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Book
Predictability of stock market prices
Authors: ---
Year: 1970 Publisher: Lexington (Mass.): Heath,

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Book
Estimating and forecasting ARCH models using G@RCH 6
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ISBN: 0955707609 9780955707605 Year: 2009 Publisher: London : Timberlake Consultants Ltd,

Markets models : a guide to financial data analysis
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ISBN: 0471899755 9780471899754 Year: 2001 Publisher: John Wiley,

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Market Models provides an authoritative and up-to-date treatment of the use of market data to develop models for financial analysis. Written by a leading figure in the field of financial data analysis, this book is the first of its kind to address the vital techniques required for model selection and development. Model developers are faced with many decisions, about the pricing, the data, the statistical methodology and the calibration and testing of the model prior to implementation. It is important to make the right choices and Carol Alexander's clear exposition provides valuable insights at every stage. In each of the 13 Chapters, Market Models presents real world illustrations to motivate theoretical developments. The accompanying CD contains spreadsheets with data and programs; this enables the reader to implement and adapt many of the examples. The pricing of options using normal mixture density functions to model returns; the use of Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the VaR of an options portfolio; modifying the covariance VaR to allow for fat-tailed P&L distributions; the calculation of implied, EWMA and 'historic' volatilities; GARCH volatility term structure forecasting; principal components analysis; and many more are all included. Market Models: A Guide to Financial Data Analysis is the ideal reference for all those involved in market risk measurement, quantitative trading and investment analysis.


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Security prices in a competitive market: : more about risk and return from common stocks
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ISBN: 0262020777 9780262020770 Year: 1971 Publisher: Cambridge (Mass.): MIT Press,

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Data mining in finance : advances in relational and hybrid methods
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ISBN: 0792378040 9786610206032 1280206039 0306470187 9780792378044 Year: 2000 Volume: SECS 547 Publisher: Boston Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Data Mining in Finance presents a comprehensive overview of major algorithmic approaches to predictive data mining, including statistical, neural networks, ruled-based, decision-tree, and fuzzy-logic methods, and then examines the suitability of these approaches to financial data mining. The book focuses specifically on relational data mining (RDM), which is a learning method able to learn more expressive rules than other symbolic approaches. RDM is thus better suited for financial mining, because it is able to make greater use of underlying domain knowledge. Relational data mining also has a better ability to explain the discovered rules - an ability critical for avoiding spurious patterns which inevitably arise when the number of variables examined is very large. The earlier algorithms for relational data mining, also known as inductive logic programming (ILP), suffer from a relative computational inefficiency and have rather limited tools for processing numerical data. Data Mining in Finance introduces a new approach, combining relational data mining with the analysis of statistical significance of discovered rules. This reduces the search space and speeds up the algorithms. The book also presents interactive and fuzzy-logic tools for `mining' the knowledge from the experts, further reducing the search space. Data Mining in Finance contains a number of practical examples of forecasting S&P 500, exchange rates, stock directions, and rating stocks for portfolio, allowing interested readers to start building their own models. This book is an excellent reference for researchers and professionals in the fields of artificial intelligence, machine learning, data mining, knowledge discovery, and applied mathematics.

Keywords

Investments --- Stock price forecasting --- Data mining --- Data processing --- AA / International- internationaal --- 305.970 --- 303.0 --- 301 --- Algemeenheden: Autoregression and moving average representation. ARIMA. ARMAX. Lagrange multiplier. Wald. Function (mis) specification. Autocorrelation. Homoscedasticity. Heteroscedasticity. ARCH. GARCH. Integration and co-integration. Unit roots. --- Statistische technieken in econometrie. Wiskundige statistiek (algemene werken en handboeken). --- Techniek van statistische inlichtingen. Organisatie van de statistische enquêtes. Statistische kritiek. --- Investments -- Data processing. --- Stock price forecasting -- Data processing. --- Data mining. --- Data processing. --- Data structures (Computer scienc. --- Artificial intelligence. --- Finance. --- Data Structures and Information Theory. --- Artificial Intelligence. --- Finance, general. --- Data structures (Computer science) --- Forecasting, Stock price --- Security price forecasting --- Stocks --- Business forecasting --- Algorithmic knowledge discovery --- Factual data analysis --- KDD (Information retrieval) --- Knowledge discovery in data --- Knowledge discovery in databases --- Mining, Data --- Database searching --- Techniek van statistische inlichtingen. Organisatie van de statistische enquêtes. Statistische kritiek --- Statistische technieken in econometrie. Wiskundige statistiek (algemene werken en handboeken) --- Algemeenheden: Autoregression and moving average representation. ARIMA. ARMAX. Lagrange multiplier. Wald. Function (mis) specification. Autocorrelation. Homoscedasticity. Heteroscedasticity. ARCH. GARCH. Integration and co-integration. Unit roots --- Prices --- Forecasting --- Data structures (Computer science). --- Funding --- Funds --- Economics --- Currency question --- AI (Artificial intelligence) --- Artificial thinking --- Electronic brains --- Intellectronics --- Intelligence, Artificial --- Intelligent machines --- Machine intelligence --- Thinking, Artificial --- Bionics --- Cognitive science --- Digital computer simulation --- Electronic data processing --- Logic machines --- Machine theory --- Self-organizing systems --- Simulation methods --- Fifth generation computers --- Neural computers --- Information structures (Computer science) --- Structures, Data (Computer science) --- Structures, Information (Computer science) --- File organization (Computer science) --- Abstract data types (Computer science) --- Investments - Data processing --- Stock price forecasting - Data processing

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