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Essential Demographic Methods brings to readers the full range of ideas and skills of demographic analysis that lie at the core of social sciences and public health. Classroom tested over many years, filled with fresh data and examples, this approachable text is tailored to the needs of beginners, advanced students, and researchers alike. An award-winning teacher and eminent demographer, Kenneth Wachter uses themes from the individual lifecourse, history, and global change to convey the meaning of concepts such as exponential growth, cohorts and periods, lifetables, population projection, proportional hazards, parity, marity, migration flows, and stable populations. The presentation is carefully paced and accessible to readers with knowledge of high-school algebra. Each chapter contains original problem sets and worked examples. From the most basic concepts and measures to developments in spatial demography and hazard modeling at the research frontier, Essential Demographic Methods brings out the wider appeal of demography in its connections across the sciences and humanities. It is a lively, compact guide for understanding quantitative population analysis in the social and biological world.
Demography --- Population --- Population forecasting --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Statistical methods. --- Mathematical models. --- Forecasting --- Statistical methods --- Mathematical models --- E-books
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Population --- Population forecasting --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting --- E-books --- Population - Statistics. --- Population forecasting - Statistics. --- Fertility, Human - Statistics.
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Population --- Population forecasting --- Fertility, Human --- Birth-rate --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Forecasting --- E-books
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Population --- Population forecasting --- Statistics - General --- Social Sciences --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Forecasting --- E-books
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Details the socioeconomic trends of the last half of the twentieth century and the first decade of the 21st. It includes comprehensive coverage of historical statistics, including single-year data on many topics such as school enrollment, SAT scores, hospital admissions, employment status of men and women, living arrangements of children, marital status, and geographic mobility.
Demographic surveys --- Population forecasting --- Economic forecasting --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Population surveys --- Census --- Social surveys --- Economics --- Forecasting --- Economic indicators --- United States --- Economic conditions --- E-books --- Population. --- Economic conditions.
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Current changes in the structure of population, whether they relate to ageing or the radical modification of social practices, are of the utmost importance. Without dynamic new measures in the sphere of public transport, the private car will continue to be used more and more and what already seem to be insurmountable problems will be aggravated. Round Table 88 seeks to determine the scale of these changes before analysing the various ways in which public transport can respond.
Transportation --- Population forecasting --- Congresses --- Forecasting --- Public transportation --- Transport --- Transportation, Primitive --- Transportation companies --- Transportation industry --- Locomotion --- Commerce --- Communication and traffic --- Storage and moving trade --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Economic aspects
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Conventional wisdom holds that aging populations are unfavorable for economic growth because of their potential impacts on labor supply, productivity, and savings. When this is coupled with the increased spending pressures because of pension requirements and health care, aging societies are likely to face serious fiscal problems. This report addresses these concerns in the unique context of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union where many countries are aging rapidly without the economic resources and institutional capacity of other aging societies in Western Europe and Japan.
Older people. --- Older people --- Population forecasting --- Social Welfare & Social Work --- Gerontology --- Social Sciences --- Economic conditions --- Economic conditions. --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Aged --- Aging people --- Elderly people --- Old people --- Older adults --- Older persons --- Senior citizens --- Seniors (Older people) --- Forecasting --- Social prediction --- Age groups --- Persons --- Gerontocracy --- Old age
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Urbanization --- Cities and towns --- Rural population --- Population forecasting --- Population --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Agricultural population --- Farm population --- Sociology, Rural --- Global cities --- Municipalities --- Towns --- Urban areas --- Urban systems --- Human settlements --- Sociology, Urban --- Cities and towns, Movement to --- Urban development --- Social history --- Urban policy --- Rural-urban migration --- Forecasting --- Growth&delete& --- Growth --- E-books --- Population forecasting. --- Forecasting.
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311.0 --- 311.80 --- Demografie. Algemene fenomenen: algemeenheden. --- Loop van de bevolking: algemeenheden. --- Fertility, Human --- Population forecasting --- Forecasting, Population --- Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Birth-rate --- Vital statistics --- Forecasting --- 050 --- 307.10 --- AA / International- internationaal --- Officiële publicaties (per land) --- Algemene statistieken van de demografie --- Demografie. Algemene fenomenen: algemeenheden --- Loop van de bevolking: algemeenheden --- Demography --- Business & Economics --- Human fertility --- Natality --- Human reproduction --- Infertility --- Statistics --- E-books --- Population forecasting - Statistics --- Fertility, Human - Statistics
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Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S. For statisticians the book provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. For demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, and professionals in related fields, the book presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. To facilitate its classroom use, exercises are included. Over half of the book is readily accessible to undergraduates, but more maturity may be required to benefit fully from the complete text. Knowledge of differential and integral calculus, matrix algebra, basic probability theory, and regression analysis is assumed. Juha M. Alho is Professor of Statistics, University of Joensuu, Finland, and Bruce D. Spencer is Professor of Statistics and Faculty Fellow at the Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. Both have contributed extensively to statistical demography and served in advisory roles and as statistical consultants in the field.
Demography --- Population --- Population forecasting --- Statistical methods. --- Mathematical models. --- Forecasting, Population --- Population projection --- Population projections --- Projection, Population --- Projections, Population --- Social prediction --- Forecasting --- Mathematical statistics --- Demography. --- Epidemiology. --- Population. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Population Economics. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Mathematics --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Human population --- Human populations --- Population growth --- Populations, Human --- Economics --- Human ecology --- Sociology --- Malthusianism --- Diseases --- Public health --- Historical demography --- Social sciences --- Vital statistics --- Statistical methods --- AA / International- internationaal --- 307.10 --- 303.8 --- Algemene statistieken van de demografie. --- Econometrische behandeling van een onderwerp. --- Statistics . --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Mathematical models --- Algemene statistieken van de demografie --- Econometrische behandeling van een onderwerp
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