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The People's Bank of China (PBC) has made great strides in modernizing its monetary policy frameworks but their effectiveness will diminish as the sophistication of the economy increases. Empirical evidence supports maintaining a reference to money in China's monetary strategy and enhancing the role of interest rates in its conduct. We advocate adoption of an eclectic strategy involving the monitoring of several indicators, and of a short-term interest rate as the operational target. The PBC should be granted discretion to change its policy rate, and there are no technical obstacles for such a move to occur in the near future.
Demand for money -- China. --- Finance -- China. --- Monetary policy -- China -- Econometric models. --- Monetary policy -- China. --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Money markets --- Monetary base --- Bank credit --- Banks and banking --- Money market --- Money supply --- Prices --- Credit --- China, People's Republic of --- Monetary policy. --- Money. --- Multiplier (Economics) --- Zhongguo ren min yin hang.
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This book utilizes an innovative approach combining qualitative and quantitative methods to investigate the correlations between monetary policy, economic growth, inflation and asset price volatility, explores the creation of financial risk prevention systems, and reaches conclusions with both theoretical and practical value. The book offers an empirical analysis of the effectiveness of monetary policy, specifies the correlations between monetary policy, economic growth and inflation, and provides a theoretical basis for and empirical demonstration of monetary policy implementation in China. Previous research in China has primarily focused on the correlation between monetary policy and a specific asset price, while this book comprehensively addresses the appropriateness of real estate, stock, bond and futures price regulation through monetary policies, lending it a high degree of practical significance. In order to arrive at a systemic risk prevention and regulation mechanism for China, the book uses the GARCH mean value model and MGARCH-BEKK model to create a pressure index and provide a three-level pre-warning system for currency crises, bank crises and asset bubble crises. The book systemically introduces the idea of macro-prudential regulation into the Chinese financial system by first clarifying the necessity of implementing macro-prudential regulation in China and then proving its effectiveness in mitigating pro-cyclicality and enhancing steady economic growth by constructing a mitigation model.
Economics/Management Science. --- Financial Economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics. --- Economic Policy. --- Economics. --- Economic policy. --- Macroeconomics. --- Finance. --- Economie politique --- Politique économique --- Macroéconomie --- Finances --- Financial risk management -- China. --- Inflation (Finance) -- China. --- Monetary policy -- China. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Finance - General --- Monetary policy --- Financial risk management --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Risk management --- Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- National planning --- State planning --- Economics --- Planning --- National security --- Social policy
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As China's economy becomes more market based and continues its rapid integration into the global economy, having an independent and effective monetary policy regime oriented to domestic objectives will become increasingly important. Employing modern principles of monetary policy in light of the current state of China's financial institutions, we motivate and present a package of proposals to guide the operation of a new monetary policy regime. Specifically, we recommend an explicit low long-run inflation objective, operational independence for the People's Bank of China (PBC) with formal strategic guidance from the government, and a minimal set of financial sector reforms (to make the Chinese banking system robust against interest rate fluctuations). We argue that anchoring monetary policy with an explicit inflation objective would be the most reliable way for the PBC to tie down inflation expectations, and thereby enable monetary policy to make the best contribution to macroeconomic and financial stability, as well as economic growth. The management and monitoring of money (and credit) growth by the PBC would continue to play a useful role in the stabilization of inflation, but a money target would not constitute a good stand-alone nominal anchor.
China -- Economic conditions. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Monetary policy -- China. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Banking --- Monetary policy --- China --- Economic conditions. --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Commercial banks --- Inflation targeting --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Banks and banking --- Prices --- China, People's Republic of
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Private finance --- China --- Money --- Monetary policy --- Politique monétaire --- CN / China - Chine --- 333.111.0 --- -333.101 --- 333.820 --- -333.480 --- Studies of the East Asian Institute, Columbia University --- Currency --- Monetary question --- Money, Primitive --- Specie --- Standard of value --- Exchange --- Finance --- Value --- Banks and banking --- Coinage --- Currency question --- Gold --- Silver --- Silver question --- Wealth --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Algemeenheden. Theoretische en beschrijvende studies. Centrale banken. --- Banksysteem en bankstelsel. --- Geldbeleid, bankbeleid en kredietbeleid: algemeenheden. --- Geldstelsel. --- Politique monétaire --- 333.101 --- 333.480 --- Banksysteem en bankstelsel --- Algemeenheden. Theoretische en beschrijvende studies. Centrale banken --- Geldstelsel --- Geldbeleid, bankbeleid en kredietbeleid: algemeenheden --- Money - China. --- Monetary policy - China.
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This edited volume expands the scope of risk management beyond finance to include resources and environment issues in China. It presents the state-of-the-art approaches of using risk management to effectively manage resources and environment. Both case studies and theoretical methodologies are discussed.
Corporations -- Finance -- China. --- Finance -- China. --- Investments, Foreign -- Law and legislation -- China. --- Monetary policy -- China. --- Public welfare -- China. --- Risk management -- China. --- Risk management --- Natural resources --- Economic development --- Environmental management --- Environmental risk assessment --- Management --- Business & Economics --- Management Theory --- Management Styles & Communication --- Environmental stewardship --- Stewardship, Environmental --- Business. --- Operations research. --- Decision making. --- Environmental economics. --- Business and Management. --- Operation Research/Decision Theory. --- Environmental Economics. --- Risk assessment --- Precautionary principle --- Environmental sciences --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Economics --- Environmental quality --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Environmental aspects --- Economic aspects --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Decision making
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What is China's rightful place on the world stage? Will the world remain unipolar as signs of American decline appear to be mounting? How can China maintain a harmonious relationship with its neighbors? What does China intend to do with the new power and influence that appears to be at its disposal? In light of emergent post-2008 economic realities, how should China adjust its foreign economic relations? This volume, the first of its kind, gathers a collection of translations of influential essays, talks, and papers on Chinese foreign policy, national security, and foreign economic relations written by Chinese elites. Many papers have also served as propositions for policy prescriptions to China's leaders, the vast majority of which have to date only been available in Chinese.
National security --- Monetary policy --- Renminbi --- China --- Foreign relations --- Foreign economic relations --- Renminbi. --- Foreign economic relations. --- S09/0264 --- S10/0641 --- S10/0320 --- China: Foreign relations and world politics--General works: since 1989 --- China: Economics, industry and commerce--Foreign trade and economic relations: since 1989 --- China: Economics, industry and commerce--Money and banking: since 1949 --- Sécurite nationale --- Politique monétaire --- Chine --- Relations extérieures --- Relations économiques extérieures --- CNY (Money) --- Ren min bi --- RMB (Money) --- Yuan (Money) --- Money --- POLITICAL SCIENCE / Government / International --- POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General --- National security - China --- Monetary policy - China --- China - Foreign relations - 21st century --- China - Foreign economic relations
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China has been moving to a more market oriented financial system, which has implications for the monetary policy environment. The paper investigates the stability of the money demand function (MDF) in light of progress in financial sector reforms that, for example, have resulted in significant financial innovation (so-called shadow banking) and more liberalized interest rates. The analysis of international experience suggests that rapid development of the financial system often leads to structural shifts in the MDF. For example, financial innovation and liberalization alter the sensitivity of money balances to income and the interest rate. For China, we find that the stable long-run relationship between money demand, output, and interest rates that existed between 2002 and 2008 disappears after 2008. This coincides with the period of rapid financial innovation, especially the growth in off-balance sheet and nonbank financial intermediation. The results suggest that usefulness of M2 as an intermediate monetary target has declined with financial innovation and reform. A result that underscores the importance of moving toward increased reliance on more price-based targets such as interest rates.
Finance -- China. --- Interest rates -- China. --- Monetary policy -- China. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- Demand for Money --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy --- International Financial Markets --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Property & real estate --- Demand for money --- Personal income --- Velocity of money --- Housing prices --- National accounts --- Prices --- Monetary base --- Income --- Banks and banking --- Housing --- Money supply --- China, People's Republic of
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China encountered problems preserving economic stability while pursuing reforms aimed at increasing its economic flexibility and efficiency. This paper examines China's experience with market-oriented reforms since 1978, offering lessons for other centrally planned economies in the midst of transition to free markets.
Taxes --- Economic policy and planning (general) --- Money. Monetary policy --- China --- Fiscal policy --- Monetary policy --- Economic policy --- CN / China - Chine --- 331.31 --- 331.30 --- 331.33 --- 331.32 --- 338.26 <510> --- 338.24 <510> --- chine --- politique economique --- politique fiscale --- politique monetaire --- reforme economique --- -Fiscal policy --- -330.05 --- 338.951 --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Finance, Public --- Monetary management --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Economisch beleid. --- Economische toestand. --- Structureel beleid. Reglementering. Dereglementering. Ordnungspolitik. --- Structuur van de economie. --- Economische planning. Nationale plannen. Ontwikkelingsplannen. Meerjarenplannen. Plattelandsontwikkeling. Rural development. Kosten-batenanlyse--?<510> --- Instrumenten van de economische politiek. Economische orde. Economisch politieke maatregelen. Stabilisering. Stimuleringsmaatregelen. Regulering. Financiele steunmaatregelen--?<510> --- china --- economisch beleid --- fiscaal beleid --- monetair beleid --- economische hervorming --- Government policy --- -Working papers --- 338.24 <510> Instrumenten van de economische politiek. Economische orde. Economisch politieke maatregelen. Stabilisering. Stimuleringsmaatregelen. Regulering. Financiele steunmaatregelen--?<510> --- 338.26 <510> Economische planning. Nationale plannen. Ontwikkelingsplannen. Meerjarenplannen. Plattelandsontwikkeling. Rural development. Kosten-batenanlyse--?<510> --- Cina --- Kinë --- Cathay --- Chinese National Government --- Chung-kuo kuo min cheng fu --- Republic of China (1912-1949) --- Kuo min cheng fu (China : 1912-1949) --- Chung-hua min kuo (1912-1949) --- Kina (China) --- National Government (1912-1949) --- China (Republic : 1912-1949) --- People's Republic of China --- Chinese People's Republic --- Chung-hua jen min kung ho kuo --- Central People's Government of Communist China --- Chung yang jen min cheng fu --- Chung-hua chung yang jen min kung ho kuo --- Central Government of the People's Republic of China --- Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo --- Zhong hua ren min gong he guo --- Kitaĭskai︠a︡ Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika --- Činská lidová republika --- RRT --- Republik Rakjat Tiongkok --- KNR --- Kytaĭsʹka Narodna Respublika --- Jumhūriyat al-Ṣīn al-Shaʻbīyah --- RRC --- Kitaĭ --- Kínai Népköztársaság --- Chūka Jinmin Kyōwakoku --- Erets Sin --- Sin --- Sāthāranarat Prachāchon Čhīn --- P.R. China --- PR China --- Chung-kuo --- Zhongguo --- Zhonghuaminguo (1912-1949) --- Zhong guo --- Chine --- République Populaire de Chine --- República Popular China --- Catay --- VR China --- VRChina --- 中國 --- 中国 --- 中华人民共和国 --- Jhongguó --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaxu Dundadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaqu Dumdadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gd Naĭramdakh Dundad Ard Uls --- Khi︠a︡tad --- Kitad --- Dumdadu Ulus --- Dumdad Uls --- Думдад Улс --- Kitajska --- 330.05 --- Economische toestand --- Economisch beleid --- Structuur van de economie --- Structureel beleid. Reglementering. Dereglementering. Ordnungspolitik --- Working papers --- Fiscal policy - China --- Monetary policy - China --- China - Economic policy - 1976 --- -Monetary policy --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Monetary economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Finance --- Expenditure --- Credit --- Prices --- Money --- Expenditures, Public --- China, People's Republic of --- Income economics
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China's economic performance hs been remarkable since the the reform process began 15 years ago. Notwithstanding the achievements that have been made, a number of serious problems remain. This papers discusses the current reform program and the effors being made to overcome the structural impediments to growth.
International finance --- Economic policy and planning (general) --- China --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary policy --- Fiscal policy --- Economic policy --- reforme economique --- politique economique --- -Monetary policy --- -politique monetaire --- -politique fiscale --- commerce exterieur --- chine --- 330.05 --- 338.951 --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Finance, Public --- Monetary management --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Cambistry --- Currency exchange --- Exchange, Foreign --- Foreign currency --- Foreign exchange problem --- Foreign money --- Forex --- FX (Finance) --- International exchange --- Currency crises --- economische hervorming --- economisch beleid --- monetair beleid --- fiscaal beleid --- buitenlandse handel --- china --- Government policy --- -S10/0251 --- -Fiscal policy --- -338.24 <510> --- 338 --- (510) --- $?$95/01 --- CN / China - Chine --- 331.31 --- 336.61 --- 333.820 --- 330.548 --- 330.540 --- 331.32 --- China: Economics, industry and commerce--General works and economic history: since 1989 --- Instrumenten van de economische politiek. Economische orde. Economisch politieke maatregelen. Stabilisering. Stimuleringsmaatregelen. Regulering. Financiele steunmaatregelen--?<510> --- Economisch beleid. --- Financieel beleid. --- Geldbeleid, bankbeleid en kredietbeleid: algemeenheden. --- Nationalisatie. Privatiseringen. --- Socialistische stelsels: algemeenheden. --- Structuur van de economie. --- -Working papers --- S10/0251 --- 338.24 <510> Instrumenten van de economische politiek. Economische orde. Economisch politieke maatregelen. Stabilisering. Stimuleringsmaatregelen. Regulering. Financiele steunmaatregelen--?<510> --- -International finance --- Cina --- Kinë --- Cathay --- Chinese National Government --- Chung-kuo kuo min cheng fu --- Republic of China (1912-1949) --- Kuo min cheng fu (China : 1912-1949) --- Chung-hua min kuo (1912-1949) --- Kina (China) --- National Government (1912-1949) --- China (Republic : 1912-1949) --- People's Republic of China --- Chinese People's Republic --- Chung-hua jen min kung ho kuo --- Central People's Government of Communist China --- Chung yang jen min cheng fu --- Chung-hua chung yang jen min kung ho kuo --- Central Government of the People's Republic of China --- Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo --- Zhong hua ren min gong he guo --- Kitaĭskai︠a︡ Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika --- Činská lidová republika --- RRT --- Republik Rakjat Tiongkok --- KNR --- Kytaĭsʹka Narodna Respublika --- Jumhūriyat al-Ṣīn al-Shaʻbīyah --- RRC --- Kitaĭ --- Kínai Népköztársaság --- Chūka Jinmin Kyōwakoku --- Erets Sin --- Sin --- Sāthāranarat Prachāchon Čhīn --- P.R. China --- PR China --- Chung-kuo --- Zhongguo --- Zhonghuaminguo (1912-1949) --- Zhong guo --- Chine --- République Populaire de Chine --- República Popular China --- Catay --- VR China --- VRChina --- 中國 --- 中国 --- 中华人民共和国 --- Jhongguó --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaxu Dundadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaqu Dumdadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gd Naĭramdakh Dundad Ard Uls --- Khi︠a︡tad --- Kitad --- Dumdadu Ulus --- Dumdad Uls --- Думдад Улс --- Kitajska --- 338.24 <510> --- Socialistische stelsels: algemeenheden --- Nationalisatie. Privatiseringen --- Economisch beleid --- Structuur van de economie --- Geldbeleid, bankbeleid en kredietbeleid: algemeenheden --- Financieel beleid --- Working papers --- politique fiscale --- politique monetaire --- Foreign exchange - China. --- Monetary policy - China. --- Fiscal policy - China. --- China - Economic policy - 1976 --- -Foreign exchange --- Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Fiscal Policy --- Public finance & taxation --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Banking --- International economics --- Income and capital gains taxes --- Income tax systems --- Personal income --- Taxes --- National accounts --- Credit --- Money --- Income tax --- Banks and banking --- Revenue --- China, People's Republic of
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