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Book
International Reserves in Low Income Countries : Have they Served As Buffers?.
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ISBN: 1463930569 1463950829 146396854X 1463935749 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper provides a historical perspective on the role of international reserves in low-income countries as a cushion against large external shocks over the last three decades - including the current global crisis. The results suggest that international reserves have played a role in buffering external shocks, with the resulting macroeconomic costs varying with the nature of the shock, the economy's structural characteristics, and the level of reserves.


Book
How much should I hold?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475529406 1475505558 1475553676 1475581882 9781475529401 9781475505559 9781475581881 9781475505559 9781475581881 9781475553673 Year: 2012 Volume: WP/12/205 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund

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This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. It uses quantile regression techniques to allow the estimated factors driving reserves holdings to vary along the reserves’ holding distribution and tests for equality among the slope coefficients of the various quantile regressions and the overall models. F-tests comparing the inter-quantile differences could not reject the that the models for the different quantiles of SIs reserve distribution were similar but this was rejected for EMs distribution suggesting that models explaining drivers of reserve holdings should take into account the country’s reserve holdings. Empirical analysis suggests that the metric performs better than existing metrics in reducing crisis probabilities in SIs.


Book
Shifting Motives : Explaining the Buildup in official Reserves in Emerging Markets Since the 1980's
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1463990855 1463934432 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Why have emerging market economies (EMEs) been stockpiling international reserves? We find that motives have varied over time?vulnerability to current account shocks was relatively important in the 1980s but, as EMEs have become more financially integrated, factors related to the magnitude of potential capital outflows have gained in importance. Reserve accumulation as a by-product of undervalued currencies has also become more important since the Asian crisis. Correspondingly, using quantile regressions, we find that the reason for holding reserves varies according to the country's position in the global reserves distribution. High reserve holders, who tend to be more financially integrated, are motivated by insurance against capital account rather than current account shocks, and are more sensitive to the cost of holding reserves than are low-reserve holders. Currency undervaluation is a significant determinant across the reserves distribution, albeit for different reasons.


Book
Assessing Reserve Adequacy in Low-Income Countries
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1475531141 1475554524 147552384X 9781475523843 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Low-income countries routinely experience exogenous disturbances—sharp swings in the terms of trade, export demand, natural disasters, and volatile financial flows—that contribute to higher volatility in aggregate output and consumption compared with other countries. Assessing Reserve Adequacy in Low-Income Countries presents the findings of an analysis of a range of external shocks faced by these countries, beginning with a discussion of the impact of external shocks on macroeconomic growth, volatility, and welfare. Although sound macroeconomic and prudential policy frameworks are the first line of defense for limiting vulnerability, international reserves constitute the main form of self-insurance against such shocks. The evidence suggests that low-income countries with reserve coverage above three months of imports were better able to smooth consumption and absorption in the face of external shocks compared with those with lower reserve holdings. The analysis also points to the importance of country characteristics and vulnerabilities in assessing reserve adequacy.


Book
Accounting for Reserves
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1475529120 1475556691 1299264425 1475576110 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Views on the effectiveness of sterilized reserve intervention vary. Sterilized intervention is generally seen as ineffective in advanced countries while persistent intervention by some emerging markets is often cited as contributing to undervalued exchange rates and current account surpluses. This paper argues that capital controls reconcile these views. We find strong and highly robust evidence that sterilized intervention is fully offset by outflows of private money in countries without controls, while controls partially block this offset. For a country with extensive capital controls, every dollar in additional reserves increases the current account by some 50 cents. This is mainly offset by an opposite adjustment in the current account of the United States—the dominant reserve currency issuer with the deepest and most liquid bond markets—with a smaller diversion to other emerging markets.


Book
International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity : Guidelines for a Data Template.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1484396170 1484324315 1484350162 1484304225 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This update of the guidelines published in 2001 sets forth the underlying framework for the Reserves Data Template and provides operational advice for its use. The updated version also includes three new appendices aimed at assisting member countries in reporting the required data.


Book
International Reserves and Rollover Risk
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1475534558 1616359366 129926509X 1475582412 9781475582413 1475571291 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Two striking facts about international capital flows in emerging economies motivate this paper: (1) Governments hold large amounts of international reserves, for which they obtain a return lower than their borrowing cost. (2) Purchases of domestic assets by nonresidents and purchases of foreign assets by residents are both procyclical and collapse during crises. We propose a dynamic model of endogenous default that can account for these facts. The government faces a trade-off between the benefits of keeping reserves as a buffer against rollover risk and the cost of having larger gross debt positions. Long-duration bonds, the countercyclical default premium, and sudden stops are important for the quantitative success of the model.


Book
Indonesia
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9781616352028 1616352027 1463939701 9786613848246 1463963319 1463991525 1283535793 9781463991524 9781283535793 6613848247 Year: 2012 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.]

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Abstract

Over the past decade, Indonesia has developed into an important regional and global economy, as well as an active participant in the G20. The chapters in this book document the substantial improvements in the quality of macroeconomic policy that Indonesia has achieved, while also clearly laying out an agenda of measures that should be taken to safeguard these gains and further lower vulnerabilities going forward. Rather than just demonstrating progress in key macroeconomic indicators, the contributors have delved into the ways that global volatility, especially since 2008, has affected Indonesia and how that country has adjusted its policies to meet the new challenges.

Keywords

Economic conditions. Economic development --- Public finance --- Indonesia --- Inflation (Finance) --- Monetary policy --- Fiscal policy --- Debts, Public --- Foreign exchange reserves --- Corporate governance --- Inflation --- Politique monétaire --- Politique fiscale --- Dettes publiques --- Réserves de change --- Gouvernance d'entreprise --- Indonésie --- Economic policy. --- Politique économique --- Corporations --- Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Politique monétaire --- Réserves de change --- Indonésie --- Politique économique --- Currency reserves, Foreign --- Foreign currency reserves --- Foreign reserves (Foreign exchange reserves) --- International reserves (Foreign exchange reserves) --- Reserves, Foreign exchange --- Debts, Government --- Government debts --- National debts --- Public debt --- Public debts --- Sovereign debt --- Business corporations --- C corporations --- Corporations, Business --- Corporations, Public --- Limited companies --- Publicly held corporations --- Publicly traded corporations --- Public limited companies --- Stock corporations --- Subchapter C corporations --- Governance, Corporate --- Finance, Public --- Reserves (Accounting) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Debt --- Bonds --- Deficit financing --- Business enterprises --- Corporate power --- Disincorporation --- Stocks --- Trusts, Industrial --- Industrial management --- Directors of corporations --- E-books --- Banks and Banking --- Corporate Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Public Finance --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Corporate Finance and Governance: General --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Banking --- Ownership & organization of enterprises --- Corporate sector --- Energy subsidies --- Economic sectors --- Reserve positions --- Central banks --- Expenditure --- Banks and banking --- Expenditures, Public

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