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Au rythme actuel, la Chine est susceptible de devenir, dans moins d'une generation, la premiere puissance economique mondiale. Pas un continent n'echappe a sa presence, a son influence. La modernisation rapide de son outil militaire, le developpement de son industrie de defense et de son programme spatial, de ses capacites financieres et intellectuelles, mais aussi la croissance spectaculaire de ses investissements dans le secteur R&D, font d'ores et deja de la Chine une puissance globale, c'est-a-dire capable de se mouvoir dans les trois dimensions, terrestre, maritime et spatiale. Comment interpreter, cependant, l'ecart entre les proclamations rassurantes sur le caractere pacifique et responsable de sa puissance, et la poursuite d'un rearmement massif, servi par le deuxieme budget miitaire du monde, qui pousse Pekin a bousculer un statu quo regional qui ne la satisfait plus et a se declarer prete a recourir a la force armee dans les disputes territoriales si on l'y obligeait ? Comment decrypter la strategie - ou l'absence de strategie - de ses dirigeants ? Nourri par des echanges organises sous l'egide de l'IRSEM, ce livre collectif rassemble les contributions de plus d'une vingtaine d'auteurs venus de divers horizons. Il offre une analyse de la strategie et de l'influence de la Chine dans les espaces qu'elle a investis de maniere provilegiee, de la fin de la Guerre froide au tournant des annees 2015-2016, et des tensions que l'accroissement de son role et de ses activites peut susciter. Il eclaire les differentes etapes de la modernisation militaire chinoise, de ses champs d'application, de ses sources d'inspiration et de transferts technologiques, mais aussi de ses limites. Il invite a la modestie des conclusions, au developpement et a l'approfondissement continu des etudes strategiques sur la Chine.
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"The topic of China's rise and what it really means for the global and regional order is the subject of intense debate in scholarly discourse and media around the world. While some are confident that China will rise to the level of an equally powerful competitor to the United States, others are more cautious. This volume engages with this ongoing debate through empirical, sector-based, and systematic assessments of China's power. Top scholars address China's power today, compare China's power with that of the USA, and forecast China's power in 2025. The book offers persuasive accounts of where China stands out, where China still has room to improve, and where China's comprehensive power is and will be situated within the hierarchy of the international system"--
International relations. Foreign policy --- China --- Foreign relations --- Foreign economic relations --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy --- Military policy. --- China - Foreign relations - 21st century. --- China - Foreign economic relations - 21st century. --- China - Economic conditions - 2000 --- -China - Economic policy - 2000 --- -China - Military policy.
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Si elle poursuit toujours plus dans la voie du développement économique, on peut craindre que la Chine n'en vienne aussi à se doter d'une puissance militaire réellement mondiale et ne cherche à peser davantage sur l'échiquier international. Ce scénario d'une Chine hégémonique déclenchant par réaction un vaste conflit est-il vraiment probable ? La logique même de la stratégie n'impose-t-elle pas aux dirigeants chinois d'opter pour une autre voie ? Sauront-ils le comprendre ? Et que faire, partout, pour endiguer cette dangereuse montée en puissance qui pourrait de nouveau faire basculer le monde dans le chaos et la guerre ? Stratège hors pair autant qu'historien, grand connaisseur du monde asiatique, Edward N Luttwak analyse en profondeur ce qui inspire la politique récente de la Chine, ainsi que ses biais culturels, ses limites, ses erreurs, ses maladresses, ses tromperies aussi. Il en met au jour tous les dangers, si nous ne prenons pas soin, dès aujourd'hui, de réagir vigoureusement et adéquatement. Décryptant tous les enjeux au coeur des relations qu'entretient la République populaire avec les Etats-Unis aussi bien qu'avec l'Australie, le Japon autant qu'avec la Corée du Sud ou le Vietnam, la Mongolie ou encore la Russie, il souligne les échecs et les réussites des uns et des autres. Un ouvrage essentiel pour mieux comprendre l'impact de la Chine sur le monde.
Geopolitics --- Géopolitique --- China --- Chine --- Strategic aspects --- Military policy --- Foreign relations --- Aspect stratégique --- Politique militaire --- Relations extérieures --- Géopolitique --- Aspect stratégique --- Relations extérieures --- Strategic aspects. --- Geopolitics - China --- China - Strategic aspects --- China - Military policy --- China - Foreign relations - 1976 --- -Politique militaire
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China --- Military policy. --- S07/0360 --- #SBIB:327.5H21 --- #SBIB:327.5H10 --- #SML: Joseph Spae --- 327 <51> --- China: Army and police force--Theoretical: guerilla warfare, strategy --- Vrede – oorlog, oorlogssituaties --- Strategie: algemeen --- Buitenlandse betrekkingen. Buitenlandse politiek. Internationale betrekkingen. Internationale politiek. Wereldpolitiek--China --- 327 <51> Buitenlandse betrekkingen. Buitenlandse politiek. Internationale betrekkingen. Internationale politiek. Wereldpolitiek--China --- Chine --- Politique militaire --- China - Military policy.
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National security --- China --- United States --- East Asia --- Taiwan Strait --- Foreign relations --- Strategic aspects --- Military policy --- Politics and government --- National securityChina --- ChinaForeign relations --- National security - China --- China - Foreign relations - 1976 --- -China - Foreign relations - United States --- United States - Foreign relations - China --- China - Foreign relations - East Asia --- East Asia - Foreign relations - China --- Taiwan Strait - Strategic aspects --- China - Military policy --- China - Politics and government - 1976-2002
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Confucianism and state --- History --- China --- Military policy --- Foreign relations --- S09/0260 --- China: Foreign relations and world politics--General works: after 1949 ("Russia, U.S.A. and China" comes here too) --- S09/0260China: Foreign relations and world politics--General works: after 1949 ("Russia, U.S.A. and China" comes here too) --- Strategic culture --- Culture --- National security --- State and Confucianism --- State, The --- Military policy. --- Confucianism and state - China - History --- China - Military policy --- China - Foreign relations - 1949 --- -Confucianism and state --- -Confucianism and state - China - History
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World politics --- United States --- Soviet Union --- China --- Military policy. --- Military relations --- Military policy --- World politics - 1975-1985 --- United States - Military policy --- Soviet Union - Military policy --- China - Military policy --- United States - Military relations - China --- China - Military relations - United States --- China - Military relations - Soviet Union --- Soviet Union - Military relations - China --- Soviet Union - Military relations - United States --- United States - Military relations - Soviet Union --- U.r.s.s. --- Chine --- Politique et gouvernement --- 1949 --- -World politics --- -U.r.s.s.
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This book offers an empirical comparison of Chinese and Indian international strategic behavior. It is the first study of its kind, filling an important gap in the literature on rising Indian and Chinese power and American interests in Asia. The book creates a framework for the systematic and objective assessment of Chinese and Indian strategic behavior in four areas: (1) strategic culture; (2) foreign policy and use of force; (3) military modernization (including defense spending, military doctrine and force modernization); and (4) economic strategies (including international trade and energy competition). The utility of democratic peace theory in predicting Chinese and Indian behavior is also examined. The findings challenge many assumptions underpinning Western expectations of China and India.
Strategic culture --- China --- India --- Foreign relations --- Military policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Culture stratégique --- Politique militaire --- Chine --- Inde --- Relations extérieures --- Relations économiques extérieures --- FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS -- 327.5 --- Relations économiques extérieures. --- Culture --- National security --- Bharat --- Bhārata --- Government of India --- Ḣindiston Respublikasi --- Indië --- Indien --- Indii︠a︡ --- Indland --- Indo --- Republic of India --- Sāthāranarat ʻIndīa --- Yin-tu --- インド --- هند --- Индия --- Military policy. --- Foreign economic relations. --- Social Sciences --- Political Science --- Strategic culture - China --- Strategic culture - India --- China - Foreign relations - 21st century --- China - Military policy --- China - Foreign economic relations --- India - Foreign relations - 21st century --- India - Military policy --- India - Foreign economic relations --- Culture stratégique --- Relations extérieures --- Relations économiques extérieures.
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Polemology --- China --- Armed Forces --- Weapons systems --- Military policy --- S07/0350 --- China: Army and police force--Army, navy and air force: since 1949 --- Cina --- Kinë --- Cathay --- Chinese National Government --- Chung-kuo kuo min cheng fu --- Republic of China (1912-1949) --- Kuo min cheng fu (China : 1912-1949) --- Chung-hua min kuo (1912-1949) --- Kina (China) --- National Government (1912-1949) --- China (Republic : 1912-1949) --- People's Republic of China --- Chinese People's Republic --- Chung-hua jen min kung ho kuo --- Central People's Government of Communist China --- Chung yang jen min cheng fu --- Chung-hua chung yang jen min kung ho kuo --- Central Government of the People's Republic of China --- Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo --- Zhong hua ren min gong he guo --- Kitaĭskai︠a︡ Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika --- Činská lidová republika --- RRT --- Republik Rakjat Tiongkok --- KNR --- Kytaĭsʹka Narodna Respublika --- Jumhūriyat al-Ṣīn al-Shaʻbīyah --- RRC --- Kitaĭ --- Kínai Népköztársaság --- Chūka Jinmin Kyōwakoku --- Erets Sin --- Sin --- Sāthāranarat Prachāchon Čhīn --- P.R. China --- PR China --- Chung-kuo --- Zhongguo --- Zhonghuaminguo (1912-1949) --- Zhong guo --- Chine --- République Populaire de Chine --- República Popular China --- Catay --- VR China --- VRChina --- 中國 --- 中国 --- 中华人民共和国 --- Jhongguó --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaxu Dundadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaqu Dumdadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gd Naĭramdakh Dundad Ard Uls --- Khi︠a︡tad --- Kitad --- Dumdadu Ulus --- Dumdad Uls --- Думдад Улс --- Kitajska --- China (Republic : 1949- ) --- Armed Forces. --- Weapons systems. --- Military policy. --- PRC --- P.R.C. --- BNKhAU --- БНХАУ --- China - Armed Forces --- China - Armed Forces - Weapons systems --- China - Military policy
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The first work of its kind, this strategic assessment of China's national security reveals the nation's intentions, capabilities, and threats-and their implications for the United States and the world.
China --- National security --- Strategic aspects --- Military policy --- History, Military --- Foreign relations --- S07/0200 --- S07/0360 --- S07/0350 --- S09/0410 --- S06/0280 --- China: Army and police force--Military history --- China: Army and police force--Theoretical: guerilla warfare, strategy --- China: Army and police force--Army, navy and air force: since 1949 --- China: Foreign relations and world politics--Relations with Asian countries --- China: Politics and government--State security and intelligence --- Strategic aspects. --- Military policy. --- History, Military. --- Foreign relations. --- Cina --- Kinë --- Cathay --- Chinese National Government --- Chung-kuo kuo min cheng fu --- Republic of China (1912-1949) --- Kuo min cheng fu (China : 1912-1949) --- Chung-hua min kuo (1912-1949) --- Kina (China) --- National Government (1912-1949) --- China (Republic : 1912-1949) --- People's Republic of China --- Chinese People's Republic --- Chung-hua jen min kung ho kuo --- Central People's Government of Communist China --- Chung yang jen min cheng fu --- Chung-hua chung yang jen min kung ho kuo --- Central Government of the People's Republic of China --- Zhonghua Renmin Gongheguo --- Zhong hua ren min gong he guo --- Kitaĭskai︠a︡ Narodnai︠a︡ Respublika --- Činská lidová republika --- RRT --- Republik Rakjat Tiongkok --- KNR --- Kytaĭsʹka Narodna Respublika --- Jumhūriyat al-Ṣīn al-Shaʻbīyah --- RRC --- Kitaĭ --- Kínai Népköztársaság --- Chūka Jinmin Kyōwakoku --- Erets Sin --- Sin --- Sāthāranarat Prachāchon Čhīn --- P.R. China --- PR China --- PRC --- P.R.C. --- Chung-kuo --- Zhongguo --- Zhonghuaminguo (1912-1949) --- Zhong guo --- Chine --- République Populaire de Chine --- República Popular China --- Catay --- VR China --- VRChina --- 中國 --- 中国 --- 中华人民共和国 --- Jhongguó --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaxu Dundadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gu̇de Nayiramdaqu Dumdadu Arad Ulus --- Bu̇gd Naĭramdakh Dundad Ard Uls --- BNKhAU --- БНХАУ --- Khi︠a︡tad --- Kitad --- Dumdadu Ulus --- Dumdad Uls --- Думдад Улс --- Kitajska --- China (Republic : 1949- ) --- China - Strategic aspects --- China - Military policy --- National security - China --- China - History, Military --- China - Foreign relations
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