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The world is faced with considerable risk and uncertainty about climate change. Particular attention has been paid increasingly to hydropower generation in recent years because it is renewable energy. However, hydropower is among the most vulnerable industries to changes in global and regional climate. This paper aims to examine the possibility of applying a simple vector autoregressive model to forecast future hydrological series and evaluate the resulting impact on hydropower projects. Three projects are considered - in India, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam. The results are still tentative in terms of both methodology and implications; but the analysis shows that the calibrated dynamic forecasts of hydrological series are much different from the conventional reference points in the 90 percent dependable year. The paper also finds that hydrological discharges tend to increase with rainfall and decrease with temperature. The rainy season would likely have higher water levels, but in the lean season water resources would become even more limited. The amount of energy generated would be affected to a certain extent, but the project viability may not change so much. Comparing the three cases, it is suggested that having larger installed capacity and some storage capacity might be useful to accommodate future hydrological series and seasonality. A broader assessment will be called for at the project preparation stage.
Carbon dioxide --- Carbon dioxide concentrations --- Climate --- Climate Change --- Climate changes --- Energy --- Energy Production and Transportation --- Environment --- Global Climate Change --- Global Environment --- Global warming --- Hydro Power --- Rainfall --- Rainy season --- Renewable energy --- Temperature --- Water and Energy --- Water Resources
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The world is faced with considerable risk and uncertainty about climate change. Particular attention has been paid increasingly to hydropower generation in recent years because it is renewable energy. However, hydropower is among the most vulnerable industries to changes in global and regional climate. This paper aims to examine the possibility of applying a simple vector autoregressive model to forecast future hydrological series and evaluate the resulting impact on hydropower projects. Three projects are considered - in India, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam. The results are still tentative in terms of both methodology and implications; but the analysis shows that the calibrated dynamic forecasts of hydrological series are much different from the conventional reference points in the 90 percent dependable year. The paper also finds that hydrological discharges tend to increase with rainfall and decrease with temperature. The rainy season would likely have higher water levels, but in the lean season water resources would become even more limited. The amount of energy generated would be affected to a certain extent, but the project viability may not change so much. Comparing the three cases, it is suggested that having larger installed capacity and some storage capacity might be useful to accommodate future hydrological series and seasonality. A broader assessment will be called for at the project preparation stage.
Carbon dioxide --- Carbon dioxide concentrations --- Climate --- Climate Change --- Climate changes --- Energy --- Energy Production and Transportation --- Environment --- Global Climate Change --- Global Environment --- Global warming --- Hydro Power --- Rainfall --- Rainy season --- Renewable energy --- Temperature --- Water and Energy --- Water Resources
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Dairy cows --- feeds --- Carbohydrates --- Lipids --- Energy metabolism --- Metabolic disorders --- Lactation --- Reproductive performance --- 636.2 --- 636.034 --- 636.084.51 --- 636.084.51 Feeding in mating season, at gestation, lactation, egg-laying --- Feeding in mating season, at gestation, lactation, egg-laying --- 636.034 Animals kept for live yield of food produce. Dairy and egg-laying stock. Milk and egg yields --- Animals kept for live yield of food produce. Dairy and egg-laying stock. Milk and egg yields --- 636.2 Large ruminants. Cattle, oxen --- Large ruminants. Cattle, oxen --- Theses
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Vegetables --- Exploitation maraîchère --- Market gardens --- Culture sous abri --- Protected cultivation --- Culture hors saison --- Off season cultivation --- Valeur économique --- economic value --- Distribution économique --- economic distribution --- Circuit de commercialisation --- Marketing channels --- Netherlands --- 338.439 --- Economie van de voedselproductie. Economie van de voedingsindustrie. --- Theses --- 338.439 Economie van de voedselproductie. Economie van de voedingsindustrie. --- Economie van de voedselproductie. Economie van de voedingsindustrie
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Written for everyone who loves and is simultaneously driven crazy by the holiday season, Christmas: A Candid History provides an enlightening, entertaining perspective on how the annual Yuletide celebration got to be what it is today. In a fascinating, concise tour through history, the book tells the story of Christmas-from its pre-Christian roots, through the birth of Jesus, to the holiday's spread across Europe into the Americas and beyond, and to its mind-boggling transformation through modern consumerism. Packed with intriguing stories, based on research into myriad sources, full of insights, the book explores the historical origins of traditions including Santa, the reindeer, gift giving, the Christmas tree, Christmas songs and movies, and more. The book also offers some provocative ideas for reclaiming the joy and meaning of this beloved, yet often frustrating, season amid the pressures of our fast-paced consumer culture. DID YOU KNOWFor three centuries Christians did not celebrate Christmas? Puritans in England and New England made Christmas observances illegal? St. Nicholas is an elf in the famous poem "The Night Before Christmas"? President Franklin Roosevelt changed the dateof Thanksgiving in order to lengthen the Christmas shopping season? Coca-Cola helped fashion Santa Claus's look in an advertising campaign?
Christmas --- History. --- biblical history. --- biographical. --- biography. --- birth of jesus. --- christmas history. --- christmas songs. --- christmas traditions. --- faith and belief. --- family. --- gift giving. --- history of christianity. --- holiday season. --- intriguing stories. --- life lessons. --- memoir. --- modern consumerism. --- pre-christian roots. --- reclaiming the joy. --- reindeer. --- santa. --- spirituality. --- story of christmas. --- tour through history. --- uplifting stories.
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The authors use a Ricardian model to test the relationship between annual net revenues and climate across Israeli farms. They find that it is important to include the amount of irrigation water available to each farm in order to measure the response of farms to climate. With irrigation water omitted, the model predicts that climate change is strictly beneficial. But with water included, the model predicts that only modest climate changes are beneficial, while drastic climate change in the long run will be harmful. Using the Atmospheric Oceanic Global Circulation Models scenarios, the authors show that farm net revenue is expected to increase by 16 percent in 2020, while in 2100 farm net revenue is expected to drop by 60-390 percent varying between the different scenarios. Although Israel has a relatively warm climate, a mild increase in temperature is beneficial due to the ability to supply international markets with farm products early in the season. The findings lead to the conclusion that securing water rights to the farmers and international trade agreements can be important policy measures to help farmers adapt to climate change.
Climate --- Climate Change --- Climate Changes --- Climate Models --- Climate Sensitivity --- Common Property Resource Development --- Drought Management --- Economic Impacts --- Environment --- Forestry --- Global Climate Change --- Impacts --- Industry --- Irrigation --- Land --- Less --- Precipitation --- Rainfall --- Rainy Season --- Rural Development --- Sanitation and Sewerage --- Soils --- Technologies --- Temperature --- Town Water Supply and Sanitation --- Variables --- Wastewater Treatment --- Water and Industry --- Water Conservation --- Water Resources --- Water Supply and Sanitation --- Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions --- Water Supply and Systems --- Water Use
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The authors use a Ricardian model to test the relationship between annual net revenues and climate across Israeli farms. They find that it is important to include the amount of irrigation water available to each farm in order to measure the response of farms to climate. With irrigation water omitted, the model predicts that climate change is strictly beneficial. But with water included, the model predicts that only modest climate changes are beneficial, while drastic climate change in the long run will be harmful. Using the Atmospheric Oceanic Global Circulation Models scenarios, the authors show that farm net revenue is expected to increase by 16 percent in 2020, while in 2100 farm net revenue is expected to drop by 60-390 percent varying between the different scenarios. Although Israel has a relatively warm climate, a mild increase in temperature is beneficial due to the ability to supply international markets with farm products early in the season. The findings lead to the conclusion that securing water rights to the farmers and international trade agreements can be important policy measures to help farmers adapt to climate change.
Climate --- Climate Change --- Climate Changes --- Climate Models --- Climate Sensitivity --- Common Property Resource Development --- Drought Management --- Economic Impacts --- Environment --- Forestry --- Global Climate Change --- Impacts --- Industry --- Irrigation --- Land --- Less --- Precipitation --- Rainfall --- Rainy Season --- Rural Development --- Sanitation and Sewerage --- Soils --- Technologies --- Temperature --- Town Water Supply and Sanitation --- Variables --- Wastewater Treatment --- Water and Industry --- Water Conservation --- Water Resources --- Water Supply and Sanitation --- Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions --- Water Supply and Systems --- Water Use
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