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The corporate governance problem of state enterprises in former socialist economies can give rise to excessive wage claims and/or capital decumulation. This paper focuses on these problems, highlighting the dynamic links between wage behavior, the fiscal deficit, inflation and the capital stock. Wage controls have been widely advocated as a response to the corporate governance problem. We show that in the presence of excessive wage claims a system of wage controls can help to limit capital decumulation and reduce inflation, since wage moderation implies higher government revenues from the profit tax and therefore lower money creation. More specifically, it is shown that when wage levels are initially excessive a reduction in the degree of wage indexation is effective in lowering inflation if nominal wages do not provide, on average, full protection against future inflation.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy --- Stabilization --- Treasury Policy --- Incomes Policy --- Price Policy --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Labour --- income economics --- Real wages --- Wages --- Private consumption --- Income --- Prices --- National accounts --- Consumption --- Economics --- Russian Federation --- Income economics
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This paper examines how the on-the-job search of workers in the state sector who are seeking jobs in the private sector affects private sector employment, the unemployment level, and the unemployment duration in the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe. The main finding is that on-the-job searching can account for the coexistence of a quickly growing private sector and a high unemployment level of long duration. The paper also addresses the issue of the optimal (output maximizing) rate of state sector closure and finds that the rate is slower when workers are simultaneously job hunting than when they are not.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Public Enterprises --- Public-Private Enterprises --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Economics: General --- Civil service & public sector --- Labour --- income economics --- Public sector --- Unemployment rate --- Economic sectors --- Finance, Public --- Economic theory --- Labor economics --- Czech Republic --- Income economics
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This paper examines China’s reform experience since 1978, reviewing major initiatives taken and assessing their impact on economic structure and their implications for macroeconomic management and stability. It identifies some of the special conditions before and during the reform process that impinged on China’s capacity to implement reforms, and, in particular, those where China may differ from other countries undertaking reform, including former CPEs. A further consideration is the choice of the sequence and pace of reform and the structural and institutional changes that are needed to reorient the economy towards the market.
Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Agribusiness --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Agriculture: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Labour --- income economics --- Agricultural economics --- Labor --- Agricultural sector --- Fiscal policy --- Prices --- Economic sectors --- Labor economics --- Agricultural industries --- China, People's Republic of --- Income economics
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The more advanced Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) face an evolving set of considerations in choosing their exchange rate policies. On the one hand, capital mobility is increasing, and this imposes additional constraints on fixed exchange rate regimes, while trend real appreciation makes the combination of low inflation and exchange rate stability problematic. On the other hand, the objectives of EU and eventual EMU membership make attractive a peg to the euro at some stage in the transition. The paper discusses these conflicting considerations, and considers the feasibility of an alternative monetary framework, inflation targeting.
Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Exchange rates --- Inflation targeting --- Currency boards --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Prices --- Monetary policy --- Czech Republic
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A simple model is developed to understand inflationary pressures and stabilization in nonmarket economies. In light of the model, the paper reviews the inflation and stabilization experiences of several transition economies in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. These experiences are then compared to those of high inflation market economies. The paper concludes that, despite significant differences in the economic structure and institutional framework, the inflation and stabilization experiences in transition and market economies are similar in many respects. In particular, monetary accommodation and lack of fiscal discipline are critical in sustaining inflation, and exchange rate-based anchors seem more successful than money anchors in bringing down inflation. On the other hand, wage policies appear to be more critical in reigning inflation in transition economies than in market economies.
Inflation --- Labor --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Labour --- income economics --- Monetary economics --- Wages --- Monetary base --- Wage policy --- Nominal anchors --- Prices --- Money --- Monetary policy --- Money supply --- Slovak Republic --- Income economics
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This paper estimates equilibrium dollar wages for 15 transition economies. Equilibrium dollar wages are interpreted as full employment wages consistent with a country’s physical and human capital endowment, and estimated by regressing actual dollar wages on productivity and human capital proxies in a short (1990-95) panel of 85 countries. The main results are: (i) equilibrium dollar wages have appreciated steadily in the Baltic countries and fast-reforming Central and Eastern European (CEE) transition economies, but have been flat in most CIS countries; and (ii) 1996 actual dollar wages remain below estimated equilibrium dollar wages for most but not all transition countries covered.
Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Labor --- Production and Operations Management --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Labour --- income economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Finance --- Wages --- Real exchange rates --- Productivity --- Human capital --- Competition --- Production --- Financial markets --- Industrial productivity --- Czech Republic --- Income economics
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Between 1991 and 1999, capital flows to 25 transition economies in Europe and the former Soviet Union differed widely in terms of overall levels and the share and composition of private flows. With some exceptions (notably Russia), the main form of private inflows was foreign direct investment. Portfolio investment was volatile and concentrated in a handful of countries. Regressions show that direct investment can be well explained in terms of economic fundamentals, whereas the presence of a financial market infrastructure and a property-rights indicator are the only explanatory variables that seem to have had a robust effect on portfolio investment.
Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Finance --- International economics --- Foreign direct investment --- Portfolio investment --- Capital flows --- Securities markets --- Capital inflows --- Balance of payments --- Financial markets --- Investments, Foreign --- Portfolio management --- Capital movements --- Capital market --- Russian Federation
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This paper discusses several proposals for a wholesale privatization of public enterprises in Eastern Europe. These proposals include the distribution of ”vouchers” to private citizens as well as the use of mutual funds, privatization companies and other forms of financial intermediaries. The paper analyzes the implications for economic efficiency of the different forms of ownership and control that would emerge from the proposals as well as their main macroeconomic consequences.
Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Comparison of Public and Private Enterprises and Nonprofit Institutions --- Contracting Out --- Economic sectors --- Finance --- Financial institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Financial services industry --- Government business enterprises --- Industries: Financial Services --- Institutional Investors --- Investment & securities --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- Mutual funds --- Nationalization --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Nonbank financial institutions --- Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise: General --- Pension Funds --- Privatization --- Public enterprises --- Public ownership --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Planning, Coordination, and Reform --- Stocks --- Poland, Republic of
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A major effort is taking place in many parts of the world to establish market-oriented institutions, a development that is particularly evident in the context of the transforming economies in Eastern Europe and the republics of the former Soviet Union. Against this background, this paper assesses various auction techniques to price and allocate government securities, refinance credit, foreign exchange, and state assets in the context of privatization programs. Before making our recommendations on the appropriate format for auctioning these items, the paper explains basic auction formats and assesses the advantages and disadvantages of these formats drawing on the existing, and mostly theoretical, literature.
Auctions --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Credit --- Currency --- Financial institutions --- Financial instruments --- Foreign Exchange --- Foreign exchange --- Game Theory and Bargaining Theory: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Government securities --- Industry Studies --- Institutional arrangements for revenue administration --- Investment & securities --- Investments: General --- Market Structure and Pricing: General --- Monetary economics --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Money --- Population --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Securities --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Factor and Product Markets --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Planning, Coordination, and Reform --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Welfare Economics: General --- United States
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This compilation of summaries of Working Papers released during January-June 1993 is being issued as a part of the Working Paper series. It is designed to provide the reader with an overview of the research work performed by the staff during the period. Authors of Working Papers are normally staff members of the Fund or consultants, although on occasion outside authors may collaborate with a staff member in writing a paper. The views expressed in the Working Papers or their summaries are, however, those of the authors and should not necessarily be interpreted as representing the views of the Fund. Copies of individual Working Papers and information on subscriptions to the annual series of Working Papers may be obtained from IMF Publication Services, International Monetary Fund, 700 19th Street, Washington, D.C. 20431. Telephone: (202) 623-7430 Telefax: (202) 623-7201.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- International Fiscal Issues --- International Public Goods --- Policy Objectives --- Policy Designs and Consistency --- Policy Coordination --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Taxation and Subsidies: Incidence --- Production and Organizations: General --- Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities --- Redistributive Effects --- Environmental Taxes and Subsidies --- Regulation and Industrial Policy: General --- Other Economic Systems: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Economic Integration --- Management of Technological Innovation and R&D --- Economywide Country Studies: Europe --- Game Theory and Bargaining Theory: General --- Market Structure and Pricing: General --- Auctions --- Welfare Economics: General --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Planning, Coordination, and Reform --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Factor and Product Markets --- Industry Studies --- Population --- Comparative Economic Systems: General --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Neoclassical --- Information and Market Efficiency --- Event Studies --- International Financial Markets --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- National Security and War --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Monetary Policy --- Demand for Money --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Renewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Economic Development: Financial Markets --- Saving and Capital Investment --- Corporate Finance and Governance --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Unemployment Insurance --- Severance Pay --- Plant Closings --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Comparative Studies of Countries --- Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East --- Economic Growth of Open Economies --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Labor Contracts --- Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Performance and Prospects --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Neoclassical Models of Trade --- Fiscal Policy --- Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: Public Economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Defense spending --- Expenditure --- Public investment spending --- Exchange rates --- Private investment --- National accounts --- Expenditures, Public --- Saving and investment --- Interest rates --- Public investments --- United States --- Income economics
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