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Book
New paradigms for financial regulation : emerging market perspectives
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1283925486 0815722656 9781283925488 9780815722656 Year: 2013 Publisher: Tokyo : Washington, D.C. : Asian Development Bank Institute ; Brookings Institution Press,

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Abstract

The global financial crisis has led to a sweeping reevaluation of financial market regulation and macroeconomic policies. Emerging markets need to balance the goals of financial development and broader financial inclusion with the imperative of strengthening macroeconomic and financial stability. The third in a series on emerging markets, New Paradigms for Financial Regulation develops new analytical frameworks and provides policy prescriptions for how the frameworks should be adapted to a world of more free and more volatile capital. This volume provides an overview of the g


Book
Financial market regulation and reforms in emerging markets
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1283054019 9786613054012 0815704909 9781283054010 9780815704904 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press,

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"In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2008, offers a systematic overview of recent developments in regulatory frameworks in advanced and emerging-market countries, outlining challenges to improving regulation, markets, and access in developing economies"--Provided by publisher.


Book
Asian Perspectives on Financial Sector Reforms and Regulation
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1283358212 9786613358219 0815722117 9781283358217 9780815722113 Year: 2011 Publisher: Tokyo : Washington, D.C. : Asian Development Bank Institute ; Brookings Institution Press,

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"Examines Asia's emerging markets, which survived the financial debacle of 2008-09 with only modest declines in growth; discusses activities that could dampen continuing development in these markets including inflation, surging capital inflows, asset and credit bubbles, and rapid currency appreciation; and offers strategies to promote financial stability"--Provided by publisher.


Book
Emerging markets : resilience and growth amid global turmoil
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1282896946 9786612896941 0815705654 9781282896949 9780815705659 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press,

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Abstract

Accomplished international economists M. Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad assess the resilience of emerging market economies through empirical analysis of the changing nature nature of cyclical linkages between emerging market economies and advanced economies. The results are important for anyone trying to anticipate the future track of emerging market economies or hoping to do business with them.


Book
Does Openness to International Financial Flows Raise Productivity Growth?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451915535 1462374964 1282841939 9786612841934 1451871007 1452759162 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/242 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between financial openness and total factor productivity (TFP) growth using an extensive dataset that includes various measures of productivity and financial openness for a large sample of countries. We find that de jure capital account openness has a robust positive effect on TFP growth. The effect of de facto financial integration on TFP growth is less clear, but this masks an important and novel result. We find strong evidence that FDI and portfolio equity liabilities boost TFP growth while external debt is actually negatively correlated with TFP growth. The negative relationship between external debt liabilities and TFP growth is attenuated in economies with higher levels of financial development and better institutions.


Book
A Framework for Independent Monetary Policy in China
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451863713 1462359892 1451909055 9786613826350 1452713820 1283513900 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

As China's economy becomes more market based and continues its rapid integration into the global economy, having an independent and effective monetary policy regime oriented to domestic objectives will become increasingly important. Employing modern principles of monetary policy in light of the current state of China's financial institutions, we motivate and present a package of proposals to guide the operation of a new monetary policy regime. Specifically, we recommend an explicit low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic guidance from the government, and a minimal set of financial sector reforms (to make the Chinese banking system robust against interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution to macroeconomic and financial stability, as well as economic growth. The management and monitoring of money (and credit) growth by the PBC would continue to play a useful role in the stabilization of inflation, but a money target would not constitute a good stand-alone nominal anchor.


Book
Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451914563 1462312411 1451870035 1282840967 9786612840968 1452769265 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

From 1995 to 2005, the average urban household saving rate in China rose by 7 percentage points, to ¼ of disposable income. We use household-level data to explain the postponing of consumption despite rapid income growth. Tracing cohorts over time indicates virtually no consumption smoothing over the life cycle. Saving rates have increased across all demographic groups, although the age-profile of savings has an unusual U-shaped pattern, with saving rates being the highest among the youngest and oldest households in recent years. These patterns are best explained by the rising private burden of expenditures on housing, education, and health care.

Keywords

Business & Economics --- Economic History --- Saving and investment --- Households --- Econometric models. --- Economic aspects --- China --- Economic conditions --- Accumulation, Capital --- Capital accumulation --- Capital formation --- Investment and saving --- Saving and thrift --- Cina --- Kinë --- Cathay --- Chinese National Government --- Chung-kuo kuo min cheng fu --- Republic of China (1912-1949) --- Kuo min cheng fu (China : 1912-1949) --- Chung-hua min kuo (1912-1949) --- Kina (China) --- National Government (1912-1949) --- China (Republic : 1912-1949) --- People's Republic of China --- Chinese People's Republic --- Chung-hua jen min kung ho kuo --- Central People's Government of Communist China --- Chung yang jen min cheng fu --- Chung-hua chung yang jen min kung ho kuo --- Central Government of the People's Republic of China --- Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo --- Zhong hua ren min gong he guo --- Kitaĭskai︠a︡ Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika --- Činská lidová republika --- RRT --- Republik Rakjat Tiongkok --- KNR --- Kytaĭsʹka Narodna Respublika --- Jumhūriyat al-Ṣīn al-Shaʻbīyah --- RRC --- Kitaĭ --- Kínai Népköztársaság --- Chūka Jinmin Kyōwakoku --- Erets Sin --- Sin --- Sāthāranarat Prachāchon Čhīn --- P.R. China --- PR China --- Chung-kuo --- Zhongguo --- Zhonghuaminguo (1912-1949) --- Zhong guo --- Chine --- République Populaire de Chine --- República Popular China --- Catay --- VR China --- VRChina --- 中國 --- Jhongguó --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaxu Dundadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaqu Dumdadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gd Naĭramdakh Dundad Ard Uls --- Khi︠a︡tad --- Kitad --- Dumdadu Ulus --- Dumdad Uls --- Думдад Улс --- Kitajska --- 中国 --- 中华人民共和国 --- Population --- Families --- Home economics --- Capital --- Supply-side economics --- Wealth --- Investments --- China (Republic : 1949- ) --- PRC --- P.R.C. --- BNKhAU --- БНХАУ --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Demography --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Population & demography --- Income --- Consumption --- Aging --- Disposable income --- Economics --- Population aging --- National income --- China, People's Republic of


Book
Income Uncertainty and Household Savings in China
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462344623 145522765X 1283553538 9786613865984 1455215015 1455211702 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

China’s household saving rate has increased markedly since the mid-1990s and the age-savings profile has become U-shaped. We find that rising income uncertainty and pension reforms help explain both of these phenomena. Using a panel of Chinese households covering the period 1989-2006, we document that strong average income growth has been accompanied by a substantial increase in income uncertainty. Interestingly, the permanent variance of household income remains stable while it is the transitory variance that rises sharply. A calibration of a buffer-stock savings model indicates that rising savings rates among younger households are consistent with rising income uncertainty and higher saving rates among older households are consistent with a decline in the pension replacement ratio for those retiring after 1997. We conclude that rising income uncertainty and pension reforms can account for over half of the increase in the urban household savings rate in China since the mid-1990s as well as the U-shaped age-profile of savings.


Book
Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462339654 145278339X 1451870019 9786612840944 1282840940 1451914547 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are common to all variables and all countries within each group of countries; (iii) country factors, which are common across all aggregates in a given country; and (iv) idiosyncratic factors specific to each time series. Our main result is that, during the period of globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies and among the group of emerging market economies. Surprisingly, there has been a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor. In other words, there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence (or decoupling) between them.


Book
Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462387012 1455276812 1282847449 9786612847448 1455205303 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating the flexible price equilibrium. We develop a two-sector two-good new-Keynesian model to study the optimal choice of price index in markets with financial frictions. We find that, in the presence of financial frictions, a welfare-maximizing central bank should adopt flexible headline inflation targeting a target for headline CPI inflation with some weight on the output gap. These results are particularly relevant for emerging markets, where the share of food expenditures in total consumption expenditures is high and a large proportion of consumers are credit constrained.

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