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Explores why some financial crises appear to be contagious, and why some financial markets in emerging market countries appear to be vulnerable to contagion whereas others are not. The authors analyze multicountry crisis episodes from January 1989 to August 1997 and develop four informal models of transition mechanisms: (1) "Economic linkages" describes the case where a foreign financial crisis acts as a common shock to countries with strong economic linkages to the country in crisis; (2) "heightened awareness" suggests that investors with incomplete information may ignore poor economic conditions in some countries until a crisis occurs somewhere else, at which point they dump their investments in those countries; (3) "portfolio adjustment" describes what happens when liquidity-constrained portfolio managers sell off other countries' assets in order to meet an expected increase in redemptions from a country in crisis; (4) "herd behavior" is probably the most widely accepted view of contagion, suggesting that investors abandon their investments largely in response to what they think other investors are doing. Finally, case studies of Argentina, South Africa, and Thailand illustrate the usefulness of the models.
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Responder a nuevos retos implica adoptar marcos de referencia más ambiciosos, diseñar herramientas más eficaces y proponer políticas más precisas que tomen en cuenta su carácter complejo y multidimensional. La meta es tener una idea más clara de cómo las economías funcionan en realidad y cómo articular estrategias que reflejen este entendimiento. La iniciativa de la OCDE Nuevos Enfoques ante los Retos Económicos (NAEC, por sus siglas en inglés) cuestiona nuestros supuestos y nuestro entendimiento del funcionamiento de la economía. En esta colección de Esenciales OCDE se resumen las opiniones de expertos internos y externos a la Organización sobre cómo puede la NAEC contribuir a lograr los ODS y describe de qué manera la OCDE pone sus capacidades de estadística, seguimiento y análisis al servicio de la comunidad internacional.
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This publication provides comprehensive data on the volume, origin and types of aid and other resource flows to around 150 developing countries. The data show each country's receipts of official development assistance as well as other official and private funds from members of the Development Assistance Committee of the OECD, multilateral agencies and other key providers. Key development indicators are given for reference.
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Au cours des dernières décennies, les IDE ont figuré parmi les principaux bénéficiaires de la libéralisation des mouvements de capitaux, tant et si bien qu'ils constituent aujourd'hui la forme principale des entrées de capitaux dans de nombreux pays en développement, y compris des pays à faible niveau de revenu comme le Tchad, le Soudan ou la Zambie. Si l'on peut à juste titre se réjouir d'un tel succès, les dérèglements financiers actuels ne sont cependant pas de bon augure pour la pérennité de ces flux en 2009.
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This note provides guidance on assessment letters and statements, including identifying the circumstances in which they are called for, and outlining the content, the review process, and the ground rules for circulation to the Board and for publication. Such letters or statements may be prepared for countries with programs supported by the Fund through financial assistance, a Policy Support Instrument (PSI) or Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI), countries receiving Fund emergency assistance, countries with staff-monitored programs (SMPs), or surveillance-only cases.
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Fintech presents unique opportunities for central banks. The rapid changes in technology that are transforming the financial system will allow central banks to enhance the execution of various of their core functions, such as currency issuance and payment systems. But some aspects of fintech pose major challenges. Central banks have always been at the cutting edge of financial technology and innovation. In the past, the invention of the banknote, the processing of payments through debits and credits in book-entry accounts, and the successive transitions of interbank payment systems from the telegraph to internet protocols were all transformative innovations. Today, central banks are facing new and unprecedented challenges: distributed ledger technology, new data analytics (artificial intelligence [AI] and machine learning), and cloud computing, along with a wider spread of mobile access and increased internet speed and bandwidth. The purpose of this note is to discuss the authors' preliminary views on how, from a legal perspective, central banks can best deal with the impact of fintech on their governance. These preliminary views are based on a review of central banks' reaction thus far to the challenges posed by fintech to the legal foundations of their governance.
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Financial stability risks have increased rapidly as the resilience of the global financial system has faced a number of tests. Recent turmoil in the banking sector is a powerful reminder of the challenges posed by the interaction between tighter monetary and financial conditions and the buildup in vulnerabilities since the global financial crisis. The emergence of stress in financial markets complicates the task of central banks at a time when inflationary pressures are proving to be more persistent than anticipated. Large emerging markets have so far avoided adverse spillovers, but smaller and riskier economies continue to confront worsening debt sustainability trends.
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This paper informs the Executive Board of the staff-level understandings reached with global Standard Setting Bodies (SSBs) on the use of the three financial sector supervisory standards in FSAPs: the Basel Committee's Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision (BCP), set by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS); the Insurance Core Principles (ICP), set by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS); and the Objectives and Principles of Securities Regulation (Principles), set by the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO). As graded assessments of compliance with supervisory standards are voluntary, FSAPs have adopted a flexible approach to the use of supervisory standards. A standard is either assessed in full, resulting in grades, or used as the basis for a deeper analysis of selected elements of the oversight framework in a focused review, without grades. The SSBs and Fund staff have reached understandings on a refinement of the existing flexible approach, with sets of "base principles" serving as the starting points for focused reviews.
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