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Book
Pathways out of Extreme Poverty : Tackling Psychosocial and Capital Constraints with a Multi-Faceted Social Protection Program in Niger

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This paper analyzes a four-arm randomized evaluation of a multi-faceted economic inclusion intervention delivered by the Government of Niger to female beneficiaries of a national cash transfer program. All three treatment arms include a core package of group savings promotion, coaching, and entrepreneurship training, in addition to the regular cash transfers from the national program. The first variant also includes a lump-sum cash grant and is similar to a traditional graduation intervention ("capital" package). The second variant substitutes the cash grant with psychosocial interventions ("psychosocial" package). The third variant includes the cash grant and the psychosocial interventions ("full" package). The control group only receives the regular cash transfers from the national program. All three treatments generate large impacts on consumption and food security six and 18 months post-intervention. They increase participation and profits in women-led off-farm business and livestock activities, as well as improve various dimensions of psychosocial well-being. The impacts tend to be larger in the full treatment, followed by the capital and psychosocial treatments. Consumption impacts up to 18 months after the intervention already exceed costs in the psychosocial package (the benefit-cost ratio for the psychosocial package is 126 percent; full package, 95 percent; and capital package, 58 percent). These results highlight the value of addressing psychosocial constraints as well as capital constraints in government-implemented poverty reduction programs.


Book
Social Interactions and Student Achievement in A Developing Country : An Instrumental Variables Approach
Authors: ---
Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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This paper identifies endogenous social effects in mathematics test performance for eighth graders in rural Bangladesh using information on arsenic contamination of water wells at home as an instrument. In other words, the identification relies on variation in test scores among peers owing to exogenous exposure to arsenic contaminated water wells at home. The results suggest that the peer effect is significant, and school selection plays little role in biasing peer effects estimates.


Book
Rising College Access and Completion : How Much can Free College Help?
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Free college proposals have become increasingly popular in many countries. To evaluate their potential effects, this paper develops and estimates a dynamic model of college enrollment, performance, and graduation. A central piece of the model, student effort has a direct effect on class completion and an indirect effect in mitigating the risk of not completing a class or not remaining in college. The model is estimated with rich, student-level administrative data from Colombia, and the estimates are used to simulate free college programs that differ in eligibility requirements. Among these, universal free college expands enrollment the most, but it does not affect graduation rates and has the highest per-graduate cost. Performance-based free college, in contrast, delivers a slightly lower enrollment expansion yet a greater graduation rate at a lower per-graduate cost. Relative to universal free college, performance-based free college places greater risk on students, but precisely for this reason leads them to better outcomes. Nonetheless, even performance-based free college fails to deliver a large increase in the graduation rate, suggesting that additional, complementary policies might be required to elicit the large increase in effort that is needed to raise graduation rates.


Book
Investing in Human Capital : What Can We Learn from the World Bank's Portfolio Data?
Authors: ---
Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper compiles project-level data from the World Bank's lending history to describe patterns and the composition of its portfolio. The paper focuses particularly on the effect of countries' transition from International Development Association to International Bank for Reconstruction and Development status, which marks the point when countries start borrowing at near market rates, on lending for human development sectors (education, health and social protection). Using country and year fixed effects, which account for unobservable country characteristics (for example, national priorities) and time effects (for example, market interest rates), the paper finds that human development lending decreases when countries graduate from the International Development Association. The average difference in the binary indicator of lending for any sector is 27 percent while it is 60 percent for human development sectors. The share of human development lending (lending by human development Global Practices over total lending) is also 6.9 percentage points (30 percent) lower. This decline in human development lending in International Bank for Reconstruction and Development countries is accompanied by a greater use of budget support. The results are robust to controlling for non-World Bank aid, as well as various alternative specifications and estimation samples.


Book
Intervention Size and Persistence
Authors: ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Do larger interventions improve longer run outcomes more cost effectively? And should poverty traps motivate increasing intervention size? This paper considers two approaches to increasing intervention size in the context of temporary unconditional cash transfers - larger transfers (intensity), and adding complementary graduation program interventions (scope). It does so leveraging 38 experimental estimates of dynamic consumption impacts from 14 developing countries. First, increasing intensity decreases cost effectiveness and does not affect persistence of impacts. This result can be explained by poverty traps or decreasing marginal return on investment in a standard buffer stock model. Second, increasing scope increases impacts and persistence, but reduces cost effectiveness at commonly evaluated time horizons and increases heterogeneity. In summary, larger interventions need not have more persistent impacts, and when they do, this may come at the expense of cost effectiveness, and poverty traps are neither necessary nor sufficient for these results.


Book
Human capital in history : the American record
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 022616392X 9780226163925 022616389X 9780226163895 Year: 2014 Publisher: Chicago : University of Chicago Press,

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America's expansion to one of the richest nations in the world was partly due to a steady increase in labor productivity, which in turn depends upon the invention and deployment of new technologies and on investments in both human and physical capital. The accumulation of human capital-the knowledge and skill of workers-has featured prominently in American economic leadership over the past two centuries. Human Capital in History brings together contributions from leading researchers in economic history, labor economics, the economics of education, and related fields. Building on Claudia Goldin's landmark research on the labor history of the United States, the authors consider the roles of education and technology in contributing to American economic growth and well-being, the experience of women in the workforce, and how trends in marriage and family affected broader economic outcomes. The volume provides important new insights on the forces that affect the accumulation of human capital.


Book
Industrial and business forecasting methods : a practical guide to exponential smoothing and curve fitting.
Author:
ISBN: 0408005599 9780408005593 Year: 1982 Publisher: London Butterworths

Smoothing techniques : with implementation in S
Author:
ISBN: 0387973672 3540973672 1461287685 1461244323 9783540973676 9780387973678 Year: 1991 Publisher: New York, NY : Springer-Verlag,


Book
The Myth of Achievement Tests : The GED and the Role of Character in American Life
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 022610012X 9780226100128 9781306383639 1306383633 9780226100098 022610009X 9780226324807 022632480X Year: 2014 Publisher: Chicago : University of Chicago Press,

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Achievement tests play an important role in modern societies. They are used to evaluate schools, to assign students to tracks within schools, and to identify weaknesses in student knowledge. The GED is an achievement test used to grant the status of high school graduate to anyone who passes it. GED recipients currently account for 12 percent of all high school credentials issued each year in the United States. But do achievement tests predict success in life? The Myth of Achievement Tests shows that achievement tests like the GED fail to measure important life skills. James J. Heckman, John Eric Humphries, Tim Kautz, and a group of scholars offer an in-depth exploration of how the GED came to be used throughout the United States and why our reliance on it is dangerous. Drawing on decades of research, the authors show that, while GED recipients score as well on achievement tests as high school graduates who do not enroll in college, high school graduates vastly outperform GED recipients in terms of their earnings, employment opportunities, educational attainment, and health. The authors show that the differences in success between GED recipients and high school graduates are driven by character skills. Achievement tests like the GED do not adequately capture character skills like conscientiousness, perseverance, sociability, and curiosity. These skills are important in predicting a variety of life outcomes. They can be measured, and they can be taught. Using the GED as a case study, the authors explore what achievement tests miss and show the dangers of an educational system based on them. They call for a return to an emphasis on character in our schools, our systems of accountability, and our national dialogue. Contributors Eric Grodsky, University of Wisconsin-Madison Andrew Halpern-Manners, Indiana University Bloomington Paul A. LaFontaine, Federal Communications Commission Janice H. Laurence, Temple University Lois M. Quinn, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Pedro L. Rodríguez, Institute of Advanced Studies in Administration John Robert Warren, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities

Keywords

GED tests. --- Academic achievement --- Educational tests and measurements --- Personality development. --- Character development --- Character formation --- Development, Character --- Development, Personality --- Formation, Character --- Child psychology --- Educational assessment --- Educational measurements --- Mental tests --- Tests and measurements in education --- Psychological tests for children --- Psychometrics --- Students --- Examinations --- Psychological tests --- Academic performance --- Academic progress --- Academic success --- Academic underachievement --- Achievement, Academic --- Achievement, Scholastic --- Achievement, Student --- Educational achievement --- Performance, Academic --- Progress, Academic --- Scholastic achievement --- Scholastic success --- School achievement --- School success (Academic achievement) --- Student achievement --- Success, Academic --- Success, School (Academic achievement) --- Success, Scholastic --- Underachievement, Academic --- Performance --- Success --- General educational development tests --- High school equivalency examinations --- Testing --- Standards --- Rating of --- GED tests --- Personality development --- E-books --- Didactic evaluation --- ged, high school diploma, education, standardized tests, academic achievement, testing, character, success, economics, earning potential, poverty, ses status, family support, college, work, employment, health, conscientiousness, perseverance, sociability, curiosity, accountability, graduation, military, cognition, drop out, nonfiction, sociology, pedagogy, first generation.


Book
Charter School Entry and School Choice : The Case of Washington, D.C..
Authors: ---
Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper develops and estimates an equilibrium model of charter school entry and school choice. In the model, households choose among public, private, and charter schools, and a regulator authorizes charter entry and mandates charter exit. The model is estimated for Washington, D.C. According to the estimates, charters generate net social gains by providing additional school options, and they benefit non-white, low-income, and middle-school students the most. Further, policies that raise the supply of prospective charter entrants in combination with high authorization standards enhance social welfare.

Keywords

Academic achievement --- Academic performance --- Academic programs --- Academic viability --- Academic year --- Achievement data --- Alternative schools --- Average class size --- Average number of children --- Black students --- Board of education --- Catholic schools --- Class size --- Classroom --- College --- Comprehensive assessment --- Cultural policy --- Culture & development --- Curricula --- Curriculum --- Early childhood --- Economics of education --- Educated parents --- Education --- Education for all --- Education reform --- Education statistics --- Education students --- Educational attainment --- Educational costs --- Effective schools --- Elementary school --- Elementary schools --- Enrollment by grade --- Enrollment data --- Ethnic composition --- Faculty --- Faculty development --- Fees --- Formula funding --- Geographic distribution --- Graduation rate --- Graduation rates --- High school --- High schools --- Knowledge --- Language curriculum --- Learning --- Literature --- Low enrollments --- Low-income students --- Middle school --- Middle school students --- Middle schools --- Ministry of education --- Net social gain --- Number of schools --- Number of students --- Open access --- Papers --- Parental income --- Partnerships in education --- Primary education --- Private school --- Private schools --- Public school --- Public school system --- Public schools --- Pupil funding --- Quality schools --- Racial segregation --- Reading --- Regular schools --- Research --- Research report --- Researchers --- School --- School attendance --- School buildings --- School climate --- School cost --- School costs --- School data --- School day --- School district --- School effectiveness --- School enrollment --- School enrolment --- School entry --- School experience --- School funding --- School leaders --- School level --- School levels --- School location --- School performance --- School principals --- School quality --- School reform --- School students --- School supply --- School survey --- School system --- School tuition --- School year --- School-age --- School-age children --- School-age population --- School-year --- Schooling --- Schools --- Science --- Secondary education --- Social science --- Social welfare --- Special education --- Student --- Student achievement --- Student body --- Student choice --- Student costs --- Student demand --- Student group --- Student groups --- Student population --- Students --- Teacher --- Teachers --- Teaching --- Teaching methods --- Tertiary education --- Tuition --- University --- Urban school --- Urban schools --- Values --- Vocational schools

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