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Book
The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail--but some don't.
Author:
ISBN: 9781594204111 159420411X 9781846147739 1846147735 9781846147524 1846147522 Year: 2012 Publisher: New York Penguin Press


Book
An Index Number Formula Problem : The Aggregation of Broadly Comparable items
Author:
ISBN: 1451916027 1462376975 145187166X 9786612842412 1282842412 1452717796 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Index number theory informs us that if data on matched prices and quantities are available, a superlative index number formula is best to aggregate heterogeneous items, and a unit value index to aggregate homogeneous ones. The formulas can give very different results. Neglected is the practical case of broadly comparable items. This paper provides a formal analysis as to why such formulas differ and proposes a solution to this index number problem.


Book
Do Unit Value Export, Import, and Terms of Trade Indices Represent or Misrepresent Price Indices?
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ISBN: 1462320511 1452739021 1282447874 1451911386 9786613821072 Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Unit value export and import indices compiled from returns to customs authorities are often used as surrogates for price indices in the measurement of inflation transmission, terms of trade (effects), and to deflate import and export value series to derive volume series. Their widespread use is mainly due to their relatively low cost compared with establishment price surveys. This paper provides evidence of substantial bias in their representation of such price changes. Their continued use would mislead economic analysis. The paper considers the efficacy of alternative strategies for their improvement, and argues for a move to establishment-based price surveys.


Book
Why House Price Indexes Differ : Measurement and Analysis
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ISBN: 1475512961 1475578563 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A key element in the build-up to the global recession and subsequently was the movement in house price indexes (HPIs). These indexes are particularly prone to methodological and coverage differences which can undermine both within-country and cross-country economic analysis. The paper outlines key measurement issues and reports on empirical work using an international panel data set that (i) considers whether differences in HPI measurement matter and, if so, in what way, and (ii) revisits the measurement of global house price inflation and the modeling of the determinants of house price inflation using HPIs corrected for differences in measurement practice.


Book
IMF Applications of Purchasing Power Parity Estimates
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ISBN: 1462376916 1455262773 1283565102 9786613877550 1455210455 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The IMF’s main uses of the International Comparison Program’s (ICP) estimates of purchasing power parity (PPP)-adjusted Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are as an element of the formula used to help guide decisions on its members’ quotas and in the World Economic Outlook (WEO). The paper outlines these uses and considers measurement issues particularly salient to IMF usage including: PPP imputations for member countries not participating in the ICP; PPP estimates for non-benchmark years; timeliness and periodicity of PPP estimates; economy groupings; and transparency. The paper was written as a chapter on ?IMF uses of PPPs? for the 2011 ICP Handbook.


Book
How to Better Measure Hedonic Residential Property Price Indexes
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ISBN: 1475555334 1475555296 Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Hedonic regressions are used for property price index measurement to control for changes in the quality-mix of properties transacted. The paper consolidates the hedonic time dummy approach, characteristics approach, and imputation approaches. A practical hedonic methodology is proposed that (i) is weighted at a basic level; (ii) has a new (quasi-) superlative form and thus mitigates substitution bias; (iii) is suitable for sparse data in thin markets; and (iv) only requires the periodic estimation of hedonic regressions for reference periods and is not subject to the vagrancies of misspecification and estimation issues.


Book
Maverick startup : 11 X-factors to bootstrap from zero to six figures and beyond
Author:
ISBN: 1613081723 Year: 2012 Publisher: [Irvine, Calif.] : Entrepreneur Press,

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The Intangibles. The X-Factors.1. The Big Idea2. Your Vision3. High Margins and Premium Prices4. Get It Out The Door5. Test and Improve6. Listen and Shift7. Create Zealots8. What's Next?9. Tap Your Mastermind10. Create the Fun11. Create the ImpactShattering the myth that you need money to make money, serial entrepreneur and millionaire Yanik Silver reveals the 11 X-Factors to turn your big idea into even bigger profits?without taking on debt, partnering with outside investors, or even writing a business plan.We're not talking your t


Book
Modern silver coinage 1973
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Year: 1974 Publisher: Washington The Silver Institute

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Forces of labor : workers' movements and globalization since 1870
Author:
ISBN: 052181751X 0521520770 1316038203 0511615701 9780521817516 9780521520775 Year: 2003 Publisher: Cambridge : Cambridge University Press,

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Recasting labor studies in a long-term and global framework, this 2003 book draws on a major database on world labor unrest to show how local labor movements have been related to world-scale political, economic and social processes since the late-nineteenth century. Through an in-depth empirical analysis of select global industries it demonstrates how the main locations of labor unrest have shifted from country to country together with shifts in the geographical location of production. It shows how the main sites of labor unrest have shifted over time together with the rise/decline of new leading sectors of capitalist development, and demonstrates that labor movements have been deeply embedded (as both cause and effect) in world political dynamics. The book concludes by exploring the likely forms that emergent labor movements will take in the twenty-first century.


Book
Why Elementary Price Index Number Formulas Differ : Price Dispersion and Product Heterogeneity
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451864345 1462305407 145198703X 9786613821881 1451985320 128253131X Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The Consumer Price Index Manual (2004) provides guidelines for aggregation formulas that are promulgated at IMF training courses and technical assistance missions. This paper develops elementary level aggregation theory to better inform users and compilers. Most countries use either the Dutot or Jevons index formula. These formulas generally give different results; advice on choice of formula matters. Using an approach based on sample estimators, and an illustration based on scanner data, the paper shows how differences in these formulas can be explained by changes in price dispersion and, in turn, by product heterogeneity. Implications for choice of formula are considered.

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