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This paper studies the impact of natural resource extraction in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) from a number of angles. First, we exploit a novel dataset on the universe of giant oil and gas discoveries in the region to trace out the cyclical response of macroeconomic variables to discoveries over the short- and medium-run. Second, we use non-stationary panel data techniques to look at the long-run (trend) relationship between GDP per capita and the value of oil and gas production—our results imply that the recent fall in prices could depress GDP per capita by several percentage points. Last, we use Bolivia, which discovered huge gas reserves in the late 1990s, as a case study to apply the cross-country results and to study the impact of discoveries at the subnational level.
Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Investments: Energy --- Labor --- Industries: Energy --- Natural Resource Extraction --- Natural Resources --- Economic Development: Agriculture --- Energy --- Environment --- Other Primary Products --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Economywide Country Studies: Latin America --- Caribbean --- Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics --- Environmental and Ecological Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Energy: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction: General --- Environmental management --- Petroleum, oil & gas industries --- Investment & securities --- Labour --- income economics --- Extractive industries --- Natural resources --- Oil production --- Oil --- Mining sector --- Production --- Commodities --- Economic sectors --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Economic theory --- Mineral industries --- Bolivia --- Income economics
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This paper investigates the role that International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs and capacity building play in fostering structural reforms. To do so, we exploit two novel datasets on IMF capacity building and structural reforms available for over one hundred IMF member countries over the period 1980 - 2010. The main results are threefold. First, there is a general association between IMF programs and structural reforms but this relationship is not very robust. Second, IMF training leads to an increase in structural reforms but only through IMF programs and only when a significant share of public servants is trained. Third, IMF technical assistance does not significantly lead to more structural reforms but raises the likelihood of completion of ongoing IMF programs. Our results are robust to a large number of checks, estimators and correcting for endogeneity.
Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Technical assistance. --- Economic assistance. --- Economic aid --- Foreign aid program --- Foreign assistance --- Grants-in-aid, International --- International economic assistance --- International grants-in-aid --- Assistance, Technical --- Assistance, Technological --- Technological assistance --- Economic policy --- International economic relations --- Conditionality (International relations) --- Economic assistance --- Structural adjustment (Economic policy) --- International Monetary Fund. --- E-books --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Econometrics --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Efficiency --- Optimal Taxation --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Estimation --- International economics --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Structural reforms --- Estimation techniques --- Capital account --- Current account --- Macrostructural analysis --- Econometric analysis --- Balance of payments --- Econometric models --- Congo, Democratic Republic of the
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