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Strategic planning - Israel. --- Aging --- Strategic planning --- Government policy --- Israel --- Social policy. --- Economic policy. --- Goal setting (Strategic planning) --- Planning, Strategic --- Strategic intent (Strategic planning) --- Strategic management --- Age --- Ageing --- Senescence --- Physiological effect --- Planning --- Business planning --- Developmental biology --- Gerontology --- Longevity --- Age factors in disease

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The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., ""Man will never fly""-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of dec

Decision making. --- Information technology. --- System analysis. --- System analysis --- Decision making --- Information technology --- Social Sciences --- Civil & Environmental Engineering --- Engineering & Applied Sciences --- Social Sciences - General --- Operations Research --- #SBIB:033.AANKOOP --- #SBIB:303H15 --- #SBIB:303H13 --- Network theory --- Systems analysis --- System theory --- Mathematical optimization --- IT (Information technology) --- Technology --- Telematics --- Information superhighway --- Knowledge management --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Methoden en technieken van de bestuurswetenschappen --- Methoden en technieken: politieke wetenschappen --- Analyse de systèmes --- Prise de décision --- Technologie de l'information --- Network analysis --- Network science

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This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

Operations research. --- Differentiable dynamical systems. --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Dynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Differential dynamical systems --- Dynamical systems, Differentiable --- Dynamics, Differentiable --- Differential equations --- Global analysis (Mathematics) --- Topological dynamics --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Decision making. --- Dynamics. --- Ergodic theory. --- Probabilities. --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Ergodic transformations --- Continuous groups --- Mathematical physics --- Measure theory --- Transformations (Mathematics) --- Dynamical systems --- Kinetics --- Mechanics, Analytic --- Force and energy --- Mechanics --- Physics --- Statics --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Decision making --- Business --- Operations research --- Dynamics --- Ergodic theory