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Canadian public pension plans are run on a "pay-as-you-go" basis. As the baby boom ages, contribution rates for the two main plans are projected to rise significantly, from their current level of around 5 percent of eligible earnings to over 13 percent by 2030. An alternative is to set contribution rates at their underlying long-term levels. Such a policy would imply a significant rise in current contribution rates, to 10-10½ percent of eligible earnings, but would allow the system to cope with the retirement of the baby boom generation without recourse to borrowing or significant increases in contribution rates.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Health: General --- Pensions --- Labour --- income economics --- Population & demography --- Health economics --- Wages --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Health --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Canada --- Income economics
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This paper focuses on the nexus between pension funds' balance sheet liabilities, reflecting their age profile and payments obligations, and the investment behavior and costs of these funds. The context of the analysis is the stringent regulatory framework and the highly fragmented and heterogeneous pension fund landscape in Switzerland. Detailed data from the Swiss Pension Statistic are analyzed using multivariate OLS-regressions. The evidence shows that a younger age structure and lower short-term benefits payouts are related to a higher share of equities and lower real estate holdings. Legal form, pension plan type, and size are important for administrative costs. The findings support the view that aging may lead to increased risk aversion and thus to a lower engagement of institutional investors in equities.
Financial Risk Management --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- International Financial Markets --- Governmental Property --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Pensions --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Pension spending --- Asset allocation --- Government asset management --- Aging --- Asset-liability management --- Finance, Public --- Population aging --- Switzerland --- Pension trusts --- Finance. --- Economic aspects
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The brain drain from developing countries has been lamented for many years, but knowledge of the empirical magnitude of the phenomenon is scant owing to the lack of systematic data sources. This paper presents estimates of emigration rates from 61 developing countries to OECD countries for three educational categories constructed using 1990 U.S. Census data, Barro and Lee’s data set on educational attainment, and OECD migration data. Although still tentative in many respects, these estimates reveal a substantial brain drain from the Caribbean, Central America, and some African and Asian countries.
Demography --- Emigration and Immigration --- International Migration --- Geographic Labor Mobility --- Immigrant Workers --- Education: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Migration, immigration & emigration --- Education --- Population & demography --- Migration --- Population and demographics --- Aging --- Emigration and immigration --- Population --- Population aging --- United States
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Austria has probably the world’s highest pension expenditures relative to its economic size, largely because of the generosity of its pension system. This paper examines the institutional setup of the Austrian pension system and projects its future development based on current policies. The projection results show a swift financial worsening. With the already high level of contribution rates, pension expenditures, and budget transfers, the results underscore the need for reform. Much of this reform can, however, be achieved by maintaining the structure of the system and adjusting some of its key parameters. The paper outlines options for such a reform.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Pensions --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Wages --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Austria --- Income economics
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A number of uncertainties about long-term expenditure commitments in industrial countries are examined: (i) the assumptions underlying the projections, (ii) the potential to further reduce non-age-related expenditures, (iii) the implicitly assumed absence of "shocks," and (iv) the potential for raising revenue. This paper concludes that (i) there is scope, but within narrow limits, to reduce non-age-related expenditures; (ii) fiscal policy frameworks tend to understate risks; and (iii) prevailing tax rates leave little room for increasing taxation in the countries facing the strongest aging pressures. In sum, governments will have to adopt a much more ambitious fiscal policy stance to cope with aging populations.
Electronic books. -- local. --- Expenditures, Public. --- Fiscal policy. --- Investments: General --- Public Finance --- Demography --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Fiscal Policy --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Macroeconomics --- Expenditure --- Aging --- Total expenditures --- Fiscal policy --- Gross fixed investment --- Expenditures, Public --- Population aging --- Saving and investment --- United States
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Rising longevity, falling fertility rates, and the retirement of the baby boom generation will substantially raise age-related government spending in most advanced and many emerging market countries. This paper assesses the evolution of fiscal sustainability for each of the G-7 countries using two standard primary gap indicators. The estimated fiscal adjustment required to ensure long-run fiscal sustainability is substantial for all G-7 countries. In particular, ensuring fiscal sustainability would require an average improvement in the primary balance of about 4 percentage points of GDP. While the overall adjustment required to achieve long-run fiscal sustainability in G-7 countries is large, there are significant growth benefits to putting public finances on a sustainable footing in the near term versus delayed adjustment.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Fiscal Policy --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Fiscal stance --- Expenditure --- Fiscal sustainability --- Public debt --- Aging --- Fiscal policy --- Expenditures, Public --- Debts, Public --- Population aging --- Japan --- Economic aspects
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This paper assesses the efficiency of education expenditure in Portugal and delineates a possible agenda for reform. Portugal’s low educational performance has coincided with the highest level of primary and secondary education expenditure to GDP in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), suggesting considerable inefficiency. Empirical results from the application of a nonparametric technique for production frontier estimation (Free Disposable Hull analysis) support this view. Among the reforms that could be considered to raise educational efficiency are the adoption of a goal-oriented management and incentive system; establishment of minimum student/teacher ratios; and an easing of employment and work rules governing public school teachers.
Public Finance --- Demography --- Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods --- National Government Expenditures and Education --- Education: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Demographic Economics: General --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Education --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Education spending --- Aging --- Population and demographics --- Public expenditure review --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Population aging --- Population --- Portugal
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Over the coming decades, demographic developments will lead to a significant increase in public outlays on pensions and health care, relative to national income. This study extends earlier work by considering the adverse effects of taxation on the determinants of economic growth -- in particular, investment, productivity growth, and labor force participation. Available empirical evidence suggests that these adverse effects could well be sizable, and that conventional estimates of the adverse effects of population aging probably severely underestimate their impact on the public finances and economic performance. The paper uses stochastic simulations to examine the robustness of the results to changes in parameter values. It also provides quantitative simulations of various reform options, including mainly an increase in the effective retirement age and flanking labor market measures.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- National Government Expenditures and Health --- Pensions --- Public finance & taxation --- Population & demography --- Pension spending --- Expenditure --- Aging --- Health care spending --- Population and demographics --- Expenditures, Public --- Population aging --- France
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Italy’s pension system was reformed in August 1995. The new system has various desirable long-run properties and, overall, it represents an improvement over earlier systems. However, it fails to address two longstanding problems: extremely high contribution rates, and a lack of provisions for dealing with the substantial deterioration in demographic ratios expected over the next 30-40 years.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts --- Pensions --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Demographic change --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Demographic transition --- Italy --- Income economics
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Public pension expenditure in Italy has been growing rapidly in the last three decades and is now among the highest in industrialized countries. Despite recent reforms, benefits remain generous by international standards and, unless additional measures are taken, the financial situation of the system will deteriorate in the long term. The paper reviews the current system, its history, and its prospects, and examines through simulations the long-run effects of alternative pension reform options.
Labor --- Public Finance --- Demography --- Social Security and Public Pensions --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Economics of the Elderly --- Economics of the Handicapped --- Non-labor Market Discrimination --- Retirement --- Retirement Policies --- National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs --- Pensions --- Population & demography --- Labour --- income economics --- Pension spending --- Aging --- Pension reform --- Expenditure --- Population and demographics --- Population aging --- Italy --- Income economics
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