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Book
Failure to Refinance
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Year: 2014 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards
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Year: 2016 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Mortgage Rates, Household Balance Sheets, and the Real Economy
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Year: 2014 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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What Determines Consumer Financial Distress? Place- and Person-Based Factors
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Year: 2020 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Neglected No More
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Year: 2020 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Property Insurance and Disaster Risk
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Year: 2024 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Evidence and innovation in housing law and policy
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ISBN: 131673076X 1316691330 1107164923 131673269X Year: 2017 Publisher: Cambridge : Cambridge University Press,

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No area of law and policy is more central to our well-being than housing, yet research on the topic is too often produced in disciplinary or methodological silos that fail to connect to policy on the ground. This pathbreaking book, which features leading scholars from a range of academic fields, cuts across disciplines to forge new connections in the discourse. In accessible prose filled with cutting-edge ideas, these scholars address topics ranging from the recent financial crisis to discrimination and gentrification and show how housing law and policy impacts household wealth, financial markets, urban landscapes, and local communities. Together, they harness evidence and theory to capture the 'state of play' in housing, generating insights that will be relevant to academics and policymakers alike. This title is also available as Open Access.


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Neglected No More : Housing Markets, Mortgage Lending, and Sea Level Rise
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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In this paper, we explore dynamic changes in the capitalization of sea level rise (SLR) risk in housing and mortgage markets. Our results suggest a disconnect in coastal Florida real estate: From 2013-2018, home sales volumes in the most-SLR-exposed communities declined 16-20% relative to less-SLR-exposed areas, even as their sale prices grew in lockstep. Between 2018-2020, however, relative prices in these at-risk markets finally declined by roughly 5% from their peak. Lender behavior cannot reconcile these patterns, as we show that both all-cash and mortgage-financed purchases have similarly contracted, with little evidence of increases in loan denial or securitization. We propose a demand-side explanation for our findings where prospective buyers have become more pessimistic about climate change risk than prospective sellers. The lead-lag relationship between transaction volumes and prices in SLR-exposed markets is consistent with dynamics at the peak of prior real estate bubbles.

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Eyes Wide Shut? The Moral Hazard of Mortgage Insurers during the Housing Boom
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Year: 2018 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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In the U.S. mortgage market, private mortgage insurance (PMI) is mandated for high-leverage mortgages purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to serve as a private market check on GSE risk-taking. However, we document that PMI firms dramatically expanded insurance on high-risk mortgages at the tail-end of the housing boom, contradicting the industry's own research regarding house price risk. Using three detailed sources of mortgage and insurance data, we examine PMI application denial rates, default rates on PMI-backed loans, and growth rates of high-leverage lending around the GSE conforming loan limit, along with information extracted from company, industry and regulatory filings and reports. We conclude that PMI behavior during the housing boom in part reflects a "moral hazard" incentive inherent to insurance companies in general to underprice risk and be undercapitalized. Our results suggest that rather than providing discipline, private mortgage insurers facilitated GSE risk-taking.

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Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Using a dataset covering one quarter of the U.S. general-purpose credit card market, we document that 29% of accounts regularly make payments at or near the minimum payment. We exploit changes in issuers' minimum payment formulas to distinguish between liquidity constraints and anchoring as explanations for the prevalence of near-minimum payments. Nine to twenty percent of all accounts respond more to the formula changes than expected based on liquidity constraints alone, representing a lower bound on the role of anchoring. Disclosures implemented by the CARD Act, an example of one potential policy solution to anchoring, resulted in fewer than 1% of accounts adopting an alternative suggested payment. Based on back-of-envelope calculations, the disclosures led to $62 million in interest savings per year, but would have saved over $2 billion per year if all anchoring consumers had adopted the new suggested payment. Our results show that anchoring to a salient contractual term has a significant impact on household debt.

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