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The author of this study argues that nuclear weapons and the psychology of nuclear deterrence will remain important after 2000, but the character of that importance will change. Advanced technology conventional weapons based on information and electronics become more strategically important.
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There is great social tension in the aftermath of ‘Tiananmen Square’, uncertainty about political and economic policy and the constant burden of over-population. Serious flooding of the Yellow River adds more than a hundred million to the ‘floating population’ of destitute and semi-destitute peasant refugees. In addition, the rapid development of the market economy, and other reforms, have led to the prosperity of some but not in all provinces. The bastion of conservative opposition to reform remains in the Army, especially among the old revolutionaries. An ambitious Lieutenant-General (Wang Feng), backed by the highest-ranking officer of the Army, now retired, who still wields immense, informal power, arranges for the assassination of the reformist Secretary General of the Communist Party who is also President of China. Seven of the rich southern provinces subsequently declare independence because the anti-reform, anti-commercial new government threatens their prosperity… Taiwan sees this as an opportunity to ‘re-conquer the mainland’, but Wang Feng orders a pre-emptive nuclear attack on Taipei... Members of the Taiwanese army then capture a nuclear missile base in south China and fire a missile at Beijing, which lands in Russia by mistake…
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Follows and elderly couple's preparations for and experience of a nuclear attack. Suggested level: secondary.
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Nuclear warfare --- Emergency medical services --- Nuclear warfare --- Nuclear warfare --- Nuclear warfare --- Health aspects --- Environmental aspects --- Psychological aspects --- Social aspects
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Nuclear warfare --- Religious aspects. --- Psychological aspects.
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Regression (Civilization) --- Nuclear warfare --- Middle West
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Presents the text of an address given before the General Assembly of the United Nations on December 8, 1953, regarding peaceful uses of atomic energy. Dangers of atomic warfare; History of negotiations with the Soviet Union; Proposal for the advancement of research into atomic energy; Closing comments.
Nuclear warfare --- Safety measures. --- Environmental aspects.
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Arguing that previous critiques of rational choice and deterrence theory are not convincing, Frank Harvey constructs a new set of empirical tests of rational deterrence theory to illuminate patterns of interaction between rival nuclear powers. He analyses the crisis management techniques used by the United States and the Soviet Union in twenty-eight post-war crises and isolates factors that promote or inhibit escalation of these crises. This "crises"-based data set serves as the basis for identifying patterns of response when one nuclear state is threatened by another. The Future's Back offers new directions for testing that emphasize a more unified approach to theory building and assesses the feasibility of alternative courses of action to prevent escalation of future disputes characterized by nuclear rivalry.
Deterrence (Strategy) --- Nuclear warfare. --- World politics
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