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Quantifying Impact of Aging Population on Fiscal Space
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ISBN: 1475516274 1475505124 1475572034 1475568754 9781475516272 9781475505122 9781475568752 9781475505122 9781475568752 9781475572032 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper quantitatively investigates how population aging trend affects fiscal space measured as unused revenue generating capacity by utilizing a standard neoclassical growth model. A calibration exercise for G-7 countries shows that France, Germany and Italy suffer greater revenue impact from a given reduction in hours worked due to their larger government expenditure. Corrective measures such as pension reform and flexible expenditure policy would be required in order to mitigate the impact of aging on fiscal space.


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Kingdom of the Netherlands-Netherlands : 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Alternate Executive Director for the Kingdom of the Netherlands-Netherlands.
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ISSN: 19347685 ISBN: 9781475591811 1475591810 1475591497 9781475591491 1475591799 1475591845 9781475591491 1475591888 Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights broad-based economic recovery in the Netherlands, which has been gathering speed. Real growth is forecast to reach 2.1 percent in 2016 owing to strong consumption and investment, reflecting improving confidence and rising housing prices, while net exports are expected to slow as a result of weak external demand. Unemployment has been rapidly declining against the backdrop of an increasing labor supply. The economy is expected to keep its momentum in the coming years. Domestic consumption and investment are forecast to remain the main drivers of growth, prompting a gradual decline in the current account surplus. Inflation is expected to pick up along with the closing of the output gap.

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