriate in the scenario of long-lasting resources, possible under the assumption of favorable developments in the global commodity markets.

Keywords

Economic development --- Monetary policy --- Reserves (Accounting) --- Accounting --- Amortization --- Sinking-funds --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Mauritania --- Mauretania --- Mauritanie --- Mavritanii︠a︡ --- Islamskai︠a︡ Respublika Mavritanii︠a︡ --- Territoire de la Mauritanie --- Islamic Republic of Mauritania --- République islamique de Mauritanie --- Jumhūrīyah al-Islāmīyah al-Mūrītānīyah --- R.I. Mauritanie --- RI Mauritanie --- Mūrītāniyā --- République islamique arabe et africaine de Mauritanie --- Mūrītāniyyah --- Al-Ğumhūriyyah al-Islāmiyyah al-Mūrītāniyyah --- Ğumhūriyyah al-Islāmiyyah al-Mūrītāniyyah --- Muritaniyah --- موريتانيا --- Mūrītānyā --- Gànnaar --- Murutaane --- Moritani --- الجمهورية الإسلامية الموريتانية --- al-Jumhūrīyah al-Islāmīyah al-Mūrītānīyah --- جمهورية الإسلامية الموريتانية --- モーリタニア --- Mōritania --- Mauretanien --- Foreign economic relations --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Education: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Public investment spending --- Fiscal policy --- Productivity --- Fiscal governance --- Expenditure --- Production --- Public investments --- Industrial productivity --- Consumption --- Mauritania, Islamic Republic of

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