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Commodity price shocks and the odds on fiscal performance : a structural VAR approach
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462391192 1452736030 128351740X 1451907265 9786613829856 Year: 2005 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept.,

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Abstract

Unanticipated changes in commodity prices can generate significant movements in fiscal aggregates. This paper seeks to understand the dynamics of these fiscal movements in the context of transitory commodity price shocks using sample data from four CIS countries- two oil-producing and two non-oil commodity-intensive countries. It adopts a structural VAR approach and identifies the dynamic effects of commodity price shocks on fiscal performance under two broad tax regimes. Stochastic simulations indicate high probabilities of fiscal overperformance in the short term when commodity prices are high. These probabilities deteriorate significantly, however, in the long term after the transitory positive commodity price shock has dissipated, particularly when lax fiscal policy is adopted during the period of the price boom.

Tax Reform in the Baltics, Russia, and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1557758026 145529022X 1452738882 9781557758026 Year: 1999 Volume: 182 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper provides an overview of the recent revenue performance in the Baltics, Russia, and other countries of the former Soviet Union, and a survey of these countries efforts to modify tax policy in line with the needs of increasingly market-oriented economies and to increase the effectiveness of tax administration. It focuses principally on the 12 countries of the CIS, but refers also to the Baltic countries, and addresses the period from 1995 to mid-1998, prior to the August 1998 financial crisis in Russia.

Keywords

Taxes --- Tax law --- Eastern and Central Europe --- Taxation --- -fiscaliteit --- belastingen --- Rusland --- 336.2 <474> --- 336.2 <47> --- politique fiscale --- mesures fiscales --- russie --- urss --- CIS / Commonwealth Of Independant States - Gos - Cei --- EE / Estonia - Estland - Estonie --- LT / Lithuania - Litouwen - Lituanie --- LV / Latvia - Letland - Lettonie --- 336.201 --- 330.05 --- 336.200947 --- Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax policy --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Finance, Public --- Revenue --- Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen--Baltische Republieken --- Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen--Rusland. Sovjet-Unie --- fiscaal beleid --- belastingmaatregelen --- rusland --- ussr --- Fiscaal regime: structuur en evolutie. Fiscale hervorming. --- Working papers --- 336.2 <47> Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief--Rusland. Sovjet-Unie --- 336.2 <47> Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen--Rusland. Sovjet-Unie --- Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief--Rusland. Sovjet-Unie --- 336.2 <474> Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief--Baltische Republieken --- 336.2 <474> Belastingsakkoorden. Belastingswezen--Baltische Republieken --- Belastingen. Belastingswezen. Openbare financien. Belastingspolitiek. Belastingstheorie. Belastingsharmonisatie. Fiskale politiek. Belastingsleer. Belastingsdruk. Belastingstechniek. Belastingsstelsel.Belastingstarief--Baltische Republieken --- fiscaliteit --- Fiscaal regime: structuur en evolutie. Fiscale hervorming --- Taxation - Former Soviet republics --- Macroeconomics --- Personal Finance -Taxation --- Public Finance --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Tax Law --- Auditing --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Taxation & duties law --- Management accounting & bookkeeping --- Civil service & public sector --- Tax administration core functions --- Tax collection --- Payroll tax --- Revenue administration --- Tax administration and procedure --- Law and legislation --- Fiscal policy --- Russian Federation

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