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Book
Belize.
Author:
ISBN: 1498390285 1484321774 9781484321775 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington International Monetary Fund

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Abstract

KEY ISSUES Outlook and risks. The economy will remain vulnerable over the medium term, with sluggish real GDP growth, rising public debt and widening external current account deficits. International reserves could decline to uncomfortably low levels. The financial system would continue to be hampered by high NPLs and low capital buffers, especially at a systemic bank. Main fiscal risks include a court decision that could lead to a larger than expected compensation to the former owners of the nationalized companies, weaknesses in a systemic bank, and the cost of the new public bank. Focus of the Consultation. Discussions focused on measures that would place public debt on a sustainable path; address weaknesses in the financial system, particularly in a systemic bank; buttress external sector resilience; and enhance competitiveness and inclusive growth. Key policy advice. ? Improve the primary fiscal balance to about 4.5 percent of GDP starting in 2015. This could be achieved mainly by allowing spending on goods and services to rise only in line with inflation; containing the expansion in the wage bill; requiring public workers to contribute to their pensions; and by widening the tax base and strengthening revenue administration. Active debt management, including refinancing of expensive debt with low-earning deposits (essentially from PetroCaribe), would support these efforts. ? Address banking sector vulnerabilities through improving capital buffers. ? Improve public financial management (PFM) to contain low-quality spending, strengthen budget formulation, preparation, and execution, and improve the coverage and accuracy of budget documents. ? Further improve the business environment to attract more private investment, boost competitiveness, and enhance job-creating and inclusive growth. Implementation of staff advice. Implementation of recent staff advice is mixed. The breathing room provided by the debt restructuring was not used to improve the primary fiscal balance. The authorities plan to review exemptions and zero-ratings under the GST.


Book
Belize : Staff Report for the 2006 Article IV Consultation.
Author:
ISBN: 1455235024 1452772762 128092120X 1452767041 9786613743381 Year: 2006 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Overly expansionary macroeconomic policies contributed to a widening of current account deficits, an unsustainable buildup of public debt, and the erosion of international reserves. The Belize government has already made commendable strides in correcting macroeconomic imbalances, based on measures to increase tax collection, rein in discretionary current expenditure, and cut capital expenditure. However, these efforts alone are not sufficient to bring the public finances and the balance of payments back on a sustainable path; supportive structural reforms in the fiscal and monetary areas should be implemented.


Book
Belize : 2010 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Informational Annex; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Belize.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462372694 1455261947 1283557436 9786613869883 1455232696 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The economy of Belize in recent years has been vulnerable to adverse shocks owing to its weak external position, policy rigidities, and reduced access to external financing. Executive Directors commended the authorities for their prudent macroeconomic management during the crisis. Directors emphasized the need for fiscal consolidation strategy, and stressed the need to strengthen the banking system. They supported plans to improve public financial management and tax administration. They welcomed monetary policy framework, liquidity management, and development plan policies, and offered expert assistance as well.

Keywords

Monetary policy --- Banks and banking --- Agricultural banks --- Banking --- Banking industry --- Commercial banks --- Depository institutions --- Finance --- Financial institutions --- Money --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- International Monetary Fund --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Belize --- Balize --- Belice --- Government of Belize --- Wilisi --- Beliz --- Беліз --- Belisa --- Белиз --- Република Белиз --- Republika Beliz --- Commonwealth of Belize --- Μπελίζε --- Belizo --- Belici --- Belis --- Bheilís --- Veleesh --- Beilise --- בליז --- Beliza --- Belizas --- Белизе --- ベリーズ --- Berīzu --- Beles --- Bilisi --- Белізе --- Belizi --- Bhelizi --- Belise --- Belisän --- Beliis --- בעליזע --- בּעליז --- Belėzos --- 伯利兹 --- Bolizi --- British Honduras --- Economic conditions. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Monetary Policy --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Public debt --- International reserves --- External debt --- Revenue administration --- Central banks --- Debts, Public --- Foreign exchange reserves --- Debts, External --- Loans --- Revenue


Book
Belize : Staff Report for the 2003 Article IV Consultation.
Author:
ISBN: 1455274372 1452700125 1280979003 9786613750617 1452781176 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

There is an urgent need to re-establish a viable external position through a comprehensive, swift, and sustained policy adjustment. The fiscal adjustment will need to rest on both wide-ranging tax revenue measures and substantial expenditure restraint, including a freeze of current expenditure. Executive Directors welcome the government’s decision to restructure the Development Finance Corporation. Existing import restrictions should be eliminated or converted into tariffs to improve resource allocation, increase revenue, and reduce administrative costs. Belize statistical information is inadequate to monitor macroeconomic developments sufficiently.


Book
Belize : 2008 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion by the Executive Director for Belize.
Author:
ISBN: 1462395899 145278891X 1280898089 1452736774 9786613739391 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Belize’s near-term macroeconomic prospects have improved over the past year. The main risks to growth and financial stability arise from fiscal challenges and deterioration in the global outlook. Despite data limitations that constrain the analysis, the Belize dollar appears broadly in line with fundamentals, and the external accounts are not a threat to external stability. Progress in consolidating the public sector’s financial position needs to continue. A front-loaded fiscal adjustment is necessary to lower Belize’s debt ratios and regain market access.


Book
Belize : Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation.
Author:
ISBN: 1484343212 1484387104 1484319664 Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This IMF staff report on Belize’s 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights economic developments and macroeconomic outlook. Macroeconomic developments in 2012 were underpinned by robust output growth but clouded by uncertainties surrounding the debt restructuring and growth prospects of major trading partners. New provisioning, and loan classification standards implemented by the central bank at end-2011 have resulted in declining nonperforming loans (NPLs) in the banking system and improving provisioning. NPLs remain high at 20 percent of total loans at end-2012, with heavy concentration in one domestic and some international banks. In compliance with the new prudential measures, banks have been required to write off bad loans within 3–5 years.


Book
Belize : Selected Issues.
Author:
ISBN: 1498394094 1498304974 Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper assesses the current strength of the balance sheets of large banks in Belize and takes stock of progress made on the regulatory, supervisory, and crisis management frameworks since the 2011 Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). The improvement in financial stability indicators was boosted by implementation of key FSAP recommendations. The Central Bank strengthened provisioning and loan classification standards. The new rules force banks to focus more on the borrower’s capacity to repay the loan rather than on the value of collaterals. The regulatory, supervisory, and crisis management frameworks as well as the financial infrastructure could be further strengthened. The supervision department of the Central Bank could be strengthened with examiners specializing in information technologies (IT) with the view of ensuring the integrity of banks’ IT systems. Asset quality reviews and forward-looking stress tests could complement current supervisory practices and improve Central Bank’s assessments of banks’ balance sheets.


Book
Belize : 2017 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; Informational Annex; Statement by the Executive Director for Belize.
Author:
ISBN: 1484320182 1484320085 Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that adverse developments negatively impacted the Belizean economy in 2016, with strong expansion of tourism the only bright spot. Output is estimated to have contracted by 0.8 percent in 2016, reflecting a continued slowdown in oil production and agriculture. Fish and citrus production were hit by diseases. Growth in tourism was facilitated by improved airlift, marketing and new foreign direct investment projects. Unemployment increased to 11.1 percent in September 2016, from 10.2 percent a year earlier. Growth is projected at just under 2 percent over the medium term.


Book
Belize : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Belize.
Author:
ISBN: 1513522167 1513522159 Year: 2019 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This 2019 Article IV Consultation with Belize focused on structural reforms to raise growth and social inclusion; strengthening resilience to natural disasters; balanced medium-term fiscal consolidation; tax reform; and strengthening financial oversight and anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism actions. Public debt remains above 90 percent of gross domestic product, the current account deficit is projected to remain large over the medium term, and international reserves are just below three months of imports of goods and services. The pace of structural reform has been slow. Downside risks, including from slower US growth, natural disasters, crime, and renewed pressures on correspondent banking relationships could weaken growth and financial stability. Belize is adapting its tax regime in response to concerns from multilateral institutions regarding potentially harmful features. Sustaining Belize’s recent economic expansion, spurring private investment, and facilitating structural diversification hinges on strengthening the business environment.


Book
Belize : Climate Change Policy Assessment.
Author:
ISBN: 1484385527 1484385543 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Belize is exceptionally vulnerable to natural disasters and climate change. It already faces hurricanes, flooding, sea level rise, coastal erosion, coral bleaching, and droughts, with impacts likely to intensify given expected increases in weather volatility and sea temperature. Hence, planning for resilience-building, and engagement with development partners on environmental reforms, have been central to Belizean policymaking for many years, since well before Belize submitted its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the Paris Accord in 2015. This Climate Change Policy Assessment (CCPA) takes stock of Belize’s plans to manage its climate response, from the perspective of their macroeconomic and fiscal implications. The CCPA is a joint initiative by the IMF and World Bank to assist small states to understand and manage the expected economic impact of climate change, while safeguarding long-run fiscal and external sustainability. It explores the possible impact of climate change and natural disasters on the macroeconomy and the cost of Belize’s planned response. It suggests macroeconomically relevant reforms that could strengthen the likelihood of success of the national strategy and identifies policy gaps and resource needs.

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