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This monograph highlights the connection between the theory of neutron transport and the theory of non-local branching processes. By detailing this frequently overlooked relationship, the authors provide readers an entry point into several active areas, particularly applications related to general radiation transport. Cutting-edge research published in recent years is collected here for convenient reference. Organized into two parts, the first offers a modern perspective on the relationship between the neutron branching process (NBP) and the neutron transport equation (NTE), as well as some of the core results concerning the growth and spread of mass of the NBP. The second part generalizes some of the theory put forward in the first, offering proofs in a broader context in order to show why NBPs are as malleable as they appear to be. Stochastic Neutron Transport will be a valuable resource for probabilists, and may also be of interest to numerical analysts and engineers in the field of nuclear research.
Probabilities. --- Stochastic processes. --- Markov processes. --- Applied Probability. --- Probability Theory. --- Stochastic Processes. --- Markov Process. --- Probabilitats --- Processos estocàstics
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This book explains the basic theory of Hilbert C*-module in detail, covering a wide range of applications from generalized index to module framework. At the center of the book, the Beurling-Deny criterion is characterized between operator valued Dirichlet forms and quantum Markov semigroups, hence opening a new field of quantum probability research. The general scope of the book includes: basic theory of Hilbert C*-modules; generalized indices and module frames; operator valued Dirichlet forms; and quantum Markov semigroups. This book will be of value to scholars and graduate students in the fields of operator algebra, quantum probability and quantum information.
Operator theory. --- Functional analysis. --- Markov processes. --- Operator Theory. --- Functional Analysis. --- Markov Process. --- Hilbert modules.
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This book offers the reader a journey through the counterintuitive nature of Brownian motion under confinement. Diffusion is a universal phenomenon that controls a wide range of physical, chemical, and biological processes. The transport of spatially-constrained molecules and small particles is ubiquitous in nature and technology and plays an essential role in different processes. Understanding the physics of diffusion under conditions of confinement is essential for a number of biological phenomena and potential technological applications in micro- and nanofluidics, among others. Studies on diffusion under confinement are typically difficult to understand for young scientists and students because of the extensive background on diffusion processes, physics, and mathematics that is required. All of this information is provided in this book, which is essentially self-contained as a result of the authors’ efforts to make it accessible to an audience of students froma variety of different backgrounds. The book also provides the necessary mathematical details so students can follow the technical process required to solve each problem. Readers will also find detailed explanations of the main results based on the last 30 years of research devoted to studying diffusion under confinement. The authors approach the physical problem from various angles and discuss the role of geometries and boundary conditions in diffusion. This textbook serves as a comprehensive and modern overview of Brownian motion under confinement and is intended for young scientists, graduate students, and advanced undergraduates in physics, physical chemistry, biology, chemistry, chemical engineering, biochemistry, bioengineering, and polymer and material sciences.
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This textbook reconstructs the statistics curriculum from the perspective of posterior probability. In recent years, there have been several reports that the results of studies using significant tests cannot be reproduced. It is a problem called a “reproducibility crisis”. For example, suppose we could reject the null hypothesis that “the average number of days to recovery in patients who took a new drug was the same as that in the control group”. However, rejecting the null hypothesis is only a necessary condition for the new drug to be effective. Even if the necessary conditions are met, it does not necessarily mean that the new drug is effective. In fact, there are many cases where the effect is not reproduced. Sufficient conditions should be presented, such as “the average number of days until recovery in patients who take new drugs is sufficiently short compared to the control group, evaluated from a medical point of view”, without paying attention to necessary conditions. This book reconstructs statistics from the perspective of PHC, i.e., probability that a research hypothesis is correct. For example, the PHC curve shows the posterior probability that the statement “The average number of days until recovery for patients taking a new drug is at least θ days shorter than that of the control group” is correct as a function of θ. Using the PHC curve makes it possible to discuss the sufficient conditions rather than the necessary conditions for being an efficient treatment. The value of statistical research should be evaluated with concrete indicators such as “90% probability of being at least 3 days shorter”, not abstract metrics like the p-value.
Social sciences --- Statistics. --- Markov processes. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Psychometrics. --- Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Markov Process. --- Bayesian Inference. --- Parametric Inference. --- Statistical methods. --- Estadística matemàtica --- Probabilitats
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This book explains the importance of using the probability that the hypothesis is correct (PHC), an intuitive measure that anyone can understand, as an alternative to the p-value. In order to overcome the “reproducibility crisis” caused by the misuse of significance tests, this book provides a detailed explanation of the mechanism of p-hacking using significance tests, and concretely shows the merits of PHC as an alternative to p-values. In March 2019, two impactful papers on statistics were published. One paper, "Moving to a World Beyond ‘p < 0.05’”, was featured in the scholarly journal The American Statistician, overseen by the American Statistical Association. The title of the first chapter is “Don't Say ‘Statistically Significant’”, and it uses the imperative form to clearly forbid the use of significance testing. Another paper, “Retire statistical significance”, was published in the prestigious scientific journal Nature. This commentary was endorsed by more than 800 scientists, advocating for the statement, “We agree, and call for the entire concept of statistical significance to be abandoned.” Consider a study comparing the duration of hospital stays between treatments A and B. Previously, research conclusions were typically stated as: “There was a statistically significant difference at the 5% level in the average duration of hospital stays.” This phrasing is quite abstract. Instead, we present the following conclusion as an example: (1) The average duration of hospital stays for Group A is at least half a day shorter than for Group B. (2) 71% of patients in Group A have shorter hospital stays than the average for Group B. (3) Group A has an average hospital stay that is, on average, no more than 94% of that of Group B. Then, the probability that the expression is correct is shown. That is the PHC curve.
Social sciences --- Statistics. --- Markov processes. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Psychometrics. --- Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Markov Process. --- Bayesian Inference. --- Parametric Inference. --- Statistical methods.
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Financial econometrics has developed into a very fruitful and vibrant research area in the last two decades. The availability of good data promotes research in this area, specially aided by online data and high-frequency data. These two characteristics of financial data also create challenges for researchers that are different from classical macro-econometric and micro-econometric problems. This Special Issue is dedicated to research topics that are relevant for analyzing financial data. We have gathered six articles under this theme.
tuning parameter choice --- Markov process --- model averaging --- n/a --- steady state distributions --- realized volatility --- threshold --- risk prices --- threshold auto-regression --- bond risk premia --- linear programming estimator --- volatility forecasting --- Bayesian inference --- asset price bubbles --- stationarity --- deviance information criterion --- model selection --- probability integral transform --- forecast comparisons --- Markov-Chain Monte Carlo --- explosive regimes --- multivariate nonlinear time series --- Tukey’s power transformation --- affine term structure models --- Mallows criterion --- nonlinear nonnegative autoregression --- TVAR models --- stochastic conditional duration --- shrinkage --- Tukey's power transformation
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This book provides a compact introduction to the theory of measure-valued branching processes, immigration processes and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck type processes. Measure-valued branching processes arise as high density limits of branching particle systems. The first part of the book gives an analytic construction of a special class of such processes, the Dawson–Watanabe superprocesses, which includes the finite-dimensional continuous-state branching process as an example. Under natural assumptions, it is shown that the superprocesses have Borel right realizations. Transformations are then used to derive the existence and regularity of several different forms of the superprocesses. This technique simplifies the constructions and gives useful new perspectives. Martingale problems of superprocesses are discussed under Feller type assumptions. The second part investigates immigration structures associated with the measure-valued branching processes. The structures are formulated by skew convolution semigroups, which are characterized in terms of infinitely divisible probability entrance laws. A theory of stochastic equations for one-dimensional continuous-state branching processes with or without immigration is developed, which plays a key role in the construction of measure flows of those processes. The third part of the book studies a class of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes in Hilbert spaces defined by generalized Mehler semigroups, which arise naturally in fluctuation limit theorems of the immigration superprocesses. This volume is aimed at researchers in measure-valued processes, branching processes, stochastic analysis, biological and genetic models, and graduate students in probability theory and stochastic processes.
Probabilities. --- Stochastic processes. --- Markov processes. --- Probability Theory. --- Stochastic Processes. --- Markov Process. --- Analysis, Markov --- Chains, Markov --- Markoff processes --- Markov analysis --- Markov chains --- Markov models --- Models, Markov --- Processes, Markov --- Stochastic processes --- Random processes --- Probabilities --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Processos de ramificació --- Processos de Markov --- Processos estocàstics --- Moviment brownià --- Processos de difusió --- Processos de moviment brownià --- Cladística --- Branching processes. --- Processes, Branching
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The volume includes a collection of peer-reviewed contributions from among those presented at the main conference organized yearly by the Mexican Statistical Association (AME) and every two years by a Latin-American Confederation of Statistical Societies. For the 2018 edition, particular attention was placed on the analysis of highly complex or large data sets, which have come to be known as “big data”. Statistical research in Latin America is prolific and research networks span within and outside the region. The goal of this volume is to provide access to selected works from Latin-American collaborators and their research networks to a wider audience. New methodological advances, motivated in part by the challenges of a data-driven world and the Latin American context, will be of interest to academics and practitioners around the world. .
Markov processes. --- Statistics . --- Big data. --- Markov model. --- Applied Statistics. --- Bayesian Inference. --- Big Data/Analytics. --- Big Data. --- Data sets, Large --- Large data sets --- Data sets --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Mathematics --- Econometrics --- Analysis, Markov --- Chains, Markov --- Markoff processes --- Markov analysis --- Markov chains --- Markov models --- Models, Markov --- Processes, Markov --- Stochastic processes --- Mathematical statistics --- Mathematical statistics. --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Statistics. --- Quantitative research. --- Markov Process. --- Data Analysis and Big Data. --- Data analysis (Quantitative research) --- Exploratory data analysis (Quantitative research) --- Quantitative analysis (Research) --- Quantitative methods (Research) --- Research
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This textbook explores two distinct stochastic processes that evolve at random: weakly stationary processes and discrete parameter Markov processes. Building from simple examples, the authors focus on developing context and intuition before formalizing the theory of each topic. This inviting approach illuminates the key ideas and computations in the proofs, forming an ideal basis for further study. After recapping the essentials from Fourier analysis, the book begins with an introduction to the spectral representation of a stationary process. Topics in ergodic theory follow, including Birkhoff’s Ergodic Theorem and an introduction to dynamical systems. From here, the Markov property is assumed and the theory of discrete parameter Markov processes is explored on a general state space. Chapters cover a variety of topics, including birth–death chains, hitting probabilities and absorption, the representation of Markov processes as iterates of random maps, and large deviation theory for Markov processes. A chapter on geometric rates of convergence to equilibrium includes a splitting condition that captures the recurrence structure of certain iterated maps in a novel way. A selection of special topics concludes the book, including applications of large deviation theory, the FKG inequalities, coupling methods, and the Kalman filter. Featuring many short chapters and a modular design, this textbook offers an in-depth study of stationary and discrete-time Markov processes. Students and instructors alike will appreciate the accessible, example-driven approach and engaging exercises throughout. A single, graduate-level course in probability is assumed.
Stochastic processes. --- Markov processes. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Probabilities. --- Stochastic Processes. --- Markov Process. --- Distribution Theory. --- Probability Theory. --- Processos estocàstics --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Analysis, Markov --- Chains, Markov --- Markoff processes --- Markov analysis --- Markov chains --- Markov models --- Models, Markov --- Processes, Markov --- Stochastic processes --- Random processes --- Càlcul estocàstic --- Funcions aleatòries --- Processos aleatoris --- Probabilitats --- Anàlisi estocàstica --- Aproximació estocàstica --- Camps aleatoris --- Filtre de Kalman --- Fluctuacions (Física) --- Martingales (Matemàtica) --- Mètode de Montecarlo --- Processos de Markov --- Processos de ramificació --- Processos gaussians --- Processos puntuals --- Rutes aleatòries (Matemàtica) --- Semimartingales (Matemàtica) --- Sistemes estocàstics --- Teoremes de límit (Teoria de probabilitats) --- Teoria de cues --- Teoria de l'estimació --- Teoria de la predicció
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This book helps readers easily learn basic model checking by presenting examples, exercises and case studies. The toolset mCRL2 provides a language to specify the behaviour of distributed systems, in particular where there is concurrency with inter-process communication. This language allows us to analyse a distributed system with respect to its functional requirements. For example, biological cells, supply chain management systems, patient support platforms, and communication protocols. The underlying technique is based on verifying requirements through model checking. The book explains the syntax of mCRL2 and offers modelling tips and tricks.
Computer simulation. --- Mathematical logic. --- Biomathematics. --- Markov processes. --- Computer science—Mathematics. --- Computer Modelling. --- Mathematical Logic and Foundations. --- Mathematical and Computational Biology. --- Markov Process. --- Mathematical Applications in Computer Science. --- Analysis, Markov --- Chains, Markov --- Markoff processes --- Markov analysis --- Markov chains --- Markov models --- Models, Markov --- Processes, Markov --- Stochastic processes --- Biology --- Mathematics --- Algebra of logic --- Logic, Universal --- Mathematical logic --- Symbolic and mathematical logic --- Symbolic logic --- Algebra, Abstract --- Metamathematics --- Set theory --- Syllogism --- Computer modeling --- Computer models --- Modeling, Computer --- Models, Computer --- Simulation, Computer --- Electromechanical analogies --- Mathematical models --- Simulation methods --- Model-integrated computing --- Electronic data processing --- System analysis --- Distributed processing. --- Distributed computer systems in electronic data processing --- Distributed computing --- Distributed processing in electronic data processing --- Computer networks
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