Listing 1 - 10 of 90 << page
of 9
>>
Sort by

Book
Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve and Asymmetric Loss
Author:
ISBN: 1462368247 1452795703 1283557401 9786613869852 1451891717 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—including an asymmetric loss function corresponding to the “opportunistic approach” to disinflation—when the Phillips curve is convex. Numerical simulations are used to compare the implications of the alternative loss functions for equilibrium levels of inflation and unemployment. For parameter estimates relevant to the United States, the symmetric loss function dominates the asymmetric alternative.


Book
Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy with Credit Goods Production
Author:
ISBN: 1462342817 1452737088 1283569051 9786613881502 145190228X Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

The paper analyzes the effects of monetary policy in a dynamic model of a small open economy with cash and credit goods production, where government consumption is financed by seignorage. It shows that the interrelationships between the growth rate of the monetary aggregate and the technological properties of the economy have an important bearing on the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium, the optimal inflation rate, and the occurrence of explosive hyperinflations. In consequence, the paper concludes that monetary policy does matter in the long run.


Book
Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462322751 1452794669 1283569698 1451895488 9786613882141 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

Although few would doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is much less agreement about moderate inflation’s effects. Using panel regressions and a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth. This relationship holds at all but the lowest inflation rates and is robust across various samples and specifications. The method of binary recursive trees identifies inflation as one the most important statistical determinants of growth. Finally, while there are short-run growth costs of disinflation, these are only relevant for the most severe disinflations, or when the initial inflation rate is well within the single-digit range.


Book
Growth, Trade, and Deindustrialization
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462322778 1451993528 1281602264 9786613782953 145189483X Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper shows that deindustrialization is explained primarily by trends internal to the advanced economies. These include the combined effects on manufacturing employment of a relatively faster growth of productivity in manufacturing, the associated relative price changes, and shifts in the structure of demand between manufactures and services. North-South trade explains less than one fifth of deindustrialization in the advanced economies. Moreover, the contribution of North-South trade to deindustrialization has been mainly through its effects in stimulating labor productivity in Northern manufacturing. It has had little enduring effect on total manufacturing output in the advanced economies.


Book
Explaining the Recent Behavior of Inflation and Unemployment in the United States
Author:
ISBN: 1462303471 145277644X 1282108190 9786613801548 145190164X Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

Low rates of inflation have been recorded in recent years, despite a decline in the unemployment rate. This phenomenon could be the result of a series of transitory shocks or of a permanent change in the structure of the economy leading to a lower NAIRU. The paper suggests that, while the NAIRU may have fallen slightly, it has not fallen by an amount sufficient to explain the recent behavior of inflation. A leading explanation for recent inflation performance appears to be favorable price shocks; in particular, the cost of imports has fallen sharply as the dollar has appreciated.


Book
Disinflation in Spain : The Recent Experience
Author:
ISBN: 146237011X 1452715939 1281155780 1451898525 9786613777140 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper investigates the causes of the recent disinflation in Spain. A standard Phillips curve model is used to disentangle the contributions of three possible shocks: an adverse demand shock that raises unemployment, a positive supply shock resulting from relative price adjustments or structural improvements in the labor market, and a credibility shock that lowers inflationary expectations. The main element underlying Spain’s recent disinflation appears to be a fall in inflation expectations, thanks to the country’s commitment to participate in Economic and Monetary Union from the start, and policy actions geared to that end.


Book
Considerations in Reducing Inflation From Low to Lower Levels
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462310575 1452724008 1282027603 9786613796561 1451898762 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

In recent years, many countries have successfully reduced their inflation rates to relatively low levels of 2 to 3 percent. The question then arises as to whether it would be desirable to move to even lower rates of inflation. The paper examines the benefits and costs of moving from low inflation to even lower inflation by drawing together recent work on this issue. Once a country has decided to move to an even lower rate of inflation, the question then becomes whether it would be better to achieve this objective through inflation targeting or price-level targeting. The paper critically reviews the arguments for both approaches.


Book
The Quality of Governance : “Second-Generation” Civil Service Reform in Africa.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462361978 1452753229 1283565153 9786613877604 1451903162 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper argues that the development of human capital in the public sector should be an important ingredient in any proposed set of “second-generation” reforms for Africa. In the post-colonial era the quality of governance has seriously declined, and the stock of human capital in the public sector has been eroded by a flight of human capital from many countries in response to compression of wages. The paper develops a simple theoretical framework to discuss these issues and the continent’s experience with foreign technical assistance in supplementing the low level of domestic human capital.


Book
The Decline of Traditional Sectors in Israel : The Role of the Exchange Rate and the Minimum Wage
Author:
ISBN: 146230446X 1452780463 1282035304 9786613796813 1451903405 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

This paper examines the role of exchange rate appreciation and the minimum wage in the relative decline of traditional sectors in Israel. It finds little evidence to indicate that real exchange rate appreciation is primarily responsible for this decline. Rather, the evidence indicates that slower productivity growth in traditional sectors has led to relatively larger increases in unit labor costs compared with high-tech sectors. Although the links are only indicative, the evidence also suggests that the minimum wage has played a role in the relatively faster growth in unit labor costs.


Book
Increasing Dependency Ratios, Pensions, and Tax Smoothing
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462372104 1452740135 1283559013 1451900368 9786613871466 Year: 1998 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

Loading...
Export citation

Choose an application

Bookmark

Abstract

The implication of increasing dependency ratios for pay-as-you-go, defined-benefit pension programs are examined. Modifications aimed at smoothing contributions while maintaining benefits intact are analyzed for both open and closed economies.

Listing 1 - 10 of 90 << page
of 9
>>
Sort by