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Book
Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9783642102806 9783642102790 Year: 2010 Publisher: Berlin Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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Abstract

A careful basic theoretical and econometric analysis of the factors determining the real exchange rates of Canada, the U.K., Japan, France and Germany with respect to the United States is conducted. The resulting conclusion is that real exchange rates are almost entirely determined by real factors relating to growth and technology such as oil and commodity prices, international allocations of world investment across countries, and underlying terms of trade changes. Unanticipated money supply shocks, calculated in five alternative ways have virtually no effects. A Blanchard-Quah VAR analysis also indicates that the effects of real shocks predominate over monetary shocks by a wide margin. The implications of these facts for the conduct of monetary policy in countries outside the U.S. are then explored leading to the conclusion that all countries, to avoid exchange rate overshooting, have tended to automatically follow the same monetary policy as the United States. The history of world monetary policy is reviewed along with the determination of real exchange rates within the Euro Area.


Book
Real Options Valuation : The Importance of Interest Rate Modelling in Theory and Practice
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9783642126628 9783642126611 Year: 2010 Publisher: Berlin Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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This book analyzes real options valuation for non-constant versus constant interest rates using simulations and historical backtesting. It provides a systematic analysis and compares real options valuation using constant interest rates and the implied forward rates with methods that simulate interest rates stochastically. Real options are investigated and combined with various pricing tools and stochastic term structure models. Interest rates for real options valuation are simulated by using stochastic term structure models (Vasicek, Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, Ho-Lee, and Hull-White one-factor and two-factor models) and by using implied forward rates. All necessary theory is provided in the book. The analyses were conducted using a proprietary computer simulation program. All results are explained in detail and rules are derived for application in Corporate Finance practice. The major change in this second edition is the expanded number of tested scenarios. The second edition contains an expanded number of tested scenarios covering the time period of the financial crisis 2008, one of the worst stock market crashes in history. The findings confirm the results provided in the first edition.

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