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European Union --- European Union countries --- Pays de l'Union européenne --- Economic integration --- Intégration économique --- Labour markets --- Unemployment --- New economy --- Panel analysis --- Venture capital --- E22 --- E24 --- E44 --- G24 --- G32 --- Capital; Investment; Capacity --- Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage; Ratings and Ratings Agencies --- Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure --- E-working papers --- Pays de l'Union européenne --- Intégration économique

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The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the event will occur or not. These indicators are constructed either directly from data or indirectly through models. Because they are constructed, they have different properties than those arising in microeconometrics, and how one is to use them depends a lot on the method of construction.This book presents the econometric methods necessary for the successful modeling of recurrent events, providing valuable insights for policymakers, empirical researchers, and theorists. It explains why it is inherently difficult to forecast the onset of a recession in a way that provides useful guidance for active stabilization policy, with the consequence that policymakers should place more emphasis on making the economy robust to recessions. The book offers a range of econometric tools and techniques that researchers can use to measure recurrent events, summarize their properties, and evaluate how effectively economic and statistical models capture them. These methods also offer insights for developing models that are consistent with observed financial and real cycles.This book is an essential resource for students, academics, and researchers at central banks and institutions such as the International Monetary Fund.

Business cycles --- Macroeconomics --- Econometrics --- Econometric models --- Mathematical models --- 305.2 --- Statistieken van de conjunctuur. --- Statistieken van de conjunctuur --- Business cycles - Econometric models --- Macroeconomics - Mathematical models --- Econometric models. --- Econometrics. --- Mathematical models. --- Markov switching models. --- amplitudes. --- binary states. --- bivariate series. --- business cycles. --- contraction. --- cycles financial series. --- cycles. --- dating cycles. --- dating. --- durations. --- economic activity. --- economic models. --- economic recessions. --- economy. --- event indicators. --- expansion. --- financial cycles. --- financial shocks. --- fluctuation. --- global financial crisis. --- linear autoregression. --- macroeconomy. --- microeconometrics. --- model-based rules. --- multiple series. --- oscillation. --- peaks. --- policymakers. --- prediction. --- recession. --- recurrent events. --- recurrent states. --- regression. --- statistics. --- synchronization. --- time series. --- time. --- troughs. --- univariate series. --- volatility.

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This volume presents 18 IMF research studies on the causes and consequences of corruption, as well as how it can most effectively be combated to improve governance, increase economic growth, and reduce poverty. The authors examine how civil service wages affect corruption, the impact of natural resource availability on corruption, the impact of corruption on a country’s income distribution and incidence of poverty, and the effect of corruption on government expenditures on health and education.

Public finance --- Political corruption --- Expenditures, Public --- Corruption (Politique) --- Dépenses publiques --- Economic aspects --- Aspect économique --- International Monetary Fund --- 339.96 --- 336.5 --- AA / International- internationaal --- 336.208 --- 343.35 --- 343.30 --- 323.4 --- Ontwikkelingshulp. Ontwikkelingssamenwerking. Ontwikkelingsproblematiek --- Overheidsuitgaven. Openbare financien. Staatsuitgaven. Lopende staatsuitgaven --- Grondslag, vereffening, inning en controle van de belastingen. Fiscale fraude. Zwartwerk. Parallelle economie. --- Misdrijven tegen de openbare administratie, de belasting- en administratieve wetgeving. --- Misdrijven tegen het openbaar gezag: algemeenheden. --- Politieke zeden.Partijgeest. Nepotisme. Favoritisme. --- Government - General --- Law, Politics & Government --- Political Institutions & Public Administration - General --- Economic aspects. --- 336.5 Overheidsuitgaven. Openbare financien. Staatsuitgaven. Lopende staatsuitgaven --- 339.96 Ontwikkelingshulp. Ontwikkelingssamenwerking. Ontwikkelingsproblematiek --- International Monetary Fund. --- Dépenses publiques --- Aspect économique --- Boss rule --- Corruption (in politics) --- Graft in politics --- Malversation --- Political scandals --- Politics, Practical --- Corrupt practices --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Corruption --- Misconduct in office --- Politieke zeden.Partijgeest. Nepotisme. Favoritisme --- Grondslag, vereffening, inning en controle van de belastingen. Fiscale fraude. Zwartwerk. Parallelle economie --- Misdrijven tegen het openbaar gezag: algemeenheden --- Misdrijven tegen de openbare administratie, de belasting- en administratieve wetgeving --- IMF. --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Criminology --- Natural Resources --- Bureaucracy --- Administrative Processes in Public Organizations --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- National Security and War --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Corporate crime --- white-collar crime --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Environmental management --- Education --- Expenditure --- Structural reforms --- Defense spending --- Personal income --- Crime --- Macrostructural analysis --- National accounts --- Income --- Income distribution --- Russian Federation --- Income economics --- White-collar crime

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The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, and economics in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.

Deposit insurance --- Banks and banking --- Financial institutions --- Associations, institutions, etc. --- Financial intermediaries --- Lending institutions --- Finance --- Money --- Agricultural banks --- Banking --- Banking industry --- Commercial banks --- Depository institutions --- Insurance --- Bank deposit insurance --- Insurance, Deposit --- Savings insurance --- Evaluation --- State supervision --- Government guaranty of deposits --- International Monetary Fund --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Business, Economy and Management. --- Economics --- General and Others. --- 330.342.36 --- 341.125 --- #ETEW:TSCAT --- #BS497 --- #ABIB:aleo --- #TS:ABIB --- (06) --- $?$97/04 --- 813 Methodologie --- 822.4 Internationale financiële instellingen --- 825 Ontwikkelingssamenwerking --- 830 Economie --- 837 Financiën en Bankwezen --- economie --- international --- AA / International- internationaal --- AA* / International - Internationaal --- LDC / Developping Countries - Pays En Développement --- 331.31 --- 331.30 --- 338.340 --- 339.115 --- 331.061 --- 304.5 --- 334.151.20 --- 333.481 --- 341.125 Gespecialiseerde organisaties van de v.n. --- 341.125 UNICED. United Nations Conference on Environment and Development --- 341.125 WORLD BANK. Wereldbank --- Gespecialiseerde organisaties van de v.n. --- UNICED. United Nations Conference on Environment and Development --- WORLD BANK. Wereldbank --- 330.342.36 Wereldeconomie --- Wereldeconomie --- internationaal --- Economisch beleid --- Economische toestand --- Algemene ontwikkeling in de Derde Wereld --- Buitenlandse schuld. Debt Equity Swap in LDC --- Economische vooruitzichten --- Techniek van de statistische-econometrische voorspellingen. Prognose in de econometrie --- Economische en monetaire unie van de Europese Gemeenschappen: algemeenheden --- Monetaire crisissen, hervormingen, saneringen en stabilisering --- Economic conditions. Economic development --- International finance --- International economic relations --- Business, Economy and Management --- Social Sciences --- General and Others --- Developmental Issues & Socioeconomic Studies --- Economic history --- Histoire économique --- Periodicals --- Périodiques --- Evaluation. --- Economic forecasting --- Economic conditions --- History, Economic --- Economic development --- Economic development. --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Trade: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- International economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Exports --- Yield curve --- Long term interest rates --- Short term interest rates --- Prices --- International trade --- Financial services --- Government debt management --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Interest rates --- Balance of payments --- Economic theory --- Debts, Public --- United States --- Foreign Exchange --- Fiscal Policy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary economics --- Exchange rates --- Currencies --- Fiscal consolidation --- Fiscal policy --- Finance: General --- Production and Operations Management --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- HIV/AIDS --- Privatization --- Investment & securities --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Oil prices --- Structural reforms --- Productivity --- Asset prices --- Financial markets --- Macrostructural analysis --- Production --- Financial services industry --- Industrial productivity --- Financial Risk Management --- Industries: Financial Services --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Insurance companies --- Bank deposits --- Bank resolution framework --- Financial crises --- Financial safety nets --- Crisis management --- Malaysia --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Labor markets --- Unemployment rate --- Labor market --- Labor economics --- Budgeting --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public debt --- Budget planning and preparation --- Budget --- Russian Federation --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Public Enterprises --- Public-Private Enterprises --- Civil service & public sector --- Pensions --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Revenue --- Finance, Public --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Trade barriers --- Price stabilization --- Commercial policy --- Government policy --- Financial Crises --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Business cycles --- Currency crises --- Investments: Energy --- Energy: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Imports --- Oil --- Interest payments --- Current account balance --- Commodities --- External debt --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Debt service --- Social Services and Welfare --- Poverty and Homelessness --- Real Estate --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Commodity Markets --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Social welfare & social services --- Poverty & precarity --- Property & real estate --- Poverty reduction strategy --- Poverty reduction --- Poverty reduction and development --- Poverty --- Commodity prices --- Income --- National accounts --- Housing --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Debt burden --- Trade balance --- Debt reduction --- Asset and liability management --- Debts, External --- Balance of trade --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Capital inflows --- Potential output --- Capital flows --- Foreign direct investment --- Capital movements --- Investments, Foreign --- Comoros, Union of the --- International Economics --- Diseases: Contagious --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Health Behavior --- International institutions --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Revenue administration --- COVID-19 --- Health --- International agencies --- Communicable diseases --- Income economics --- Covid-19 --- Hiv/AIDS