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Book
FY2015 Administrative and Capital Expenses and Output Cost Estimates
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ISBN: 1498384919 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The administrative expenditure outturn for FY2015 reflects continued budget discipline, as new demands and initiatives were accommodated through reprioritization and better use of existing resources within an unchanged envelope. The overall budget utilization rate of 98 percent was achieved through more efficient personnel management practices and effective reallocation of resources from underutilized areas to areas of emerging pressure. In terms of outputs, the Fund continued its focus on addressing global policy challenges and reducing vulnerabilities. Resources allocated to multilateral surveillance, oversight of the global systems and capacity development increased while bilateral surveillance and lending declined moderately, in line with easing of crisis-related work. Spending by country reflects a continued shift towards a more risk-based approach, consistent with the established priorities. Capital expenditures mainly reflected the major renovation of the HQ1 building and improvements in information technology infrastructure and security to better support the staff's work and protect information assets.

Keywords

Budget deficits.


Book
De la crise à la reprise : causes, déroulement et conséquences de la grande Récession
Authors: --- ---
ISSN: 19936761 ISBN: 9789264079427 9789264079489 9264079424 9264079483 9264107169 Year: 2010 Publisher: Paris: OCDE,

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Abstract

Nous traversons le ralentissement économique mondial le plus marqué depuis plus de six décennies. Comment est-il survenu ? Et comment rendre la reprise durable ? De la crise à la reprise retrace les causes, le déroulement et les conséquences de la « Grande Récession » : une accumulation rapide de liquidité, combinée à une réglementation défaillante, a entraîné une crise financière qui a rapidement gagné l’économie réelle, provoquant la destruction de nombreuses entreprises et un chômage sans précédent depuis des décennies. Si le pire de la crise semble à présent derrière nous, un retour rapide à une forte croissance paraît peu probable, et l’emploi ne retrouvera pas son niveau d’avant la crise avant plusieurs années. La dette publique et privée a atteint de tels niveaux que l’on peut s’attendre à une augmentation des compressions et de l’épargne, ce qui prolongera les effets de la crise dans les années à venir.


Book
Deficit Limits, Budget Rules, and Fiscal Policy
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462311490 1452720908 1283512866 1451906757 9786613825315 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper presents a simple model for discussing the effects of deficit limits and budget rules on fiscal policy. I find that limits on deficit-output ratios provide incentives to implement procyclical policies when the economy is in intermediate states, and countercyclical policies only in very "good" and very "bad" economic times. As a result, fiscal "reaction functions" are not monotonically related to the state of the economy. Deficit limits are found to exert discipline only provided the limit is tight and the expected sanction large, albeit at a relatively large welfare cost. Moreover, when fiscal choices are made under a veil of ignorance about the output gap, an increase in volatility is likely to raise the level of the budget deficit. Finally, concerning the design of fiscal frameworks, when excessive deficits arise from a political bias, deficit limits should be symmetric and not state-contingent.


Book
Implementing the Stability and Growth Pact : Enforcement and Procedural Flexibility
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462398278 1452729999 1282110357 1451906145 9786613803245 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper analyzes some key policy trade-offs involved in the implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact. Greater "procedural" flexibility in the Pact's implementation may improve welfare. Procedural flexibility designates the enforcer's room to apply judgment on underlying policies and to set a consolidation path that does not discourage high-quality measures. Budgetary opaqueness may hinder the qualitative assessment of fiscal policy; therefore, better monitoring and greater transparency would increase the benefits from procedural flexibility. Overall, a simple deficit rule with conditional procedural flexibility can contain excessive deficits, lower unproductive spending, and increase high-quality outlays.


Book
Fundamentals at Odds? The U.S. Current Account Deficit and The Dollar
Author:
ISBN: 1451915713 1462336612 1282842110 9786612842115 145187118X 1452706697 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/260 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The real effective exchange rate of the dollar is close to its minimum level for the past 4decades (as of September 2008). At the same time, however, the U.S. trade and currentaccount deficits remain large and, absent a significant correction in coming years, wouldcontribute to a further accumulation of U.S. external liabilities. The paper discusses thetension between these two aspects of the dollar assessment, and what factors can helpreconcile them. It focuses in particular on the terms of trade, adjustment lags, andmeasurement issues related to both the real effective exchange rate and the current accountbalance.


Book
Debating austerity in Ireland : crisis, experience and recovery
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9781908997692 1908997699 1908997680 9781908997685 1908997702 Year: 2017 Publisher: Dublin, Ireland : Royal Irish Academy,


Book
How Should Subnational Government Borrowing Be Regulated? Some Cross-Country Empirical Evidence
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462334709 1451983336 1282076426 1451906099 9786613799326 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Countries have adopted various institutional responses to subnational government borrowing. Using a sample of 44 countries 1982-2000, this paper provides a panel data analysis to determine the most effective borrowing constraints for containing local fiscal deficits. The results suggest that no single institutional arrangement is superior under all circumstances. The appropriateness of specific arrangements depends upon other institutional characteristics, particularly the degree of vertical fiscal imbalance, the existence of any bailout precedent, and the quality of fiscal reporting.


Book
Persistent Gaps, Volatility Types, and Default Traps
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462300332 1452723885 1282447149 1451911653 9786613820914 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We show that cross-country differences in the underlying volatility and persistence of macroeconomic shocks help explain two historical regularities in sovereign borrowing: the existence of "vicious" circles of borrowing-and-default ("default traps"), as well as the fact that recalcitrant sovereigns typically face higher interest spreads on future loans rather than outright market exclusion. We do so in a simple model where output persistence is coupled with asymmetric information between borrowers and lenders about the borrower's output process, implying that a decision to default reveals valuable information to lenders about the borrower's future output path. Using a broad cross-country database spanning over a century, we provide econometric evidence corroborating the model's main predictions-namely, that countries with higher output persistence and conditional volatility of transient shocks face higher spreads and thus fall into default traps more easily, whereas higher volatility of permanent output tends to dampen these effects.


Book
Nepal : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462373542 1452749698 1280898496 9786613739803 1452715467 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The rapid growth of the financial system presents a number of challenges to maintaining financial stability in Nepal. There has been a rapid growth of the banking sector over the last few years. State-owned institutions continue to dominate the banking system. Equity market capitalization has increased sharply while government debt markets remain underdeveloped. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, the financial performance of the banking system has improved. The rapid increase in credit growth in recent years suggests growing credit risk.


Book
Twin Deficits in Developing Economies
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1484371550 1484371526 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper provides new evidence on the existence and magnitude of the “twin deficits” in developing economies. It finds that a one percent of GDP unanticipated increase in the government budget balance improves, on average, the current account balance by 0.8 percentage point of GDP. This effect is substantially larger than that obtained using standard measures of fiscal impulse, such as the cyclically-adjusted budget balance. The results point to heterogeneity across countries and over time. The effect tends to be larger: (i) during recessions; in countries (ii) that are more open to trade; (iii) that have less flexible exchange rate regimes; and (iv) with lower initial public debt-to-GDP ratios.

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