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Nonlinear autonomous oscillations; analytical theory

Oscillations. --- Nonlinear theories. --- Nonlinear problems --- Nonlinearity (Mathematics) --- Calculus --- Mathematical analysis --- Mathematical physics --- Cycles --- Fluctuations (Physics) --- Vibration

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Business cycles -- Kazakhstan. --- Kazakhstan -- Economic policy. --- Business cycles --- Economic Theory --- Business & Economics --- Kazakhstan --- Economic policy. --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles

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Business cycles. --- Economic forecasting. --- Recessions. --- Recessions --- Business cycles --- Economic forecasting --- Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Economics --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Forecasting --- Economic indicators --- Cycles --- Depressions

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This is an innovative collection of papers written by a panel of highly respected academics and financial experts. Whilst providing an insight into the phenomenology of the financial crises of the 1990's in Asia and Latin America, the book also explores possibilities for their solution.

Financial crises --- Business cycles --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Crashes, Financial --- Crises, Financial --- Financial crashes --- Financial panics --- Panics (Finance) --- Stock exchange crashes --- Stock market panics --- Cycles --- Crises

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This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding is that the impact of China growth shocks on ASEAN has risen since the global financial crisis. A one percent decline in China’s growth implies a 0.3 percent reduction in growth for ASEAN EMEs and 0.2 for FDEs. An important component of inflation is also shared between ASEAN and China. These magnitudes are double what they were two decades ago due to stronger trade and financial linkages. Finally, a slowdown in China, while having real effects, also has a financial impact via slower credit growth and lower equity prices. This is in line with the existence of both portfolio balance and signaling channels, in which ASEAN market participants absorb news on China economic activity as an indicator over domestic growth prospects.

China --- Southeast Asia --- Foreign economic relations --- Asia, Southeast --- Asia, Southeastern --- South East Asia --- Southeastern Asia --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary Policy --- Fiscal Policy --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic growth --- Economic recession --- Financial cycles --- Business cycles --- Asset prices --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Prices --- Recessions --- China, People's Republic of