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This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that Vanuatu’s Real GDP is expected to decline by 2 percent in 2015 because of the cyclone damage to Vanuatu’s main export sectors—tourism and agriculture—which will be only partially offset by reconstruction activities and infrastructure investment. Risks to the outlook are biased to the downside since reconstruction may be constrained by availability of funding and by implementation capacity. Public sector recovery needs are estimated at about 20 percent of GDP. In 2016, a recovery in tourism and agriculture combined with further ramping-up of infrastructure projects is expected to propel growth to 5 percent.
Business losses -- Vanuatu. --- Cyclone damage -- Vanuatu. --- Economic assistance -- Vanuatu. --- International Monetary Fund -- Vanuatu. --- Natural disasters -- Vanuatu. --- Vanuatu -- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Infrastructure --- Public Finance --- Natural Disasters --- Macroeconomics --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Fiscal Policy --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Banking --- Natural disasters --- Public debt --- External debt --- Environment --- National accounts --- International reserves --- Central banks --- Debts, Public --- Debts, External --- Saving and investment --- Banks and banking --- Fiscal policy --- Vanuatu
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Four years after Cyclone Pam struck Vanuatu causing extensive damages, reconstruction is near completion with full recovery in sight. The authorities are now focused on implementing their broader development plans that were slowed by the rebuilding process, which will require fiscal discipline and reforms to maintain debt sustainability. The authorities should continue their constructive engagement with development partners for technical assistance, capacity development, and concessional and grant-based funding. In parallel continuing to reform and strengthen the governance of institutions and removing vulnerabilities to corruption will be important.
Business losses --- Cyclone damage --- Economic assistance --- Economic aid --- Foreign aid program --- Foreign assistance --- Grants-in-aid, International --- International economic assistance --- International grants-in-aid --- Economic policy --- International economic relations --- Conditionality (International relations) --- Damage, Cyclone --- Losses, Business --- Non-capital losses --- Accounting --- Business --- Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Public Finance --- Statistics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Natural Disasters --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Natural disasters --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Public debt --- External debt --- Loans --- Tourism --- Environment --- Financial institutions --- Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) --- Crime --- Debts, Public --- Debts, External --- Money laundering --- Vanuatu
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