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Book
A Proximity-Based Approach to Labor Mobility in CGE Models with an Application to Sub-Saharan Africa
Authors: ---
Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

The ease with which workers can move between sectors has a strong impact on the effects on labor markets of shocks such as changes in world prices or migration flows. This paper introduces an approach to labor mobility with frictions under which worker capabilities (their efficiencies in different sectors) depend on their sector affiliation. If workers in sector a move to sector a', their efficiency shortfall due to a capability misfit compared to what is needed in a' (and possessed by workers already in a') is measured by a proximity parameter, 0 ? proxa,a' ? 1. If proxa, a' < 1, the efficient quantity reaching a' is below the physical quantity. In this setting, profit-maximizing producers are willing to pay the same wage per efficiency unit irrespective of worker origin and thus pay less efficient workers a lower wage per physical unit. This approach to labor mobility is tested in a static CGE model that is applied to an illustrative sub-Saharan African dataset with sector proximities defined using the approach of the product-space literature. Simulations of positive export price shocks show that, the higher the proximities, the stronger the labor reallocation and the welfare gains.


Book
Credibility and Exchange Rate Management in Developing Countries
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ISBN: 1462382258 1455215201 1281355763 9786613779380 1455268569 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper examines the role of credibility in the conduct of exchange rate policy in developing countries, The analysis is based on a model in which policymakers are concerned about inflation and external competitiveness. Price setters in the nontraded goods sector of the economy adjust prices in reaction to anticipated fluctuations in the domestic price of tradable goods. This type of model is showm to generate a “devaluation bias” which undermines the credibility of a fixed exchange rate. The effect of reputational factors, signaling considerations, and joining a currency union as possible solutions to this bias is examined.


Book
Exchange Rate Bands and Shifts in the Stabilization Policy Regime : Issues Suggested by the Experience of Colombia
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ISBN: 1462332897 1455207098 1281258474 1455217069 9786613778062 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

After 25 years, the Colombian authorities decided to abandon the crawling peg exchange rate policy and implement a regime of nominal exchange rate bands. Initial conditions in Colombia contrast sharply with those of other cases in which bands were part of an ongoing effort to reduce high inflation. This paper argues that the change in regime was motivated by a change in policy objectives. Starting from a policy whose rationale implied targeting stable inflation, a simple analytical model of optimal policy is presented; initial results with the new regime suggest that inflation is now considered costlier and that policy implementation has been consistent with this new view.


Book
Exchange Rate Regime Choice
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462332803 1455233366 1281602388 9786613783073 1455275638 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Traditionally the choice of exchange rate regime has been seen as a second-best policy choice, which can be directed toward mitigating the distortionary effects of price or information rigidities. In this paradigm the optimal degree of exchange rate flexibility is found to depend of the source and nature of shocks hitting an economy. More recent literature views the exchange rate as a widely and frequently seen manifestation of government policy with careful exchange-rate management emerging as a tool that can enhance shaky policy credibility.


Book
Behavioral Insights in Infrastructure Sectors : A Survey
Authors: --- --- --- ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

In the past two decades, insights from behavioral sciences, particularly behavioral economics, have been widely applied in the design of social programs such as pensions, social security, and taxation. This paper provides a survey of the existing literature in economics on the application of behavioral insights to infrastructure sectors, focusing on water and energy. Various applications of behavioral insights in the literature are examined from the perspectives of the three main actors in the infrastructure sectors: policy makers, service providers, and consumers. Evidence is presented from the literature on how behavioral regularities, such as imperfect optimization, limited self-control, and nonstandard preferences, affect the strategies, decisions, and actions of policy makers, service providers, and consumers, often leading to suboptimal outcomes for service investment, delivery, access, and use. The paper also highlights how behavioral interventions such as anchoring, framing, nonpecuniary incentives, and altering the choice architecture can lead to improvements in performance, adoption, consumption, and other outcomes of interest in the infrastructure sectors.


Book
A Monetary Policy Rule for Jamaica
Author:
ISBN: 1462301401 1452776407 1282107097 1451905963 9786613800442 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Since 1996, the Bank of Jamaica (BoJ) has sought to limit changes in the exchange rate for the Jamaican dollar in the context of its efforts to maintain low inflation. However, with a persistently high public sector deficit, real interest rates have remained generally high, which partly explains the slow pace of growth. This paper discusses an alternative monetary policy mix for achieving low variance for inflation and output through the prism of an empirical macroeconomic model. The simulation results suggest that a monetary policy mix that takes into account the impact of policy on both inflation and output achieves lower variance for inflation and output compared with the current policy mix, which tilts somewhat toward exchange rate stabilization. A case, therefore, can be made for the BoJ to move to a soft inflation targeting regime supported by fiscal consolidation.


Book
Collapse of a Crawling Peg Regime in the Presence of a Government Budget Constraint
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ISBN: 1462347010 1455297909 1281992259 9786613794796 1455270547 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This study extends the research on balance-of-payments crises by investigating the dynamics of the collapse of a crawling exchange rate in the presence of an explicit link between the fiscal deficit and domestic credit. It shows that such an exchange rate regime is characterized by two potential steady-state equilibria. This introduces an ex-ante indeterminacy regarding the timing and magnitude of the speculative attack on international reserves in the event of a sustained inconsistency between the country’s fiscal and exchange rate policies. The paper discusses the conditions that would define the actual timing of the regime’s breakdown.


Book
Exchange Rate Policy and Liability Dollarization : An Empirical Study
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462375014 1452788472 1283516152 1451910509 9786613828606 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper identifies the contemporaneous relationship between exchange rate policy and liability dollarization using three different definitions of dollarization. The presence of endogeneity makes the empirical identification elusive. We use identification through heteroskedasticity to solve the endogeneity problem in the present context (Rigobon, 2003). While we find that countries with high liability dollarization (external, public, or financial) tend to be more actively involved in exchange rate stabilization operations, we do not find evidence that floating, by itself, promotes de-dollarization.


Book
Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146238028X 1452768439 1281602035 1451894880 9786613782724 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg (currency board), default is a more likely outcome, even without an exceptionally large short-term debt, precisely because a devaluation is not an option. In a more conventional fixed peg, it can be optimal for the government to choose a level of the exchange rate that would be likely to result in partial or complete debt default. Depending on the exchange rate regime, multiple equilibria exist, in one of which the interest rate is high, the exchange rate is overvalued, output is low, and default is high. Under a hard peg, there is a unique equilibrium.


Book
The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Bilateral Exchange Rate : Chile Versus the United States
Author:
ISBN: 1462323766 1452758336 1281602663 1451895771 9786613783356 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines the reaction of the bilateral Ch$/US$ exchange rate to monetary policy actions in Chile and the United States. The approach is to regress the change in the exchange rate following a policy announcement on changes in market interest rates in response to the same announcement. U.S. monetary policy actions that raise the three-month treasury bill rate by 1 percentage point lead to depreciations of the Chilean peso by about 1.5 to 2 percent. The exchange rate also reacts to monetary policy actions in Chile, but the response appears to be smaller, and cannot be estimated with much precision on the available sample.

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