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Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment

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This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the forecasting power of a variety of monthly indicators purely on goodness-of-fit criteria, with an equilibrium-correction model that pins down the convergence of core inflation to its longer-run structural determinants. The result is a promising model for forecasting Thai core inflation over horizons up to 10, 24, and 55 months, based on a root mean-squared error criterion as well as a mean absolute error criterion.

Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Forecasting. --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Forecasting --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Forecasting and Other Model Applications --- Economic Forecasting --- Price indexes --- Consumer price indexes --- Economic forecasting --- Import price indexes --- Prices --- Thailand

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This book, based on the proceedings of a conference organised by the OECD and the Bank of England's Centre for Banking Studies,  examines cross-country issues related to the conduct of monetary policy in emerging markets and the role of inflation targeting in improving macroeconomic performance. it includes both cross-country analysis and country-specific case studies.  Countries covered include Brazil, Chile, Colombia, the Czech Republic, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa and Turkey.

Inflation (Finance) -- Congresses. --- Inflation (Finance) -- Latin America -- Congresses. --- Inflation targeting -- Congresses. --- Monetary policy -- Congresses. --- Monetary policy -- Latin America -- Congresses. --- Monetary policy --- Inflation targeting --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Inflation (Finance) --- Monetary management --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- International finance --- Anti-inflationary policies --- Politique monétaire --- Finances internationales --- Inflation --- Congresses. --- Congrès --- Politique gouvernementale

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We use cross-section and time-series techniques to analyze pricing behavior in Sierra Leone. In cross-sectional data, we find that inflation volatility and product diversification are the main factors explaining differences in the frequency of price adjustments. We show that variance in the fraction of prices subject to change is a key determinant of inflation volatility in Sierra Leone, indicating that retail prices are sensitive to economic events. We explain variations in this fraction over time with past inflation and monetary growth, which are important policy variables.

Electronic books. -- local. --- Inflation (Finance) -- Sierra Leone -- Econometric models. --- Pricing -- Sierra Leone -- Econometric models. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Inflation (Finance) --- Pricing --- Econometric models. --- Price policy --- Price policy, Industrial --- Retail pricing --- Marketing --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- Consumer price indexes --- Food prices --- Inflation persistence --- Sticky prices --- Price indexes --- Sierra Leone

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This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Inflation (Finance) --- Anti-inflationary policies. --- Antiinflationary policies --- Government policy --- Economic policy --- Price regulation --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Investments: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Monetary Policy --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Exchange rates --- Return on investment --- Inflation targeting --- Real exchange rates --- Prices --- Saving and investment --- Monetary policy --- Singapore