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Chance continues to govern our lives in the 21st Century. From the genes we inherit and the environment into which we are born, to the lottery ticket we buy at the local store, much of life is a gamble. In business, education, travel, health, and marriage, we take chances in the hope of obtaining something better. Chance colors our lives with uncertainty, and so it is important to examine it and try to understand about how it operates in a number of different circumstances. Such understanding becomes simpler if we take some time to learn a little about probability, since probability is the natural language of uncertainty. This second edition of Chance Rules again recounts the story of chance through history and the various ways it impacts on our lives. Here you can read about the earliest gamblers who thought that the fall of the dice was controlled by the gods, as well as the modern geneticist and quantum theory researcher trying to integrate aspects of probability into their chosen speciality. Example included in the first addition such as the infamous Monty Hall problem, tossing coins, coincidences, horse racing, birthdays and babies remain, often with an expanded discussion, in this edition. Additional material in the second edition includes, a probabilistic explanation of why things were better when you were younger, consideration of whether you can use probability to prove the existence of God, how long you may have to wait to win the lottery, some court room dramas, predicting the future, and how evolution scores over creationism. Chance Rules lets you learn about probability without complex mathematics. Brian Everitt is Professor Emeritus at King's College, London. He is the author of over 50 books on statistics. .
Statistics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Statistics, general. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Statistique --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Chance --- Probabilities --- Chance. --- Probabilities. --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Mathematical Statistics --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Mathematics. --- Combinations --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Fortune --- Necessity (Philosophy) --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Statistics .
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From the reviews of the First Edition: "This excellent book is based on several sets of lecture notes written over a decade and has its origin in a one-semester course given by the author at the ETH, Zürich, in the spring of 1970. The author's aim was to present some of the best features of Markov processes and, in particular, of Brownian motion with a minimum of prerequisites and technicalities. The reader who becomes acquainted with the volume cannot but agree with the reviewer that the author was very successful in accomplishing this goal…The volume is very useful for people who wish to learn Markov processes but it seems to the reviewer that it is also of great interest to specialists in this area who could derive much stimulus from it. One can be convinced that it will receive wide circulation." (Mathematical Reviews) This new edition contains 9 new chapters which include new exercises, references, and multiple corrections throughout the original text.
stochastische analyse --- kansrekening --- Operational research. Game theory --- Markov processes --- Brownian motion processes --- Markov, Processus de --- Mouvement brownien, Processus de --- EPUB-LIV-FT SPRINGER-B LIVMATHE --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Markov processes. --- Brownian motion processes. --- Probabilities. --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk
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"Probability and Partial Differential Equations in Modern Applied Mathematics" is devoted to the role of probabilistic methods in modern applied mathematics from the perspectives of both a tool for analysis and as a tool in modeling. There is a recognition in the applied mathematics research community that stochastic methods are playing an increasingly prominent role in the formulation and analysis of diverse problems of contemporary interest in the sciences and engineering. A probabilistic representation of solutions to partial differential equations that arise as deterministic models allows one to exploit the power of stochastic calculus and probabilistic limit theory in the analysis of deterministic problems, as well as to offer new perspectives on the phenomena for modeling purposes. There is also a growing appreciation of the role for the inclusion of stochastic effects in the modeling of complex systems. This has led to interesting new mathematical problems at the interface of probability, dynamical systems, numerical analysis, and partial differential equations. This volume will be useful to researchers and graduate students interested in probabilistic methods, dynamical systems approaches and numerical analysis for mathematical modeling in the sciences and engineering.
Mathematics. --- Partial Differential Equations. --- Applications of Mathematics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Differential equations, partial. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Mathématiques --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Differential equations, Partial -- Congresses. --- Probabilities -- Congresses. --- Probability. --- Stochastic processes -- Congresses. --- Stochastic processes --- Probabilities --- Differential equations, Partial --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Calculus --- Mathematical Statistics --- Partial differential equations. --- Applied mathematics. --- Engineering mathematics. --- Probabilities. --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Partial differential equations --- Math --- Science --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Engineering --- Engineering analysis --- Mathematical analysis
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To assess the past achievement and to provide a road map for future research, an IMA participating institution conference entitled "Conference on Asymptotic Analysis in Stochastic Processes, Nonparametric Estimation, and Related Problems" was held at Wayne State University, September 15-17, 2006. This conference was also held to honor Professor Rafail Z. Khasminskii for his fundamental contributions to many aspects of stochastic processes and nonparametric estimation theory on the occasion of his seventy-fifth birthday. It assembled an impressive list of invited speakers, who are renowned leaders in the fields of probability theory, stochastic processes, stochastic differential equations, as well as in the nonparametric estimation theory, and related fields. A number of invited speakers were early developers of the fields of probability and stochastic processes, establishing the foundation of the Modern probability theory. After the conference, to commemorate this special event, an IMA volume dedicated to Professor Rafail Z. Khasminskii was put together. It consists of nine papers on various topics in probability and statistics. They include authoritative expositions as well as significant research papers of current interest. It is conceivable that the volume will have a lasting impact on the further development of stochastic analysis and nonparametric estimation.
Mathematics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Applications of Mathematics. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Mathématiques --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Nonparametric statistics. --- Stochastic analysis. --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Mathematical Statistics --- Stochastic analysis --- Nonparametric statistics --- Distribution-free statistics --- Statistics, Distribution-free --- Statistics, Nonparametric --- Analysis, Stochastic --- Applied mathematics. --- Engineering mathematics. --- Probabilities. --- Mathematical statistics --- Mathematical analysis --- Stochastic processes --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Math --- Science --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Engineering --- Engineering analysis --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Risk
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Random variables are rarely independent in practice and so many multivariate distributions have been proposed in the literature to give a dependence structure for two or more variables. In this book, we restrict ourselves to the bivariate distributions for two reasons: (i) correlation structure and other properties are easier to understand and the joint density plot can be displayed more easily, and (ii) a bivariate distribution can normally be extended to a multivariate one through a vector or matrix representation. This volume is a revision of Chapters 1-17 of the previous book Continuous Bivariate Distributions, Emphasising Applications authored by Drs. Paul Hutchinson and Chin-Diew Lai. The book updates the subject of copulas which have grown immensely during the past two decades. Similarly, conditionally specified distributions and skewed distributions have become important topics of discussion in this area of research. This volume, which provides an up-to-date review of various developments relating to bivariate distributions in general, should be of interest to academics and graduate students, as well as applied researchers in finance, economics, science, engineering and technology. N. BALAKRISHNAN is Professor in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. He has published numerous research articles in many areas of probability and statistics and has authored a number of books including the four-volume series on Distributions in Statistics, jointly with Norman L. Johnson and S. Kotz, published by Wiley. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the Editor-in-Chief of Communications in Statistics and the Executive Editor of Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. CHIN-DIEW LAI holds a Personal Chair in Statistics at Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand. He has published more than 100 peer-reviewed research articles and co-authored three well-received books. He was a former editor-in-chief and is now an Associate Editor of the Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences. .
Distribution (Probability theory). --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Mathematical Statistics --- Probabilities. --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Translation planes --- Plans de translation --- 514.16 --- Planes, Translation --- Geometries over algebras --- Translation planes. --- 514.16 Geometries over algebras --- Statistics. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Geometry, Affine --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Mathematical statistics. --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Statistical methods --- Statistics . --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Géometrie
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Applied Stochastic Processes uses a distinctly applied framework to present the most important topics in the field of stochastic processes. Key features: -Presents carefully chosen topics such as Gaussian and Markovian processes, Markov chains, Poisson processes, Brownian motion, and queueing theory -Examines in detail special diffusion processes, with implications for finance, various generalizations of Poisson processes, and renewal processes -Serves graduate students in a variety of disciplines such as applied mathematics, operations research, engineering, finance, and business administration -Contains numerous examples and approximately 350 advanced problems, reinforcing both concepts and applications -Includes entertaining mini-biographies of mathematicians, giving an enriching historical context -Covers basic results in probability Two appendices with statistical tables and solutions to the even-numbered problems are included at the end. This textbook is for graduate students in applied mathematics, operations research, and engineering. Pure mathematics students interested in the applications of probability and stochastic processes and students in business administration will also find this book useful. Bio: Mario Lefebvre received his B.Sc. and M.Sc. in mathematics from the Université de Montréal, Canada, and his Ph.D. in mathematics from the University of Cambridge, England. He is a professor in the Department of Mathematics and Industrial Engineering at the École Polytechnique de Montréal. He has written five books, including another Springer title, Applied Probability and Statistics, and has published numerous papers on applied probability, statistics, and stochastic processes in international mathematical and engineering journals. This book developed from the author’s lecture notes for a course he has taught at the École Polytechnique de Montréal since 1988.
analyse (wiskunde) --- operationeel onderzoek --- Operational research. Game theory --- Engineering sciences. Technology --- speltheorie --- kansrekening --- ingenieurswetenschappen --- stochastische analyse --- Stochastic processes --- Stochastic processes. --- Processus stochastiques --- EPUB-LIV-FT LIVMATHE SPRINGER-B --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Engineering mathematics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Mathematical and Computational Engineering. --- Engineering --- Engineering analysis --- Mathematical analysis --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Mathematics --- Probabilities. --- Operations research. --- Management science. --- Applied mathematics. --- Quantitative business analysis --- Management --- Problem solving --- Operations research --- Statistical decision --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk
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This monograph is devoted to a completely new approach to geometric problems arising in the study of random fields. The groundbreaking material in Part III, for which the background is carefully prepared in Parts I and II, is of both theoretical and practical importance, and striking in the way in which problems arising in geometry and probability are beautifully intertwined. The three parts to the monograph are quite distinct. Part I presents a user-friendly yet comprehensive background to the general theory of Gaussian random fields, treating classical topics such as continuity and boundedness, entropy and majorizing measures, Borell and Slepian inequalities. Part II gives a quick review of geometry, both integral and Riemannian, to provide the reader with the material needed for Part III, and to give some new results and new proofs of known results along the way. Topics such as Crofton formulae, curvature measures for stratified manifolds, critical point theory, and tube formulae are covered. In fact, this is the only concise, self-contained treatment of all of the above topics, which are necessary for the study of random fields. The new approach in Part III is devoted to the geometry of excursion sets of random fields and the related Euler characteristic approach to extremal probabilities. "Random Fields and Geometry" will be useful for probabilists and statisticians, and for theoretical and applied mathematicians who wish to learn about new relationships between geometry and probability. It will be helpful for graduate students in a classroom setting, or for self-study. Finally, this text will serve as a basic reference for all those interested in the companion volume of the applications of the theory. These applications, to appear in a forthcoming volume, will cover areas as widespread as brain imaging, physical oceanography, and astrophysics.
Mathematics. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Statistics, general. --- Geometry. --- Mathematical Methods in Physics. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Mathematical physics. --- Statistics. --- Mathématiques --- Géométrie --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Physique mathématique --- Statistique --- Global differential geometry. --- Random fields. --- Stochastic geometry. --- Random fields --- Global differential geometry --- Mathematical Statistics --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Fields, Random --- Probabilities. --- Physics. --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical methods --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Natural philosophy --- Philosophy, Natural --- Physical sciences --- Dynamics --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- Euclid's Elements --- Math --- Science --- Geometry, Differential --- Stochastic processes --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Physical mathematics --- Physics --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Statistics .
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Random effects and latent variable models are broadly used in analyses of multivariate data. These models can accommodate high dimensional data having a variety of measurement scales. Methods for model selection and comparison are needed in conducting hypothesis tests and in building sparse predictive models. However, classical methods for model comparison are not well justified in such settings. This book presents state of the art methods for accommodating model uncertainty in random effects and latent variable models. It will appeal to students, applied data analysts, and experienced researchers. The chapters are based on the contributors’ research, with mathematical details minimized using applications-motivated descriptions. The first part of the book focuses on frequentist likelihood ratio and score tests for zero variance components. Contributors include Xihong Lin, Daowen Zhang and Ciprian Crainiceanu. The second part focuses on Bayesian methods for random effects selection in linear mixed effects and generalized linear mixed models. Contributors include David Dunson and collaborators Bo Cai and Saki Kinney. The final part focuses on structural equation models, with Peter Bentler and Jiajuan Liang presenting a frequentist approach, Sik-Yum Lee and Xin-Yuan Song presenting a Bayesian approach based on path sampling, and Joyee Ghosh and David Dunson proposing a method for default prior specification and efficient posterior computation. David Dunson is Professor in the Department of Statistical Science at Duke University. He is an international authority on Bayesian methods for correlated data, a fellow of the American Statistical Association, and winner of the David Byar and Mortimer Spiegelman Awards.
Statistics. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Statistique --- Statistique mathématique --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Latent variables. --- Random data (Statistics). --- Latent variables --- Random data (Statistics) --- Mathematics --- Mathematical Statistics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Data, Random (Statistics) --- Constructs, Hypothetical --- Hypothetical constructs --- Variables, Latent --- Mathematics. --- Probabilities. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Statistics --- Stochastic processes --- Latent structure analysis --- Multivariate analysis --- Variables (Mathematics) --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Statistical methods --- Statistics . --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Probability --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk
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This book is an integrated treatment of applied statistical methods, presented at an intermediate level, and the SAS programming language. It serves as an advanced introduction to SAS as well as how to use SAS for the analysis of data arising from many different experimental and observational studies. While there are many introductory texts on SAS programming, statistical methods texts that solely make use of SAS as the software of choice for the analysis of data are rare. While this is understandable from a marketability point of view, clearly such texts will serve the need of many thousands of students and professionals who desire to learn how to use SAS beyond the basic introduction they usually receive from taking an introductory statistics course. More recently, several authors in statistical methodology have begun to incorporate SAS in their texts but these books are limited to more specialized subjects. Many of the standard topics covered in statistical methods texts supplemented by advanced material more suited for a second course in applied statistics are included, so that specific aspects of SAS procedures can be illustrated. Brief but instructive reviews of the statistical methodologies used are provided, and then illustrated with analysis of data sets used in well-known statistical methods texts. Particular attention is devoted to discussions of models used in each analysis because the authors believe that it is important for users to have not only an understanding of how these models are represented in SAS but also because it helps in the interpretation of the SAS output produced. Mervyn G. Marasinghe is Associate Professor of Statistics at Iowa State University where he teaches several courses in statistics and statistical computing and a course in data analysis using SAS software. A former Associate Editor of the Journal Computational and Graphical Statistics, he has used SAS software for more than 30 years. William J. Kennedy is Professor Emeritus of Statistics at Iowa State University. A Fellow of the American Statistical Association and former Editor of The American Statistician and Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, he is coauthor of the book entitled Statistical Computing.
Statistics. --- Statistics and Computing/Statistics Programs. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Statistique --- Statistique mathématique --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Mathematical statistics -- Data processing. --- Mathematical statistics -- Software. --- SAS (Computer file). --- SAS (Computer program language). --- Mathematical statistics --- SAS (Computer program language) --- Mathematical Statistics --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Data processing --- Data processing. --- SAS (Computer file) --- Statistical Analysis System (Computer program language) --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistical methods --- Statistical analysis system --- SAS system --- Mathematics. --- Computer software. --- Probabilities. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Mathematical Software. --- Programming languages (Electronic computers) --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Software, Computer --- Computer systems --- Statistics . --- Probability --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Risk --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical science --- Econometrics
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A glorious period of Hungarian mathematics started in 1900 when Lipót Fejér discovered the summability of Fourier series.This was followed by the discoveries of his disciples in Fourier analysis and in the theory of analytic functions. At the same time Frederic (Frigyes) Riesz created functional analysis and Alfred Haar gave the first example of wavelets. Later the topics investigated by Hungarian mathematicians broadened considerably, and included topology, operator theory, differential equations, probability, etc. The present volume, the first of two, presents some of the most remarkable results achieved in the twentieth century by Hungarians in analysis, geometry and stochastics. The book is accessible to anyone with a minimum knowledge of mathematics. It is supplemented with an essay on the history of Hungary in the twentieth century and biographies of those mathematicians who are no longer active. A list of all persons referred to in the chapters concludes the volume.
Mathematics. --- History of Mathematics. --- Analysis. --- Geometry. --- Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes. --- Global analysis (Mathematics). --- Mathematics_$xHistory. --- Distribution (Probability theory). --- Mathématiques --- Analyse globale (Mathématiques) --- Géométrie --- Distribution (Théorie des probabilités) --- Mathematics -- History -- 20th century. --- Mathematics -- Hungary -- History -- 20th century. --- Mathematics --- Mathematics - General --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- History --- Research --- Math --- History. --- Mathematical analysis. --- Analysis (Mathematics). --- Probabilities. --- History of Mathematical Sciences. --- History of Science. --- Science --- Distribution (Probability theory. --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Probabilities --- Euclid's Elements --- Analysis, Global (Mathematics) --- Differential topology --- Functions of complex variables --- Geometry, Algebraic --- Annals --- Auxiliary sciences of history --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Chance --- Least squares --- Mathematical statistics --- Risk --- 517.1 Mathematical analysis --- Mathematical analysis --- Probability Theory.
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