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The September 2011 edition of the World Economic Outlook assesses the prospects for the global economy, which is now in a dangerous new phase. Global activity has weakened and become more uneven, confidence has fallen sharply recently, and downside risks are growing. Against a backdrop of unresolved structural fragilities, a barrage of shocks hit the international economy this year, including the devastating Japanese earthquake and tsunami, unrest in some oil-producing countries, and the major financial turbulence in the euro area. Two of the forces now shaping the global economy are high and rising commodity prices and the need for many economies to address large budget deficits. Chapter 3 examines the inflationary effects of commodity price movements and the appropriate monetary policy response. Chapter 4 explores the implications of efforts by advanced economies to restore fiscal sustainability and by emerging and developing economies to tighten fiscal policy to rebuild fiscal policy room and in some cases to restrain overheating pressures.
Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Commodity Markets --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Trade: General --- International economics --- Finance --- Monetary economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Commodity prices --- Fiscal consolidation --- Current account balance --- Fiscal policy --- Prices --- Balance of payments --- Food prices --- Financial services industry --- United States
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This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores how a dramatic escalation of the financial crisis in September 2008 provoked an unprecedented contraction of activity and trade, despite active policy responses. It presents economic projections for 2009 and 2010, and also looks beyond the current crisis, considering factors that will shape the landscape of the global economy over the medium term, as businesses and households seek to repair the damage. The analysis also outlines the difficult policy challenges presented by the overwhelming imperative to take all steps necessary to restore financial stability and revive the global economy, and the longer-run need for national actions to be mutually supporting. The first of two analytical chapters, "What Kind of Economic Recovery?" explores the shape of the eventual recovery. The second, "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging and Developing Economies," focuses on the role of external financial linkages and financial stress in transmitting economic shocks.
Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Real Estate --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Commodity Markets --- Fiscal Policy --- Housing Supply and Markets --- International economics --- Property & real estate --- Banking --- Economic growth --- Commodity prices --- Current account balance --- Fiscal policy --- Current account --- Prices --- Balance of payments --- Housing --- Food prices --- United States
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