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Book
Time Predictions : Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9783319160061 3319160052 9783319160054 3319160060 3319749536 Year: 2018 Publisher: Springer Nature

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Abstract

This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life.

Keywords

Earth Sciences. --- Earth System Sciences. --- Atmospheric Sciences. --- Geography. --- Géographie --- Geography --- Earth & Environmental Sciences --- Physical Geography --- Climatic changes --- Changes, Climatic --- Climate change --- Climate changes --- Climate variations --- Climatic change --- Climatic fluctuations --- Climatic variations --- Global climate changes --- Global climatic changes --- Environmental aspects --- Earth sciences. --- Physical geography. --- Atmospheric sciences. --- Climatology --- Climate change mitigation --- Teleconnections (Climatology) --- Changes in climate --- Climate change science --- Sciences --- Baltic sea --- Atmospheric sciences --- Earth sciences --- Atmosphere --- Natural science --- Science of science --- Baltiĭskoe more --- Baltiskoye more --- Baltiyskoye more --- East Sea (Europe) --- Mare Suevicum --- Ostsee (Europe) --- Natural sciences --- Behavioral/Experimental Economics --- Human Resource Management --- Project Management --- Software Management --- Behavioral Economics --- Management --- IT in Business --- time predictions --- human judgement --- overoptimism --- uncertainty --- open acces --- Behavioural economics --- Personnel & human resources management --- Business mathematics & systems --- Business applications --- Behavioral economics. --- Personnel management. --- Project management. --- Management information systems. --- Behavioral/Experimental Economics. --- Human Resource Management. --- Project Management. --- Software Management.

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