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This book takes a new look at the golden age in neoclassical growth theory and explores in detail sustainability and optimum growth in China, the US and Europe. Innovation, foreign direct investment, trade and growth dynamics are key elements in modern economies – including perspectives on green growth and aspects of the knowledge production function in the context of multinational companies. As such the book considers the role of foreign direct investment in a modified growth model and discusses innovation in an enhanced Mundell-Fleming macro model. Moreover, for the first time it directly links a knowledge production function to the macro production function in a broader context, including real money balances in the production function. It shows – also with empirical relevance – that FDI inward stocks relative to the GDP of host countries, the number of researchers and per capita income are relevant drivers of new knowledge and the stock of knowledge, respectively. This new Schumpeterian theoretical approach lends itself to important policy conclusions for both OECD members and newly industrialized countries.
Evolutionary economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- International economics. --- Economic policy. --- Economic growth. --- Asia --- Economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Economic Growth. --- Institutional/Evolutionary Economics. --- R & D/Technology Policy. --- International Economics. --- Asian Economics. --- Economic conditions. --- International economic relations. --- Economic policy, Foreign --- Economic relations, Foreign --- Economics, International --- Foreign economic policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Interdependence of nations --- International economic policy --- International economics --- New international economic order --- Economics --- Economic policy --- International relations --- Economic sanctions --- Asia-Economic conditions. --- Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- National planning --- State planning --- Planning --- National security --- Social policy --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Asia—Economic conditions.
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"Paul J.J. Welfens has written a highly perceptive study of the origins – and the implications – of what must be Britain's worst deliberate economic policy mistake since the Great Depression." —Harold James, Princeton University, USA "This book by Paul J.J. Welfens, dealing with the result of the Brexit referendum, presents a harsh, rational and critical analysis of how the result came to pass. Welfens covers the crucial and fundamental points and surprising facts: this book is highly recommended reading for anyone looking for a frank and candid approach to the subject matter." —Friedrich Schneider, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria This book analyzes how the EU referendum in the United Kingdom came to pass and what the foreseeable consequences are for the UK, Europe, US and world economy. The Brexit decision represents a momentous event for Europe, which weakens the EU and shifts the global balance of power. Welfens argues the EU has lost its appeal and is not in keeping with the twenty-first century, which is being shaped by Asia and digital innovations. The subject of immigration from EU countries played a key role in the Brexit decision, with an anti-EU campaign that was profoundly biased. The estimated impact of the referendum was deeply distorted by the broadly inadequate information produced by the Cameron government, which omitted the expected 10 percent loss in income caused by leaving the EU. With this this information, there could have been a clear pro-EU majority. In the absence of a second referendum, one cannot know what the British electorate really wants. Both the Brexit decision and new President of the United States Donald Trump's approach to European disintegration dynamics also raise serious questions about the future of transatlantic relations.
European Union --- Membership --- Great Britain --- Foreign relations --- Popular works. --- Evolutionary economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- European Economic Community literature. --- Public finance. --- Popular Science. --- Popular Science in Economics. --- International Political Economy. --- European Integration. --- Public Economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Institutional/Evolutionary Economics. --- European Union countries --- Politics and government --- E.U. --- EU countries --- Euroland --- Europe --- Political economy. --- European Economic Community lite. --- Economics --- Cameralistics --- Public finance --- Currency question --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- Public finances --- Economics. --- Great Britain - Foreign relations - European Union countries --- Finance, Public.
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"This book is able to explain and analyze what has eluded both scholars and thought leaders in business and the media - how and why populism has grabbed center stage. Highly recommendable." -David B. Audretsch, Indiana University Bloomington, USA "Welfens provides valuable insight into US politics and describes the strategic options for Europe going forward." -Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley, USA "With great skill Welfens traces the implications of US populism for the global economic system." - Jeffrey D. Sachs, Columbia University, USA "This critique of Trump´s fiscal and international trade policies and their weak intellectual basis deserves the attention of US and European readers alike" -Richard H. Tilly, University of Münster, Germany What lies behind the Trump victory of 2016 and the US' new raft of economic policies? Is a populist presidency in the United States likely to be a temporary phenomenon or a structural long-term challenge? In an era of declining multilateralism, what can the US still stand to learn from Europe, where several countries have effective lifetime economic welfare equal to that of the US - and what can the EU learn from the US in return? Furthermore, what international economic dynamics can be expected from the Sino-US trade conflict and can globalization be maintained? In this timely volume, Paul Welfens provides a rare, clear-sighted and scholarly analysis of the global problems created by Trump's protectionism and economic policy. He leverages his understanding of these problems to make concrete policy suggestions that could help prevent the world economy from falling back into a variant of the Great Powers regime of the late nineteenth century.
Populism --- Economics. --- Political economy. --- Public finance. --- International economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- Political Economy/Economic Systems. --- International Political Economy. --- Public Economics. --- International Economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Economics --- Economic policy, Foreign --- Economic relations, Foreign --- Economics, International --- Foreign economic policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Interdependence of nations --- International economic policy --- International economics --- New international economic order --- Economic policy --- International relations --- Economic sanctions --- Cameralistics --- Public finance --- Currency question --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man --- Public finances --- Economic policy. --- Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- National planning --- State planning --- Planning --- National security --- Social policy --- International economic relations. --- Populism. --- Trump, Donald, --- United States
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This book presents a cutting-edge analysis of the economic effects and challenges of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with a special focus on EU sanctions on Russian energy exports and Ukraine’s political relationship with the European Union in a global context. Key macroeconomic perspectives on the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine are outlined, highlighting in particular how sanctions imposed by the international community will have a wider economic impact than what has been envisaged thus far. The book discusses the effects of Russian gas supply boycotts against Western countries as well as the global effects of an EU energy import boycott on Russia, especially for the Asian continent. An innovative proposal to cut electricity prices is presented. It also explores the challenges to relations between the EU, China and Russia caused by the invasion, the effects of the unfolding refugee crisis (within a post-Brexit EU), military and humanitarian aid pledges to Ukraine, and the risks of reduced multilateralism within the world economy as a direct result of the war. The book also analyzes the risks and benefits of a potential enlargement of the EU to integrate Ukraine as a member state. The topics covered by the book are all set within a long-run view of diplomatic and economic relations between the West, Russia and Ukraine. The factors analyzed here provide a new, broader picture of the international effects of the conflict, as well as its potential implications for policy design as we enter a new global order marked by the Russo-Ukrainian war. The book will be of interest to researchers and policymakers working in International Economics, New Political Economy, European politics and integration, and macroeconomics more broadly. Paul J. J. Welfens is a long-time researcher of Russian economic development and European integration as well as an expert on EU-US and EU-China economic relations. He is President of the European Institute for International Economic Relations (EIIW) at the University of Wuppertal, where he also holds the Jean Monnet Chair in European Economic Integration and the Chair of Macroeconomic Theory and Policy. He is also a Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow at AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC.
Embargo. --- International economic relations. --- Economic policy, Foreign --- Economic relations, Foreign --- Economics, International --- Foreign economic policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Interdependence of nations --- International economic policy --- International economics --- New international economic order --- Economic policy --- International relations --- Economic sanctions --- Embargo --- Trade embargo --- Sanctions (International law) --- Blockade --- Law and legislation --- Economics. --- Power resources. --- Europe—Economic conditions. --- Asia—Economic conditions. --- Political Economy and Economic Systems. --- International Economics. --- Natural Resource and Energy Economics. --- European Economics. --- Asian Economics. --- Energy --- Energy resources --- Power supply --- Natural resources --- Energy harvesting --- Energy industries --- Economic theory --- Political economy --- Social sciences --- Economic man
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This book presents a cutting-edge analysis of the economic effects and challenges of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with a special focus on EU sanctions on Russian energy exports and Ukraine’s political relationship with the European Union in a global context. Key macroeconomic perspectives on the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine are outlined, highlighting in particular how sanctions imposed by the international community will have a wider economic impact than what has been envisaged thus far. The book discusses the effects of Russian gas supply boycotts against Western countries as well as the global effects of an EU energy import boycott on Russia, especially for the Asian continent. An innovative proposal to cut electricity prices is presented. It also explores the challenges to relations between the EU, China and Russia caused by the invasion, the effects of the unfolding refugee crisis (within a post-Brexit EU), military and humanitarian aid pledges to Ukraine, and the risks of reduced multilateralism within the world economy as a direct result of the war. The book also analyzes the risks and benefits of a potential enlargement of the EU to integrate Ukraine as a member state. The topics covered by the book are all set within a long-run view of diplomatic and economic relations between the West, Russia and Ukraine. The factors analyzed here provide a new, broader picture of the international effects of the conflict, as well as its potential implications for policy design as we enter a new global order marked by the Russo-Ukrainian war. The book will be of interest to researchers and policymakers working in International Economics, New Political Economy, European politics and integration, and macroeconomics more broadly. Paul J. J. Welfens is a long-time researcher of Russian economic development and European integration as well as an expert on EU-US and EU-China economic relations. He is President of the European Institute for International Economic Relations (EIIW) at the University of Wuppertal, where he also holds the Jean Monnet Chair in European Economic Integration and the Chair of Macroeconomic Theory and Policy. He is also a Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow at AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC.
Politics --- Economic policy and planning (general) --- Foreign trade. International trade --- Economics --- Relation between energy and economics --- internationale economische organisaties --- internationale economische politiek --- economie --- politiek --- wereldeconomie --- internationale economie --- natuurlijke energiebronnen --- Europe --- Asia --- Economics. --- International economic relations. --- Power resources. --- Political Economy and Economic Systems. --- International Economics. --- Natural Resource and Energy Economics. --- European Economics. --- Asian Economics. --- Economic conditions.
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"From Thunberg to Trump: there are many voices in climate policy. This is a highly recommendable and rational contribution with a focus on economic aspects of an effective and internationally oriented climate policy. Many new insights!" - Prof. Dr. Raimund Bleischwitz, Chair in Sustainable Global Resources, University College London, till December 2021. Scientific Director, Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research (ZMT), Bremen, since January 2022. This book considers climate change from an economic and international policy perspective. It argues that an emissions trading systems (ETS) should first be adopted in all G20 countries with those national ETS then integrated into a global ETS. The topic of global warming is at the forefront of international discussions, especially given recent environmental policy changes in the US under Presidents Trump and Biden and the emergence of the Fridays For Future movement. Combatting climate change does not necessitate a trade-off between economic growth and climate policy provided that the latter is consistently linked to new economic policy. Policymakers should support innovation, effective redistribution policies and modern mobility concepts. Moreover, there are crucial links between financial market dynamics and price dynamics in ETS. If measures discussed here are coordinated effectively in the EU/G20, and at the global level, then climate neutrality could be achieved. Paul JJ Welfens is President of the European Institute for International Economic Relations (EIIW) at the University of Wuppertal, Germany, where he holds the Chair for Macroeconomics and Jean Monnet Professorship for European Economic Integration. He is a Research Fellow at IZA, Bonn, and Non-Resident Senior Fellow at AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC.
Economic policy and planning (general) --- Economics --- Environmental protection. Environmental technology --- economie --- economische politiek --- milieuzorg --- Climatic changes --- Power resources. --- Economic aspects.
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Dieses Buch zeigt schlüssig auf, was in Europa, Asien und Nordamerika sowie anderen Regionen nötig ist, um das Ziel einer klimaneutralen Weltwirtschaft bis 2050 zu erreichen: vernetzte breitere Emissions-Handelssysteme aller G20-Länder, begrenzte Gratiszertifikate, ein Verständnis für die Nebenwirkungen – inklusive Verteilungseffekte – von globaler Klimaschutzpolitik und natürlich auch das praktische Engagement des Einzelnen. Das Klimaproblem wird aus Sicht von Experten und vor allem auch aus der Perspektive junger Menschen zunehmend zu einem existenziellen Problem, das weltweit für Unruhe sorgt. Bis 2019 durchgeführte Reformen in Europa, Japan, Korea, China und den USA sind unzureichend – Deutschland verfehlt seine offiziellen Klimaziele für das Jahr 2020 klar. Bei fehlenden Reformmaßnahmen könnte das Welteinkommen im 21. Jahrhundert erheblich sinken, und Abertausende Hitze- und Unwettertote sind zu befürchten. Die Tatsache, dass ein solides, stabiles Klima ein weltweites Kollektivgut ist, bedeutet, dass man eine starke internationale G20-Plus-Politikkooperation benötigt. Von dieser ist man weit entfernt. Bei den Europawahlen hat das Thema Klimawandel immerhin eine wichtige Rolle gespielt, und die Fridays-for-Future(FFF)-Bewegung mit Greta Thunberg sorgt für neuen Reformdruck in der Klimapolitik weltweit. Emissionshandelssysteme sollten ausgeweitet und integriert, der EIIW-vita-Indikator genutzt und Finanzmarkt- sowie Innovationsaspekte mehr beachtet werden. Paul J.J. Welfens beantwortet die Kernfragen zur globalen und nationalen Klimadebatte und entwickelt neue Politikansätze. Der Autor Prof. Dr. Paul J.J. Welfens ist Präsident des Europäischen Instituts für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW) an der Universität Wuppertal, dort zudem Inhaber des Jean Monnet-Lehrstuhls für Europäische Wirtschaftsintegration und des Lehrstuhls Makroökonomik. Außerdem ist er Vorsitzender des Instituts des Bundesverbands Deutscher Volks- und Betriebswirte, Düsseldorf, Non-resident Senior Research Fellow am AICGS der Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC sowie IZA Research Fellow, Bonn; 2007/08 war er Alfred Grosser Professor am Sciences Po, Paris.
Natural resources. --- Economic policy. --- International economics. --- Globalization. --- Natural Resource and Energy Economics. --- Economic Policy. --- International Economics.
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In diesem Buch wird eine klare Analyse der BREXIT-Widersprüche von Premierministerin Theresa Mays Global Britain-Politik und der Rolle der Finanzmärkte - bei Bankenaufsicht in einem Umfeld mit drohendem ITALEXIT und transatlantischen Trump-Handelskonflikten - durchgeführt. Es beantwortet ganz aktuell die wichtigsten Fragen zum BREXIT: Wie ist das historische BREXIT-Referendum in Großbritannien abgelaufen, welches sind die Hintergründe des anstehenden EU-Austritts und welche Folgen für Deutschland, Europa und die Weltwirtschaft sind absehbar? Die BREXIT-Entscheidung ist für Europa ein Jahrhundertereignis, das die EU schwächt und die Machtgewichte global verschiebt. Die EU hat an Anziehungskraft verloren, sie ist nicht im Einklang mit dem 21. Jahrhundert, das asiatisch, digital und innovationsstark ist. Es zeigt sich, dass indirekt ein Weg von der Bankenkrise zur Anti-Immigrationswelle und zum EU-Austritt führte. Zudem war das Referendumsergebnis stark verzerrt von einer grob fehlerhaften Infobroschüre der Cameron-Regierung, die zu erwartenden Einkommensverlust als Effekt eines EU-Austritts verschwieg – mit dieser Information hätte sich eine klare Pro-EU-Mehrheit ergeben. Ein zweites Referendum? EU-Reformen? Nötig ist eine Neo-EU, die besser konstruiert ist. Die 2., erweiterte Auflage mit dem aktuellen Stand der Diskussion zum BREXIT. Paul Welfens hat eine sehr einfühlsame Studie zu den Ursachen – und Folgewirkungen – des BREXIT geschrieben, der offenbar Großbritanniens größter vorsätzlicher Wirtschaftspolitik-Fehler seit der Großen Depression ist. Prof. Dr. Harold James, Department of History, Princeton University Im Buch von Paul J.J. Welfens über den Ausgang des BREXIT-Referendum erfolgt eine schonungslose, nüchterne und kritische Analyse, wie dieses Referendum-Ergebnis zustande kam. Welfens listet die wesentlichen kritischen Punkte auf: Jedem, der sich mit dieser Thematik ungeschminkt und offen beschäftigen will, sei dieses Buch zur Lektüre sehr empfohlen. Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. mult. Friedrich Schneider, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler Universität Linz Der Autor Prof. Dr. Paul J.J. Welfens ist Präsident des Europäischen Instituts für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW) an der Universität Wuppertal, dort zudem Inhaber des Jean Monnet-Lehrstuhls für Europäische Wirtschaftsintegration und des Lehrstuhls Makroökonomik. Außerdem ist er Vorsitzender des Instituts des Bundesverbands Deutscher Volks- und Betriebswirte, Düsseldorf, Non-resident Senior Research Fellow am AICGS der Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC sowie IZA Research Fellow, Bonn. Das EIIW steht für mehr als zwei Jahrzehnte preisgekrönte Forschung. Welfens war u.a. geladener Experte des Deutschen Bundestages, des Europäischen Parlaments, der EU-Kommission, des US-Senats sowie des IWF.
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This book, authored by Paul J. J. Welfens, explores the economic and geopolitical impacts of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It examines the resultant economic shocks, shifts in global order, and the broader consequences for Europe and global markets. The text addresses themes such as cyber warfare, bilateral relations, energy dependencies, and the implications for EU and global policies. The book is intended for an audience interested in international relations, economics, and policy analysis, providing a comprehensive overview of the geopolitical tensions and economic disruptions caused by the conflict.
Geopolitics. --- International economic relations. --- Geopolitics --- International economic relations
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Dieses Buch bietet eine umfassende Analyse der Corona-Weltrezession und zeigt erstmals auf, wie stark verändert die Weltwirtschaft durch die Corona-Schocks sein wird. Die Europäische Union muss – wie die USA und China – mit dem Corona-Schock mehrere Stress-Tests bestehen: medizinisch, ökonomisch, wirtschaftspolitisch. Gründe für die Sterbequoten werden identifiziert. Die Corona-Schocks bringen politische Enttäuschung über die Seuchenpolitik, z.T. eine Abkehr von der Demokratie. Dabei gibt es in der EU noch das Risiko #Eurokrise2 und Druck zu digitalem Strukturwandel sowie verstärkter Klimapolitik: mit mehr Einkommensungleichheit. Corona-Probleme in den USA sollten zu Gesundheitssystem-Reformen führen, während Deutschland und Österreich fürs Erste die Herausforderung gemeistert haben. Die Corona-Epidemie wird politische Narben hinterlassen. Der EU-Gipfel im Juli 2020 steht für widersprüchliche Politik. Der Westen fällt gegenüber Asien zurück. Der Autor Prof. Dr. Paul J.J. Welfens ist Präsident des Europäischen Instituts für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW)/Universität Wuppertal, dort zudem Inhaber des Jean Monnet-Lehrstuhls für Europäische Wirtschaftsintegration und des Lehrstuhls Makroökonomik. Außerdem ist er Vorsitzender des Instituts des Bundesverbands Deutscher Volks- und Betriebswirte, Düsseldorf, Non-resident Senior Research Fellow am AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC sowie IZA Research Fellow, Bonn; 2007/08 war er Alfred Grosser Professor am Sciences Po, Paris.
Economic policy. --- Economics. --- Political science. --- Management science. --- International economics. --- Political Economy/Economic Systems. --- Political Science and International Relations, general. --- Economics, general. --- International Economics. --- COVID-19 (Disease) --- International trade. --- Economic aspects --- Political asepcts --- European Union countries --- Economic conditions
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