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Economic growth --- Stagnation (Economics) --- STAGNATION (economics)
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Economic growth --- Economic development --- Economics --- History --- Economics - History - 20th century
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This Handbook assembles original contributions from influential authors such as Herman Daly, Paul Ekins, Marina Fischer-Kowalski, Jeroen van den Bergh, William E. Rees and Tim Jackson who have helped to define our understanding of growth and sustainability. The Handbook also presents new contributions on topics such as degrowth, the debt-based financial system, cultural change, energy return on investment, shorter working hours and employment, and innovation and technology. Explorations of these issues can deepen our understanding of whether growth is sustainable and, in turn, whether a move a.
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"A radical counterpoint to the 'growth at all costs' agenda"--
Economic development. --- Stagnation (Economics) --- Poverty. --- Sustainable development. --- Economic growth
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This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap between the high demand for such models by commercial banks, international organizations, central banks and governments on the one hand and the limited supply on the other hand. Frequent forecast failures in the past (e.g. Japan 1990, Asia 1997) and the heavy economic losses they produced motivated the work. The book assesses the large number of different theories of economic growth, the drivers of economic growth, the available datasets and the empirical methods on offer. A preference is shown for evolutionary models and an augmented Kaldor model. The book uses non-stationary panel techniques to find pair-wise cointegration among GDP per capita and its main correlates such as physical capital, human capital and openness. GDP forecasts for the years 2006 to 2020 for 40 countries are derived in a transparent way. The author works for a commercial bank and has been the lead researcher in the bank's project called "Global Growth Centres 2020".
Economic forecasting --- Mathematical models. --- Macroeconomics. --- Economic growth. --- Development economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Economic Growth. --- Development Economics. --- Economics --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Mathematical models
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Après une description du phénomène de croissance, de son inégale répartition dans le monde, des transformations qui lui sont liées, ce volume analyse les facteurs de la croissance (économiques, institutionnels, sociaux), ses modalités dans le monde de demain ainsi que le rôle que pourront jouer les politiques économiques.
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