TY - BOOK ID - 7198283 TI - The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail--but some don't. PY - 2012 SN - 9781594204111 159420411X 9781846147739 1846147735 9781846147524 1846147522 PB - New York Penguin Press DB - UniCat KW - Forecasting KW - Bayesian statistical decision theory KW - Knowledge, Theory of KW - Methodology KW - History KW - #SBIB:303H521 KW - 551.509 KW - Methoden sociale wetenschappen: waarschijnlijkheid KW - Weather forecasting. Artificial influencing of weather KW - Forecasting. KW - Bayesian statistical decision theory. KW - Knowledge, Theory of. KW - Methodology. KW - History. KW - 551.509 Weather forecasting. Artificial influencing of weather KW - Epistemology KW - Theory of knowledge KW - Philosophy KW - Psychology KW - Forecasts KW - Futurology KW - Prediction KW - Bayes' solution KW - Bayesian analysis KW - Statistical decision KW - AA / International- internationaal KW - 331.061 KW - 304.5 KW - 305.6 KW - 303.49 KW - Economische vooruitzichten KW - Techniek van de statistische-econometrische voorspellingen. Prognose in de econometrie KW - Risicotheorie, speltheorie. Risicokapitaal. Beslissingsmodellen KW - Forecasting - Methodology KW - Forecasting - History UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:7198283 AB - Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction ER -