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Book
Inflation targeting, debt, and the Brazilian experience, 1999 to 2003
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 0262273780 1423728688 9780262273787 9781423728689 Year: 2005 Publisher: Cambridge, MA : MIT Press,

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How Brazil's monetary and fiscal policies survived a series of severe economic shocks and the policy lessons for other countries.Inflation targeting--when central bank policies set specific inflation rate objectives--is widely used by both developed and developing countries around the world (although not by the United States or the European Central Bank). This collection of original essays looks at how Brazil's policy of inflation targeting, coupled with a floating exchange rate, survived a series of severe economic shocks and examines the policy lessons that can be drawn from Brazil's experience.After a successful start in early 1999, Brazil's policy regime had to manage mounting difficulties, including a sudden reversal of capital flows and its effects on the exchange rate and public debt, the contagion of Argentina's severe economic problems, a domestic energy crisis, and the political uncertainty of the 2002 presidential campaign. The contributors, prominent Brazilian and international economists, draw important lessons from Brazil's experience, including the necessity of accompanying monetary policy with fiscal improvement, the trade-offs involved in dollar-linked debt, the importance of fiscal institutions in an emerging market economy, and the importance of keeping inflation under control.


Book
Geldpolitik und Beschäftigung : Die geldpolitische Strategie der Federal Reserve:- Vorbild oder Auslaufmodell?
Authors: ---
Year: 2018 Publisher: Frankfurt a.M. PH02

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Anfang 2006 tritt Alan Greenspan als Vorsitzender der Federal Reserve (Fed) ab. Damit endet gleichzeitig eine einschneidende Epoche der amerikanischen Geldpolitik. Das Urteil zur Greenspan-Ära fällt bisher ambivalent aus. Auf der einen Seite wird der pragmatischen und flexiblen Geldpolitik der letzten 18 Jahre ein erheblicher Anteil am Wachstums- und Beschäftigungserfolg der USA zugebilligt. Andererseits wird die einseitige Ausrichtung auf den Vorsitzenden und das Fehlen einer klaren und verständlichen Konzeption bemängelt. Diese Arbeit versucht zu klären, ob die geldpolitische Strategie der Federal Reserve in der heutigen Form ein Erfolgs- oder Auslaufmodell darstellt. Dazu wird die Fed-Strategie seit 1987 umfassend analysiert und bewertet. Die Analyse soll insbesondere Antworten darauf geben, welche Rolle Beschäftigungsziele in der Geldpolitik spielen sollten, und ob die Fed-Strategie für die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) Vorbildcharakter besitzt.


Book
The Journey to Inflation Targeting : Easier Said than Done The Case for Transitional Arrangements along the Road
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1513540734 151354084X Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Countries with evolving monetary regimes that decide to embark on “the Journey to inflation targeting” may not be able to adopt a full-fledged inflation targeting regime immediately. Those countries would be better off adopting transitional arrangements that take advantage of the informational content of monetary aggregates, developing an economic analysis capacity, and concentrating on monetay operations aimed at steering money market interest rates. This approach would allow the central bank to buy time for developing the building blocks for effective monetary policy, support transparent central bank communication, and limit the potential for undesirable outcomes along the road.


Book
Twenty years of inflation targeting : lessons learned and future prospects
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9780521768184 9786612770722 9780511901430 0521768187 9780511779770 9781107696891 1107713447 1107209218 1282770721 0511901437 0511902220 0511799071 0511797672 0511779771 0511900643 9780511902222 1107696895 Year: 2010 Publisher: New York : Cambridge University Press,

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There is now a remarkably strong consensus among academics and professional economists that central banks should adopt explicit inflation targets and that all key monetary policy decisions, especially those concerning interest rates, should be made with a view to ensuring that these targets are achieved. This book provides a comprehensive review of the experience of inflation targeting since its introduction in New Zealand in 1989 and looks in detail at what we can learn from the past twenty years and what challenges we may face in the future. Written by a distinguished team of academics and professional economists from central banks around the world, the book covers a wide range of issues including many that have arisen as a result of the recent financial crisis. It should be read by anyone concerned with better understanding inflation targeting and its past, present and future role within monetary policy.


Book
Interest-rate rules in a new Keynesian framework with investment
Author:
ISSN: 14331519 ISBN: 3631611285 3653014441 1299423019 9783653014440 Year: 2011 Volume: Bd. 44 Publisher: Frankfurt am Main ; New York : Lang,

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The last decades have witnessed major progress in both monetary policy theory and practice, with broad academic consensus on the desirability of monetary policy rules and ongoing research on their exact specification. Typically, the analysis is carried out in a New Keynesian framework with nominal rigidities and constant capital stock. The latter represents a constraint that this study seeks to overcome by introducing a model with investment and capital adjustment costs. The work assesses different interest-rate rule specifications with respect to the target variables included, based on two criteria: determinacy of rational-expectations equilibrium and convergence to steady state after a shock. The study concludes that rules with both an inflation and an output gap target ensure a unique rational-expectations equilibrium and a less distressful adjustment of the economy after the occurrence of shocks.


Book
Disinflation, External Vulnerability, and Fiscal Intransigence : Some Unpleasant Mundellian Arithmetic
Author:
ISBN: 148430120X 9781484301203 1484300645 9781484300640 1484301145 Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the policy challenges a country faces when it wants to both reduce inflation and maintain a sustainable external position. Mundell’s (1962) policy assignment framework suggests that these two goals may be mutually incompatible unless monetary and fiscal policies are properly coordinated. Unfortunately, if the fiscal authority is unwilling to cooperate—a case of fiscal intransigence—central banks that pursue a disinflation on a ‘go it alone’ basis will cause the country’s external position to further deteriorate. A dynamic analysis shows that if the central bank itself lacks credibility in its inflation goal, it must rely even more on cooperation from the fiscal authority than otherwise. Echoing Sargent and Wallace’s (1981) ‘unpleasant monetarist arithmetic,’ in these circumstances, a ‘go it alone’ policy may successfully stabilize prices and output, but only on a short-term basis.


Book
Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1484367804 1484366328 9781484366325 9781484367803 1484367766 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to significant revisions. This paper extends the structural multivariate filter methodology by adding a monetary policy block, which allows estimating the neutral rate of interest for the U.S. economy. The addition of the monetary policy block further improves the reliability of the structural multivariate filter.


Book
Frontiers of Economic Policy Communications
Author:
ISBN: 1513521292 1513521284 9781513521282 9781513521299 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper provides an overall view of communications across various areas of economic policy, aiming to help country authorities as they increasingly use communications as a policy tool in its own right. The paper identifies frontier communications challenges, drawing on a large body of research on the salient issues. Although communications can never be a substitute for good policies, economic reforms are more likely to fail or even be reversed if they are not understood or accepted by those whom they affect.


Book
Achieving the Bank of Japan’s Inflation Target
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1513519557 1513518356 1513519549 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The Bank of Japan has introduced various unconventional monetary policy tools since the launch of Abenomics in 2013, to achieve the price stability target of 2 percent inflation. In this paper, a forward-looking open-economy general equilibrium model with endogenously determined policy credibility and an effective lower bound is developed for forecasting and policy analysis (FPAS) for Japan. In the model’s baseline scenario, the likelihood of the Bank of Japan reaching its 2 percent inflation target over the medium term is below 40 percent, assuming the absence of other policy reactions aside from monetary policy. The likelihood of achieving the inflation target is even lower under alternative risk scenarios. A positive shock to central bank credibility increases this likelihood, and would require less accommodative macroeconomic policies.


Book
Finance & Development, March 2010.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9781451998009 1451998007 1455250899 1452718431 1282844784 9786612844782 1451922256 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Prize or Penalty: When Sports Help Economies Score" looks at why countries vie to host the world's most costly sporting events. And, in a series of articles on "After the Crisis," we discuss why some countries were hit harder than others; how were shocks transmitted round the world, and whether protectionist pressures might intensify in 2010. As usual, we take on a number of hot topics, including housing prices, bankers' bonuses, Ponzi schemes, and inflation targeting. In "Picture This" we see that the number of hungry is on the rise, topping 1 billion. Our regular "People in Economics" column profiles Daron Acemoglu, the Turkish-born intellectual who won the American Economic Association's award in 2005 for the most influential U.S. economist under the age of 40. "Back to Basics" explains inflation; and "Data Spotlight" looks at how dollarization is declining in Latin America. Also includes articles by Nick Stern on climate change and Simon Johnson on bonuses and the "doomsday cycle.

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