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Beyond its terrible toll in human lives and suffering, the Ebola epidemic has inflicted a measurable economic impact on West Africa in terms of forgone output, higher fiscal deficits, rising prices, lower real household incomes, and greater poverty. This impact results partly from the health-care costs and forgone productivity associated with being infected, but it is driven principally by the efforts of the uninfected population to avoid exposure ('aversion behavior'). The Economic Impact of the 2014 Ebola Epidemic: Short- and Medium-Term Estimates for West Africa provides a mixed methods ana
Ebola virus disease --- Epidemics --- Public health --- Economic aspects --- Community health --- Health services --- Hygiene, Public --- Hygiene, Social --- Public health services --- Public hygiene --- Sanitary affairs --- Social hygiene --- Disease outbreaks --- Diseases --- Outbreaks of disease --- Pestilences --- Ebola fever --- Ebola hemorrhagic fever --- Outbreaks --- Health --- Human services --- Biosecurity --- Health literacy --- Medicine, Preventive --- National health services --- Sanitation --- Communicable diseases --- Hemorrhagic fever --- Virus diseases --- Pandemics
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KEY ISSUES Background. With the highest number of new and cumulative Ebola cases recorded to date, Liberia is the country most affected by the epidemic in West Africa. In addition to exacting a heavy human toll, the Ebola outbreak is having a severe economic and social impact, and could jeopardize the gains from a decade of peace. The largest sectors of the economy (agriculture, services and mining) have been weakened by the epidemic, resulting in significant financing gaps for the fiscal and external accounts. The closure of international borders and, in particular, the internal quarantines are disrupting labor and food supply, leading to shortages of basic commodities, depreciation pressures and higher inflation. Request. The authorities are requesting an ad-hoc augmentation of access under the ECF and an immediate additional disbursement of SDR 32.3 million, equivalent to 25 percent of quota, to help bridge the significant financing need that has emerged in the wake of the outbreak. The authorities are also requesting modification of end-December performance criteria to allow on-lending of the equivalent of the Fund support to the government. Appraisal. Staff supports the authorities’ request for an augmentation of access and immediate disbursement in light of the urgency and size of the balance of payments need. Staff also supports the requested modification of end-December 2014 performance criteria via a program adjustor to allow the on-lending of the additional Fund support to the government. Program status. The third ECF review was concluded on July 3, 2014. Available information indicates that the program remains on track and that continuous PCs are being met. Program financing. The proposed augmentation would complement assistance committed by other stakeholders including US$19 million in additional budget support from the African Development Bank and the World Bank, and would help catalyze support from other donors. The authorities have committed to take the necessary measures to address any residual financing gap.
Economic development --- Economic assistance --- Ebola virus disease --- Ebola fever --- Ebola hemorrhagic fever --- Hemorrhagic fever --- Virus diseases --- Economic aid --- Foreign aid program --- Foreign assistance --- Grants-in-aid, International --- International economic assistance --- International grants-in-aid --- Economic policy --- International economic relations --- Conditionality (International relations) --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Economic aspects --- Liberia --- Economic conditions. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Diseases: Respiratory --- Trade: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Health Behavior --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Monetary Policy --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Monetary economics --- Banking --- Imports --- Public debt --- Ebola --- External debt --- Credit --- International trade --- Health --- International reserves --- Central banks --- Debts, Public --- Debts, External --- Foreign exchange reserves
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This Selected Issues paper aims to measure the impact of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic on economic growth in Sierra Leone. A novel empirical approach is used, which is based on a Difference in Differences setup, called the Synthetic Control Method. The model suggests that EVD had a severe impact on growth. In 2014, the first year EVD hit the country, the impact on real growth excluding iron ore is estimated to be more than 5 percentage points. It is suggested that in outer years, the severity of the impact will lessen, and growth will converge to its normal path by 2018.
Ebola virus disease --- Economic development --- Fiscal policy --- Economic aspects --- Sierra Leone --- Economic policy. --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Ebola fever --- Ebola hemorrhagic fever --- Hemorrhagic fever --- Virus diseases --- Government policy --- S'erra Leone --- Serra Leôa --- Republic of Sierra Leone --- Republik Sierra Leone --- Sierra Leona --- República de Sierra Leona --- République de Sierra Leone --- Repubblica della Sierra Leone --- Сьерра-Леоне --- Республика Сьерра-Леоне --- Respublika Sʹerra-Leone --- Republika ng Sierra Leone --- Cộng hòa Sierra Leone --- Xi-ê-ra Lê-ôn --- 塞拉利昂 --- Sailali'ang --- Saila Li'ang --- シエラレオネ --- Shierareone --- シエラ・レオネ --- Shiera Reone --- Budgeting --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Diseases: Respiratory --- Trade: General --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Health Behavior --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Labour --- income economics --- Budgeting & financial management --- Export diversification --- Fiscal risks --- Exports --- Ebola --- Contingent liabilities --- International trade --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Health --- Human capital --- Budget --- Income economics
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