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Concepts, methods and techniques of statistical physics in the study of correlated, as well as uncorrelated, phenomena are being applied ever increasingly in the natural sciences, biology and economics in an attempt to understand and model the large variability and risks of phenomena. This is the first textbook written by a well-known expert that provides a modern up-to-date introduction for workers outside statistical physics. The emphasis of the book is on a clear understanding of concepts and methods, while it also provides the tools that can be of immediate use in applications. Although this book evolved out of a course for graduate students, it will be of great interest to researchers and engineers, as well as to post-docs in geophysics and meteorology.
Critical phenomena (Physics) --- Geography. --- Mathematics. --- Statistical physics. --- Complex Systems. --- Earth Sciences, general. --- Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences. --- Statistical Physics and Dynamical Systems. --- Physics --- Mathematical statistics --- Math --- Science --- Cosmography --- Earth sciences --- World history --- Statistical methods --- Critical phenomena (Physics). --- Dynamical systems. --- Earth sciences. --- Game theory. --- Games, Theory of --- Theory of games --- Mathematical models --- Mathematics --- Geosciences --- Environmental sciences --- Physical sciences --- Dynamical systems --- Kinetics --- Mechanics, Analytic --- Force and energy --- Mechanics --- Statics
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The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets. Some images inside the book are unavailable due to digital copyright restrictions.
Stock exchanges --- Stocks --- Financial crises --- Complexity (Philosophy) --- Critical phenomena (Physics) --- History --- Prices --- -Stocks --- -Financial crises --- -Stock exchanges --- -Critical phenomena (Physics) --- 332.63222 --- Philosophy --- Emergence (Philosophy) --- Phenomena, Critical (Physics) --- Physics --- Bulls and bears --- Commercial corners --- Corners, Commercial --- Equity markets --- Exchanges, Securities --- Exchanges, Stock --- Securities exchanges --- Stock-exchange --- Stock markets --- Capital market --- Efficient market theory --- Speculation --- Crashes, Financial --- Crises, Financial --- Financial crashes --- Financial panics --- Panics (Finance) --- Stock exchange crashes --- Stock market panics --- Crises --- Business cycles --- Common shares --- Common stocks --- Equities --- Equity capital --- Equity financing --- Shares of stock --- Stock issues --- Stock offerings --- Stock trading --- Trading, Stock --- Securities --- Bonds --- Corporations --- Going public (Securities) --- Stock repurchasing --- Stockholders --- -History --- History. --- Phénomène critique (Physique) --- Phénomène critique (Physique) --- Critical phenomena (Physics). --- Stock exchanges. --- Forecasting. --- Mathematical models. --- Crises financières --- Bourse --- Histoire --- Modèles mathématiques --- Prévision --- Stock exchanges - United States - History --- Stocks - Prices - History --- Financial crises - United States - History --- Financial crises - History
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Statistical physics --- Critical phenomena (Physics) --- Mathematical physics --- Renormalization group --- Phénomène critique (Physique) --- Physique mathématique --- 536.75 --- 536.76 --- 530.19 --- Entropy. Statistical thermodynamics. Irreversible processes --- Relationships deduced from the two laws of thermodynamics. Phase transformations --- Fundamental functions in general. Potential. Gradient. Intensity. Capacity etc. --- Mathematical physics. --- Renormalization group. --- Critical phenomena (Physics). --- 530.19 Fundamental functions in general. Potential. Gradient. Intensity. Capacity etc. --- 536.76 Relationships deduced from the two laws of thermodynamics. Phase transformations --- 536.75 Entropy. Statistical thermodynamics. Irreversible processes --- Phénomène critique (Physique) --- Physique mathématique --- Group, Renormalization --- Quantum field theory --- Statistical mechanics --- Physical mathematics --- Physics --- Phenomena, Critical (Physics) --- Fundamental functions in general. Potential. Gradient. Intensity. Capacity etc --- Mathematics
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Physical metallurgy --- Phase rule and equilibrium --- Métallurgie physique --- Loi des phases et équilibre --- 669.017.3 --- Phase transformations --- 669.017.3 Phase transformations --- Métallurgie physique --- Loi des phases et équilibre --- Metallurgy --- Physics --- Chemistry, Physical and theoretical --- Critical phenomena (Physics) --- Equilibrium --- Chemical equilibrium --- Chemical systems --- Critical point --- metallurgie --- (zie ook: metaalindustrie)
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Physical and biological systems driven out of equilibrium may spontaneously evolve to form spatial structures. In some systems molecular constituents may self-assemble to produce complex ordered structures. This book describes how such pattern formation processes occur and how they can be modeled. Experimental observations are used to introduce the diverse systems and phenomena leading to pattern formation. The physical origins of various spatial structures are discussed, and models for their formation are constructed. In contrast to many treatments, pattern-forming processes in nonequilibrium systems are treated in a coherent fashion. The book shows how near-equilibrium and far-from-equilibrium modeling concepts are often combined to describe physical systems. This inter-disciplinary book can form the basis of graduate courses in pattern formation and self-assembly. It is a useful reference for graduate students and researchers in a number of disciplines, including condensed matter science, nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, nonlinear dynamics, chemical biophysics, materials science, and engineering.
Pattern formation (Physical sciences) --- Phase rule and equilibrium. --- Dynamics. --- Formation des structures (Sciences physiques) --- Loi des phases et équilibre --- Dynamique --- Phase rule and equilibrium --- Dynamics --- Loi des phases et équilibre --- Dynamical systems --- Kinetics --- Mathematics --- Mechanics, Analytic --- Force and energy --- Mechanics --- Physics --- Statics --- Chemistry, Physical and theoretical --- Critical phenomena (Physics) --- Equilibrium --- Chemical equilibrium --- Chemical systems --- Critical point --- Chaotic behavior in systems
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Phase rule and equilibrium --- Polymers --- Polymères --- Congresses --- Congrès --- Boyer, Raymond F. --- 678.01:536.42 <063> --- -Polymers --- -#WSCH:MACB --- Polymere --- Polymeride --- Polymers and polymerization --- Macromolecules --- Chemistry, Physical and theoretical --- Critical phenomena (Physics) --- Equilibrium --- Chemical equilibrium --- Chemical systems --- Critical point --- Properties. Defects. Constitution. Serviceability. Sampling. Analysis. Testing-:-Effect of heat gain or heat loss on volume and structure. Phase change--Congressen --- Boĭer, Raĭmond F. --- 678.01:536.42 <063> Properties. Defects. Constitution. Serviceability. Sampling. Analysis. Testing-:-Effect of heat gain or heat loss on volume and structure. Phase change--Congressen --- Polymères --- Congrès --- #WSCH:MACB --- Phase rule and equilibrium - Congresses --- Polymers - Congresses
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