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Forecasting. --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction
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Civilization --- Twenty-first century --- History. --- Forecasts.
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The ecosystems present a great diversity worldwide and use various functionalities according to ecologic regions. In this new context of variability and climatic changes, these ecosystems undergo notable modifications amplified by domestic uses of which it was subjected to. Indeed the ecosystems render diverse services to humanity from their composition and structure but the tolerable levels are unknown. The preservation of these ecosystemic services needs a clear understanding of their complexity. The role of research is not only to characterise the ecosystems but also to clearly define the tolerable usage levels. Their characterisation proves to be important not only for the local populations that use it but also for the conservation of biodiversity. Hence, the measurement, management and protection of ecosystems need innovative and diverse methods. For all these reasons, the aim of this book is to bring out a general view on the function of ecosystems, modelling, sampling strategies, invading species, the response of organisms to modifications, the carbon dynamics, the mathematical models and theories that can be applied in diverse conditions.
Ecological forecasting. --- Ecological forecasts --- Ecology --- Forecasting --- Biodiversity
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Making Sense of the Future integrates the latest thinking in Future Studies with the author's expertise in world history, economics, interdisciplinary studies, knowledge organization, and political activism. The book takes a systems approach that recognizes the complexity of our world. It begins by suggesting a set of goals for human societies and identifying innovative strategies for achieving these goals that could gain broad support. Each chapter begins with a How to section that discusses how we can identify goals, strategies, trends, surprises, or implementation strategies and concludes with an integrative analysis that draws connections across the preceding discussions. Taking a cross-disciplinary approach, Szostak explores key trends and how these interact so that he can develop strategies to guide trends towards desirable futures. He discusses the ways in which we can best prepare for surprises such as epidemics and natural disasters, enabling us to react to them in beneficial ways. Supported by a list of guiding questions and suggestions for class projects, this is an accessible textbook for students of Future Studies and Future Studies courses. The Open Access version of this book, available at www.taylorfrancis.com, has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution- Non Commercial- No Derivatives 4.0 license.
Forecasting. --- Future, The. --- Time --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction
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Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools. Readers will gain valuable security insights into unstructured big data, along with tactics on how to use the data to their advantage to reduce risk. Presents case studies and actual data to demonstrate threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools Explores the usage of kill chain modelling to inform actionable security intelligence Demonstrates a methodology that can be used to create a full threat forecast analysis for enterprise networks of any size
Forecasting. --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction --- Computer security. --- Big data.
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Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Meteorology & Climatology --- Climatic changes --- Weather forecasting --- Long-range weather forecasts --- Social aspects. --- Extended range weather forecasts --- Forecasts, Long-range weather --- Weather forecasts, Long-range --- Forecasting, Weather --- Short range weather forecasting --- Weather --- Weather prediction --- Forecasting --- Meteorology --- Geophysical prediction
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Are the performing arts really supposed to be so radical that, as John Cage once said in the context of music, ""there is no noise, only sound,"" since ""he argued that any sounds we can hear can be music""? (WK 2007a; D. Harwood 1976) This radical tradition
Performing arts --- Performance. --- Forecasting. --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction --- Competence --- Work --- Philosophy.
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How do attempts to foresee the future actually change it? For thousands of years, humans have called upon foresight to shape their own actions in order to adapt and survive; as Charles Darwin revealed in his theory of natural selection, the capacity to do just that is key to the origin of species. The uses of foresight, however, can also be applied to help us further our understanding across a variety of realms in everything from warfare, journalism and music, to ancient civilizations, space weather and science. In a thought-provoking new addition to the Darwin College Lecture Series, eight distinguished authors each present an essay from their area of expertise devoted to the theme of 'foresight'. This provocative read reveals foresight as a process that can be identified across all areas of human endeavour, an art which can not only predict the future, but make it anything but inevitable.
Forecasting. --- Prediction (Psychology) --- Psychological tests --- Psychology --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction
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The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.
Weather forecasting --- Probability forecasts (Meteorology) --- Weather forecasting. --- Forecasts (Meteorology), Probability --- Probabilities --- Statistical weather forecasting --- Forecasting, Weather --- Short range weather forecasting --- Weather --- Weather prediction --- Geophysical prediction --- Forecasting
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The study of futures is an area of increasing interest and one that is comprehensively examined in this new collection, with contributions from key names in the field.
Forecasting. --- Twenty-first century. --- 21st century --- Third millennium --- Forecasts --- Futurology --- Prediction
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