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Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014–15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies. Although downside risks have diminished overall, lower-than-expected inflation poses risks for advanced economies, there is increased financial volatility in emerging market economies, and increases in the cost of capital will likely dampen investment and weigh on growth. Advanced economy policymakers need to avoid a premature withdrawal of monetary accommodation. Emerging market economy policymakers must adopt measures to changing fundamentals, facilitate external adjustment, further monetary policy tightening, and carry out structural reforms. The report includes a chapter that analyzes the causes of worldwide decreases in real interest rates since the 1980s and concludes that global rates can be expected to rise in the medium term, but only moderately. Another chapter examines factors behind the fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth and concludes that strong growth in China played a key role in buffering the effects of the global financial crisis in these economies.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Financial Crises --- Commodity Markets --- Finance --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Investment & securities --- Monetary economics --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Real interest rates --- Commodity prices --- Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 --- Financial services industry --- Prices --- Interest rates --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Consumption --- Economics --- United States
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In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
China -- Politics and government -- 20th century. --- China -- Social conditions -- 20th century. --- International finance -- China. --- International Monetary Fund. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Business and Financial --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Banking --- International economics --- Finance --- Exchange rates --- Income --- Real interest rates --- Current account surpluses --- Banks and banking --- Interest rates --- Balance of payments --- China, People's Republic of
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One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery. The Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific discusses the near-term outlook for the region, as well as the medium-term policy challenges that countries face. As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010, and in the near term the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery. In the medium term, the global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth.
Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Trade: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- International economics --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Exports --- Capital inflows --- Consumption --- Central bank policy rate --- Asset prices --- Economics --- Capital movements --- Prices --- Interest rates --- China, People's Republic of
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The proposed SDN would take stock of the current debate on the shape that monetary policy should take after the crisis. It revisits the pros and cons of expanding the objectives of monetary policy, the merits of turning unconventional policies into conventional ones, how to make monetary policy frameworks more resilient to the risk of being constrained by the zero-lower bound going forward, and the institutional challenges to preserve central bank independence with regards to monetary policy, while allowing adequate government oversight over central banks’ new responsibilities. It will draw policy conclusions where consensus has been reached, and highlight the areas where more work is needed to get more granular policy advice.
Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Policy Objectives --- Policy Designs and Consistency --- Policy Coordination --- International Policy Coordination and Transmission --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Price Level --- Deflation --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banking --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Financial sector stability --- Zero lower bound --- Central bank policy rate --- Banks and banking --- Interest rates --- Prices --- Financial services industry --- United States
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'Wising Up to the Costs of Aging' looks at how falling fertility and rising life expectancy have combined to threaten the ability of many countries to provide a decent standard of living for the old without imposing a crushing burden on the young. In our lead article, Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason say that while population aging in rich industrial countries as well as in some middle- and lower-income countries will challenge public and private budgets in many ways, a combination of reduced consumption, postponed retirement, increased asset holdings, and greater investment in human capital should make it possible to meet this challenge without catastrophic consequences. Neil Howe and Richard Jackson publish a fascinating ranking of which countries are best and worst prepared to meet the needs of the growing wave of retirees. We also have articles on a broad range of current topics, including Middle East unemployment, the economic repercussions of the earthquake and devastating tsunami in Japan, and banking in offshore financial centers such as the Cayman Islands. Carmen Reinhart and Jacob Kirkegaard look at how governments are finding ways to manipulate markets to hold down the cost of financing huge public debts, and, in Straight Talk, the IMF’s Min Zhu talks about the long-term challenges now facing emerging markets. Prakash Loungani speaks to Nobel Prize winner George Akerlof, and we discuss with three other laureates-Michael Spence, Joseph Stiglitz, and Robert Solow-what the global economic crisis has taught us. Back to Basics explains economic models, and Picture This highlights the great variations in the cost of sending money back home.
Developing countries -- Finance -- Periodicals. --- Economic assistance -- Periodicals. --- International finance -- Periodicals. --- International finance. --- Banks and Banking --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Foreign Exchange --- Population & demography --- Finance --- Labour --- income economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Public debt --- Population aging --- Debts, Public --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- United States
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